Yahoo Cup – Week 7 Recap October 25, 2016  |  Ian Goldsmith



A lot of DFS sites have rolled out leagues this year, where you can play in one league with your friends all season long while still getting the enjoyment that comes with picking a new lineup each week. Somewhat unique among those is Yahoo’s season long Yahoo Cup. Every week there is a freeroll; the person who has accumulated the most points throughout the course of the first 16 weeks of the NFL season is the overall winner, and gets a nice chunk of change. You can join in at any week for the weekly prizes, even if you have no hope for the year-end title.

I thought it would be fun to recap how fellow TFF writer Doug Shain and I are doing on a week-to-week basis in the tournament. You can see our thought processes into how we built our lineups for the previous week, see how we did, and where we are in comparison to the weekly/season leaders. We’ll also take a quick look at the week ahead. So, let’s get to it!

 

Results (Ian/Doug)

Week 7 Winner:  192.62 FP

Points to Cash: 161.08

Our Lineups: 131.22/108.34

Total Players: 414,002

Our Week 7 Ranks (#): 17,797th/66,296th

Our Week 7 Ranks (%): 4.30%/16.01%

Overall Leader:  1,027.54 FP

Our Total FP: 995.7/923.14

Overall Ranks (#): 24th/594th

Overall Ranks (%): 0.006%/0.143%

Current Prize Status: $100.00/$10.00


Ian and Doug’s Week  7 Teams

yahoo-week-7-ian

 doug


Week 7 Lineup Strategy and Results

Oof, this was a tough week overall. Scores seemed to be down across the board (the winner’s 192.62 was the 2nd lowest winning Yahoo Cup score for the season), though a couple of key mistakes in our lineups cost us big. The biggest mistake Doug and I made was to start Torrey Smith. Both of us thought that he could have a big game against the Bucs, but it just didn’t materialize. After two weeks in a row hitting it big with an uber-cheap receiver (Sammie Coates two weeks ago, Kenny Britt last week), Smith was not able to make it three. C’est la vie. I actually stacked four players from the Niners/Bucs game. In addition to Smith, I used Colin Kaepernick (who turned in a tolerable, if not exciting, 15.12 FP), Jacquizz Rodgers (163 total yards; Doug also used the former Beaver), and Mike Evans. Evans was in my initial lineup when salaries became available early in the week and never left, which is good, because I would have been kicking myself had I let 25.6 FP go by the wayside. San Francisco’s defense is horrific. Remember how Chip Kelly’s team gave up tons of points in Philly? Well, San Francisco is the same thing, minus the talent. Evans will once again be in my lineup this week, he and his QB Jameis Winston are Doug Shain’s top QB/WR stack this week.

Doug ended up stacking Washington, using Kirk Cousins and Jamison Crowder, who came through with a very solid 36.24 FP combined. I also wanted a piece of that game, taking my chances with Vernon Davis, who caught all 6 passes thrown his way for 79 yards and a solid 10.9 FP for only $12. In a just-before-kickoff switch (do not do that!), I went from having Mike Wallace and James White to Golden Tate and the aforementioned Quizz. While it was basically a wash in terms of total points, this is just a reminder that changing your lineup at the last second is not a wise decision. Do it in the case of injury, but otherwise leave things be!

Both Doug and I used Spencer Ware, for whom the Saints had no match. He was all over the place and finished with a robust 20.1 FP. We each paid up for a stud position player. Doug ended up choosing Julio Jones, while I ended up going with DeMarco Murray. Unlike last week when I switched from LeSean McCoy to Le’Veon Bell at the last minute (again, don’t do that!), I held strong and had Murray in my lineup from the get-go. His matchup against the Indy run defense was just too good to pass up. His 20.20 FP were solid enough, though a bit disappointing considering he had over 15 at the half. Jones also came through with a big day, catching 9 of 15 targets for 174 yards. Unfortunately for Doug, he didn’t find the end zone.

