Yahoo Cup – Week 10 Recap November 16, 2016  |  Ian Goldsmith



A lot of DFS sites have rolled out leagues this year, where you can play in one league with your friends all season long while still getting the enjoyment that comes with picking a new lineup each week. Somewhat unique among those is Yahoo’s season long Yahoo Cup. Every week there is a freeroll; the person who has accumulated the most points throughout the course of the first 16 weeks of the NFL season is the overall winner, and gets a nice chunk of change. You can join in at any week for the weekly prizes, even if you have no hope for the year-end title.

I thought it would be fun to recap how fellow TFF writer Doug Shain and I are doing on a week-to-week basis in the tournament. You can see our thought processes into how we built our lineups for the previous week, see how we did, and where we are in comparison to the weekly/season leaders. We’ll also take a quick look at the week ahead. So, let’s get to it!

 

Results (Ian/Doug)

Week 10 Winner:  205.92 FP

Points to Cash: 162.84

Our Lineups: 127.30/73.48

Total Players: 445,478

Our Week 10 Ranks (#): 19,626th/111,071st

Our Week 10 Ranks (%): 4.41%/24.93%

Overall Leader:  1,396.34 FP

Our Total FP: 1,356.68/1,239.22

Overall Ranks (#): 23rd/1,252nd

Overall Ranks (%): 0.005%/0.281%

Current Prize Status: $100.00/$1.00


Ian and Doug’s Week  10 Teams

 yahoo-week-10-ian

yahoo-week-10-doug

 


Week 10 Lineup Strategy and Results

Doug and I ended up sharing four similar players for Week 10: Jay Ajayi, David Johnson, Alshon Jeffery, and Lance Kendricks. Those four ended up hurting both of use far more than they helped us. The only one of the four to actually do anything was DJ, who ended up producing just enough points to warrant his exorbitant price. But for $67 combined, the other three only returned 15.7 FP, a multiple of 0.23. If you follow my value column, you know that I aim for a multiple of 0.625 for cash slates on Yahoo!, which means that these three were busts in the biggest sense of the word.

Our lineups differed dramatically from there. We both hit on DST. Doug used the chalky Texans, who played as expected and returned a solid 12 FP. I went rogue and used the Saints. At only $10, I was hoping that their matchup against Siemian would be enough to get them the points needed to be worth it. Well, they were indeed able to expose him to the tune of 2 INTs and 6 sacks, finishing with 10 FP and a multiple of 1.

At QB, I used Mariota and Doug used Cutler. Cutler was actually my 2nd favorite play on Yahoo this past week, but I’m glad I avoided him as he and the Bears imploded. It would have been even worse if Cam Meredith hadn’t hauled in a tipped Hail Mary at the end of the 1st half. Needless to say, I don’t think either of us will be considering Jay in the future, regardless of matchup.

From there, Doug ended up taking more risks. As he ended up saying after the week was over: “Got way too cute. Played it like a GPP, not cash.” Two of the riskier plays were Roger Lewis and Kapri Bibbs. I, too, was considering Bibbs, but the uncertainty put me off of him. Of course, that bit me in the butt when I removed Prosise from my lineup for the same reason. Ugh.

I found a lot of value at WR, rostering both Tyrell Williams and Dez Bryant for less than $40 combined…a steal. Dez had been somewhat inconsistent, but if we look at his last game before Pitt, we see that Dallas didn’t need to throw to him to win. They would have to do that against an offensive powerhouse like the Steelers, so I used him and he came through. Tyrell did also, though he kept me waiting.

All in all, I’m pleased with the 127 FP, considering that trio mentioned above did so poorly. Doug has learned his lesson from this past week and will be playing his lineups much more like a cash game going forward. After Week 10, I dropped two spots and now sit at #23 overall; Doug’s tough week saw him drop down to 1,252 from the top 300.

 

Early Week 11 Lineup Thoughts

There seems to be a good amount of value this week. At QB, there is definitely no need to pay up. For my money, I’d much rather have Kirk Cousins ($32) or Russell Wilson ($31) than paying up for a guy like Brady ($40) or Roethlisberger ($39). Both of them have stellar matchups, but I think Cousins and Wilson offer the same upside this week for a big discount. If you want to go even cheaper, Colin Kaepernick ($27) is still a very solid play weekly because of his running game, which sets a solid floor. No matter how bad he is, he won’t be Cutler or Fitz bad.

I’m definitely paying up for one RB this week, but I’m not sure who it will be yet. Bell ($40), Murray ($39), and Blount ($30) all have excellent matchups and should hit value. Of course, DJ and Zeke can do it every week regardless of opponent, so they are in play. There is some value to be had at RB in the likes of Rob Kelley ($17) and James Starks ($14), who face off against one another this week. I’d probably rather have Starks for the discount, but Green Bay has proven to not be the #1 RB defense it masqueraded as early in the season. There is a chance I’d even use both given the flex spot.

There is little reason to pay up at WR. You can always use Antonio Brown ($38) if you want and won’t get complaints from me, but why not look to a guy like Jordy Nelson ($25) or Stefon Diggs ($23) who are much cheaper and offer upside close enough to AB that their pricing seems like a massive discount. They’ve been target hogs of late, to the tune of 40 and 42 targets, respectively in the past three weeks.

TE offers a number of solid options this week. Julius Thomas ($15) is the winner of “which TE faces Detroit” this week. He makes a solid, if somewhat unstable, play. Eric Ebron ($17) has been one of Stafford’s favorite targets. He’s averaging 10 FP per week on Yahoo despite only grabbing 1 TD all season. The chalk play of the week (if Gronk is out) will, of course, be Martellus Bennett ($16). With these three mid-range options, I see little reason to pay up at the position.

At DST, my favorite play is the Chiefs ($20) if you can afford them. If not, I’ll be likely pivoting to either the Seahawks ($17), Giants ($15), or Dolphins ($18).


If you haven’t joined the Cup, click here to join for the upcoming week. If any of you are playing in the tournament, let me know how you’re doing in the comments below or on Twitter at @ianrgold. Doug is also very happy to talk anything DFS, so hit him up on Twitter as well. We can discuss strategy, or you can gloat about how much better your lineup was than ours. Up to you!

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