Yahoo Cup – Week 3 Recap September 27, 2016  |  Ian Goldsmith


A lot of DFS sites have rolled out leagues this year, where you can play in one league with your friends all season long while still getting the enjoyment that comes with picking a new lineup each week. Somewhat unique among those is Yahoo’s season long Yahoo Cup. Every week there is a freeroll; the person who has accumulated the most points throughout the course of the first 16 weeks of the NFL season is the overall winner, and gets a nice chunk of change. You can join in at any week for the weekly prizes, even if you have no hope for the year-end title.

I thought it would be fun to recap how I’m doing on a week-to-week basis. You can see my thought process into how I built my lineup for the previous week, see how I did, and where I am in comparison to the weekly/season leaders. So, let’s get to it!

 

Results

Week 3 Winner:  212 FP

Points to Cash: 171.84

My Lineup: 138.06

Total Players: 342,154

My Week 3 Rank (#): 12,798

My Week 3 Rank (%): 3.74%

Overall Leader:  511.46 FP

My Total FP: 414.94

Overall Rank (#): 1,390

Overall Rank (%): 0.41%

Current Prize Status: $1.00

My Week 3 Team

yahoo-week-3

My Week 3 Lineup Strategy and Results

Once again, I took more of a cash game approach to this week’s lineup instead of trying to find diamonds in the rough. As this is a season-long tournament, a huge week will get you a boost, but it won’t win you the entire thing. I’m aiming for consistency each week. Well, consistency is what I got. After averaging 138.44 FP in the first two weeks. I ended up scoring 138.06 this week. So, par for the course. The lineup building began with DeMarco Murray and Melvin Gordon, both of whom I had locked into the lineup from the get go. I had not planned on adding a third running back into the lineup, but when Thomas Rawls was declared doubtful, it was pretty hard to not roster Christine Michael, who was priced at an absurdly low $14 (7% of salary).

The only other lock in my lineup was Miami’s defense. While they were a little underwhelming considering the matchup, the 7 points didn’t kill my lineup. Still, for $18 I wanted at least a 10-12 FP return. At the beginning of the week, I was hesitant to use DeVante Parker given his health status, but when it became clear he would play, I plugged him right in for $18. Now, here’s where it got a bit wishy-washy. I can’t tell you how many combos I made with Ryan Tannehill, Matt Ryan, Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, Mike Wallace, Jacob Tamme, Greg Olsen, and Phillip Dorsett. I ended up going with Tannehill, Brown, Olsen and Dorsett.

Even though he had three turnovers, Tannehill produced a very solid, though somewhat disappointing, 20.96 FP. I got a little too confident in the matchup with Cleveland, and it burned me somewhat. Brown, too, was somewhat disappointing. Obviously, a 12-140 line is a MONSTER line, but when you are paying $38 for a guy, anything less than about 23-24 FP is underperforming. Pittsburgh had no answers for Philadelphia and suffered one of the worst losses in the history of the storied franchise. Dorsett? Ugh. Can I go back and pick again? Olsen was serviceable, but it would have been better to have Tamme for $10 less (even though he only put up 4.3), which I could have used to potentially move from Dorsett to Landry.

Anyways, all things considered, I’m pleased with the results. It wasn’t flashy, but I’ve moved up from 3,786 to inside the top 1,400. Going in the right direction.

 

 

Early Week 4 Lineup Thoughts

My first thought just looking at the matchup is to pay up for Cam Newton. He’ll want to get back on track this week after having one of the worst performances of his career this past weekend against Minnesota, who look like they are a potential Super Bowl team. My only drawback is that Cam has actually played quite poorly (for him) in his career against Atlanta in Atlanta. Here are his five games in Atlanta using Yahoo! scoring (2015 first): 14.28, 19.66, 20.16, 31.2, and 17.18. Except for that game in 2012, he wouldn’t have come close to the points needed to hit value given his $39 pricing. I’ve seen nothing from the Falcons’ defense that suggests they will be able to stop Cam this year, but his history there is worth noting.

So, if I pivot away from Cam, I’m going to be looking very hard at both Philip Rivers at home against New Orleans, and Kirk Cousins at home against Cleveland. Both matchups are choice, so it will probably come down to who fits in my lineup from a salary standpoint. Unfortunately, Yahoo has done their homework and the pricing for QBs is very high this week, which poses a challenge. Cousins is the 3rd highest priced QB on the board at $38, while Rivers is only a buck cheaper. Yeesh. Given the pricing, I may even pay down for a guy like Joe Flacco vs Oakland ($31) or Brian Hoyer, who gets to face a very beatable Detroit secondary; plus, he comes at the rock bottom price of $23. This assumes, of course, that Cutler is still out. Dak Prescott could be an interesting play, too, for $28.

At DST, I am almost assuredly going to be using either Arizona, Minnesota or Houston. The matchups are too good to pass up; of course, one can easily get enamored with teams early in the week and end up being disappointed (as I was with Miami this past week). Jordan Howard could be an intriguing play at RB this week if Langford is out. If I dare go with Hoyer, who looked decent against Dallas on Sunday night, then I’m definitely going to be considering Zach Miller, with whom Hoyer clearly showed a strong rapport. Asking him to repeat his monster 8/78/2 line would be asking a lot, but Detroit has been absolutely abysmal against TEs. Given that Yahoo has really upped their prices this week, you could use the cap relief at his $16 salary.

 

If you haven’t joined the Cup, click here to join for the upcoming week. If any of you are playing in the tournament, let me know how you’re doing in the comments below or on Twitter @ianrgold. We can discuss strategy, or you can gloat about how much better your lineup was than mine. Up to you!

Leave a Reply

2016 Fantasy Football

Feed at the Trough of Targets: Part 1

The key to long-term fantasy football success, like happiness, is probably mundane. The online beast that is the fantasy football industry dissects every NFL season, every game, every snap, every throw and run and catch and drop and touch and route. But what matters? Isn’t that what we’re chasing? Route running, success against ...

READ MORE

That Just Happened: Tight Ends (Part I)

  If you asked me immediately after the 2016 season how the tight end position had fared, I would have said it was an apocalypse and this article was going to read like the Book of Revelations. Upon further review, it really wasn’t that bad. You probably didn’t love your tight ...

READ MORE

THAT JUST HAPPENED: RUNNING BACKS, PART II

  In Part I, I laced the track with a macro-level look at the running back position. Now it’s time to lock the flow with the micro view. First, a few ground rules: The goal is to contextualize 2016 performance. Briefly. What I highlight below is meant to be interesting, informative, and by ...

READ MORE