We both paid up big for DST, which has become a theme this year. I went with the Vikings, while Doug chose the Broncos. Both teams ended up with a solid, if underwhelming, 8 FP. Not great for $20, but it didn’t kill our lineups either. Still, the lineup I had mid-week included Philly….there is always one regret per week, and not rostering Philly was mine in Week 7.

Doug’s lineup was let down most by Hunter Henry and Terrance West, who combined for a paltry 3.1 FP. West was bottled up by the Jets all game long, finishing with a measly 10 total yards. Henry may have got going, but unfortunately seemed to get injured during the game; it wasn’t until the game was done that he ended up in the league’s concussion protocol. Given the severity of concussions, it wouldn’t shock me to see him sit this week, though that is pure speculation at this point. He had only 3 targets to Antonio Gates’ 10, and failed to find the end zone for the first time in four weeks.

After Week 7, I dropped one spot and now sit at #24 overall, while Doug is still in the money at #594.

 

Early Week 7 Lineup Thoughts

After reading Doug’s Week 8 Hail Mary, it is clear that he and I will both be strongly considering a Jameis Winston ($35)/Mike Evans ($38) stack. The matchup against Oakland is the stuff fantasy dreams are made of, though $73 is some expensive dreamsh*t (any China Miéville fans out there?)! I’m not sure I’m going to pay up that much for QB when guys like Russell Wilson ($30) and Ryan Fitzpatrick ($26) have matchups that are on par with Winston’s and come at a steep discount. Similarly, you can save $7 and have Brandon Marshall ($31) against a terrible Cleveland DST that has allowed 100-yard receiver in 5 of 7 games, and a 100-yard plus 1 TD game in 4 of those 5. Lick your chops, Mr. Marshall.

At DST, we have divergent ideas. Doug is in love with Joey Bosa (who isn’t?) and is considering streaming the Chargers ($14). I am probably going to stick with my tried-and-true method of paying up for DST and use the Vikings ($22). However, $22 is a lot to pay for a defense….even though it’s only $2 more than their cost last week, it may be too rich for my blood. If I go cheaper, I like the Cowboys ($11) against the Eagles in Dallas. Fresh off a bye, I think they should be able to put in a solid performance against the rookie Wentz and a depleted offensive line. On the other side of the field, the Eagles ($16) are also in play.

You are going to do a heck of a lot of persuading to pull me off of the Spencer Ware ($30) train this week. The Colts may not be as bad as the Niners or Saints at stopping the run, but that doesn’t mean they are good. The worst game they have allowed a RB to have this year was against T.J. Yeldon, who totaled 117 yards and 4 receptions. That is the worst fantasy output for a starting RB against them. Yikes. $30 is a steal considering what Ware can do to the Colts. The Chiefs are in no hurry to have Jamaal Charles start, and why should they? I hate to say it to all of you Charles owners, but it should be clear by now that he is being kept healthy for the NFL playoffs, not the fantasy football playoffs. The Chiefs are contenders and will not risk what is still likely their best player to injury when they have a more than capable backup. Christine Michael ($32) will also be highly considered. If I’m going cheaper, then it will likely be James White ($19) who gets the nod. His price is not yet reflective of his recent play.

Besides Evans, I’ll likely look long and hard at Ty Montgomery ($15) against the Falcons. As the de facto RB1 on the Packers, he will likely have a higher usage than any other WR on the team. I’d consider using Jordy Nelson and Davante Adams, but only in GPPs. As you well know, I treat each week of the Yahoo! Cup as a cash game, so big fluctuation guys like those two are not going to be considered for my lineup. I still don’t know why I used Torrey Smith last week; it was very against my M.O. Doug is looking at Michael Thomas, who has been tearing it up for the Saints. He’s scored at least 7.6 FP every week and has not fallen below 12 in any of the past four games, which includes three games of 16+ FP. He clearly has Brees’ trust, which is yoooooj.

 


If you haven’t joined the Cup, click here to join for the upcoming week. If any of you are playing in the tournament, let me know how you’re doing in the comments below or on Twitter at @ianrgold. Doug is also very happy to talk anything DFS, so hit him up on Twitter as well. We can discuss strategy, or you can gloat about how much better your lineup was than ours. Up to you!

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