Yahoo Cup – Week 12 Recap November 28, 2016  |  Ian Goldsmith



A lot of DFS sites have rolled out leagues this year, where you can play in one league with your friends all season long while still getting the enjoyment that comes with picking a new lineup each week. Somewhat unique among those is Yahoo’s season long Yahoo Cup. Every week there is a freeroll; the person who has accumulated the most points throughout the course of the first 16 weeks of the NFL season is the overall winner, and gets a nice chunk of change. You can join in at any week for the weekly prizes, even if you have no hope for the year-end title.

I thought it would be fun to recap how fellow TFF writer Doug Shain and I are doing on a week-to-week basis in the tournament. You can see our thought processes into how we built our lineups for the previous week, see how we did, and where we are in comparison to the weekly/season leaders. We’ll also take a quick look at the week ahead. So, let’s get to it!

 

Results (Ian/Doug)

Week 12 Winner:   185.10 FP

Points to Cash: 149.94

Our Lineups: 76.54/103.80

Total Players: 464,814

Our Week 12 Ranks (#): 101,838th/42,453rd

Our Week 12 Ranks (%): 21.9094%/9.1333%

Overall Leader: 1,640.70

Our Total FP: 1,572.86/1,450.50

Overall Ranks (#): 22nd/1,316th

Overall Ranks (%): 0.0047%/0.2831%

Current Prize Status: $100/$1


Ian and Doug’s Week  12 Teams (If you dare to look)

 yahoo-week-12

 


Week 12 Lineup Strategy and Results

How does one begin to describe one of their worst fantasy weeks ever? A train wreck would not come close to describing the performance of my team. Well, I guess I’ll just dig right in…

There were two QBs I considered from the start: Russell Wilson and Carson Wentz. My first mistake was going with Wilson. I wasn’t thrilled about the matchup, but thought it was good enough for Wilson’s $34 price tag. 12.04 FP later, and I was crying in my chocolate almond milk (the salt from the tears surprisingly makes it taste better). Thank goodness Wilson knows how to run, because otherwise…well, I don’t want to think of a Fitzpatrick vs. KC-like performance. I originally had stacked him with both Rawls and Baldwin. Fortunately (and I can’t believe I’m saying this given my WRs’ performances) I didn’t use Baldwin (Doug ended up starting him), who finished with 6.9 FP on a $29 salary. Unfortunately, I kept Rawls, who plodded towards a 38-yard day.

OK, what else went wrong…Rashad Jennings: $20, 6.8 FP. Yay! Titans DST: $14, 4 FP. Woo! Doug and I both started that incredible duo. Outstanding. Steve Smith: $18, 4 FP. Awesome! DeVante Parker: $17, 7.9 FP. Smokin’! (To be fair…Parker had both a TD and 32 yard catch called back…it could have been a huge day for him, but he failed to get his feet in bounds on both of those ocassions).

Fun fact: I switched away from Tyrell Williams (also $18) to Steve Smith a few minutes before kickoff. Excitement!

Fun fact #2: I initially had Edelman ($23), Ted Ginn ($12), and Baltimore ($19) instead of Steve Smith, DeVante Parker, and Tennessee. Let’s see: 12.3+20.8+11 vs 4+7.9+4…a 28.2 FP swing! Man, I love fantasy football sometimes.

OK, enough with the negatives (too late!). There were some positives, though they were harder to see. David Johnson was worth every bit of his $40 price tag, coming through with a late TD to boost his final output to 26.10 FP, to which Doug and I were both privy. From here, it’s all Doug. He hit it big with Drew Brees, who eclipsed the 300 yard mark, tossed 4 TDs and ran for another against the overmatched Rams. Like Doug said in his Hail Mary, always play Brees at home. It doesn’t matter the opponent, just lock and load. Brees plus DJ instantly gave Doug a 60 FP floor. Doug also did well by choosing Kelvin Benjamin, who was tormenting Doug until late in the game when he scored on a 44 yard reception. He added another, finishing with a solid 2/53/1 line. A.J. Green’s fill-in Tyler Boyd turned in a solid enough 5/62 line, returning 8.7 FP on a $15 salary, which Doug gladly took in this low-scoring week.

Doug and I both had a couple of guys on Monday night. Doug rostered Jared Cook and Wendell Smallwood, while I had Jordan Matthews and Zach Ertz. Meh. There was little production out of any of them .

Doug’s solid week (all things considered) kept him in roughly the same position at 1,316 overall. My horrendous week dropped me out of the top 10, but not as low as I’d expected. I’m sitting at 22nd, somehow. Though I didn’t drop far in place, I am now 68 FP out of 1st place after being within 30 last week. Ouch. While there are four weeks left, that is quite the hill to climb without a transcendent week.

 

 

Early Week 13 Lineup Thoughts

Kaepernick, Kaepernick, Kaepernick ($32)! I’ve been a pretty big fan of his in Kelly’s offense, but have used him a lot less than I should have. There was a brief moment that I considered using him this past week against Miami; I wish I had, as he finished with over 100 rushing yards, nearly 300 yards passing and three scores. Well, I won’t make the mistake of passing him up again. He gets a very beatable Bears team who, a week after losing Jerrell Freeman, lost starting LB Danny Trevathan. Kaepernick will have room to run, and the Niners could even win this week! He has a legit 15-20 FP floor each and every week, regardless of opponent. After this past week’s debacle at QB, you can be sure that I’ll be considering Colin or…

Drew Brees ($40). We know what he can do at home against good defenses. Let’s see what he can do at home against a terrible defense. The Lions come to town this week, which means Brees’ floor should be 350 yards and 3 TDs. If Matthew Stafford ($33!!) can keep up with Brees, then Brees’ floor could be 400/4. Stafford is obviously in play, too, as he could just as well hit those gaudy numbers in a game with an initial over/under of 54 (really, only 54?). At $33, that’s a $7 savings over Brees, a bigger gap than I was anticipating. In addition to those two, you’ll see Doug and I both considering all sorts of players from this game, including Theo Riddick ($20), Michael Thomas (a steal at $22), Willie Snead ($20), Brandin Cooks ($25), Coby Fleener ($15), Golden Tate ($19…yes, please), Marvin Jones, etc. I wonder if I could fill every position with guys from these two teams…In most week’s that would seem insane, but in this game? Tempting.

Want a different QB? Doug pointed out to me that Ben Roethlisberger is only $32. The fewest points he’s scored in a week at home was in Week 2 against the Bengals when he scored 21.76. The other three games? He scored at least 28 FP in them. Yowzas. Feel free to stack him with Antonio Brown ($39).

At DST, the chalk play is likely going to be New England ($20) at home vs the Rams and their rookie QB, who played OK against New Orleans. I’ll also be considering Denver ($21), Philadelphia ($19), and Seattle ($19).  It looks like I won’t be saving $$ with DST. If I do decide to punt, I may consider a team like Oakland ($12). Doug is considering Cincinnati ($10) at minimum salary. While I don’t love the matchup, I can see the reasoning. They should get 3-4 FP minimum, which won’t kill your lineup and will help free up salary for better (and more predictable) scoring positions.

Some of the other guys we are considering in no particular order: Odell Beckham ($31)Mike Evans ($35)Doug Martin ($18)Carlos Hyde ($21), Lance Kendricks ($12), Vance McDonald ($14), and Sammy Watkins ($21).

 


If you haven’t joined the Cup, click here to join for the upcoming week. If any of you are playing in the tournament, let me know how you’re doing in the comments below or on Twitter at @ianrgold. Doug is also very happy to talk anything DFS, so hit him up on Twitter as well. We can discuss strategy, or you can gloat about how much better your lineup was than ours. Up to you!

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