Wide Receiver Strength of Schedule 2013
July 28, 2013 | Chet
I’m going to try the impossible here and give you a strength of schedule for wide receivers this season.
Below here we have how each team’s pass defense ranked in six categories and then I average those ranks to come up with an overall ranking that I then place down in the schedule below here. So there you go.
You’ll see a lot of similarities with the quarterback strength of schedule here, but there are defenses that defend wide receivers worse or better than tight ends and running backs. So let’s take a look.
Demaryius Thomas, Eric Decker and Wes Welker: Yeah, the Broncos keep getting all the breaks. They acquired Peyton Manning and now Wes Welker and have a pretty nice passing schedule this season. Thomas is a no doubter. He gets plenty of red zone looks and can catch the ball all over the field. He’s not going to lose much to Welker. Eric Decker is also such a great red zone target it’s hard to see Manning go away from him for the much shorter and not as red zone attractive Welker. And there are going to be plenty of opportunities for all of them this season.
Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams: Unlike the Saints who also have a tough schedule against pass defenses, the Buccaneers don’t have Drew Brees and Sean Payton. Josh Freeman isn’t a slouch, but he’s not Brees and with Tampa’s defense most likely being much improved there’s a good chance we’ll see the Buc’s running the ball more and if you check out their RB SOS, you’ll see they don’t exactly go up against the Purple People Eaters every other week.
Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery: With Coach Trestman bringing an up tempo more pass happy offense, this schedule is encouraging. Marshall was the only receiver to see targets last season, but this year we should see Jeffery and whoever else can win playing time get plenty of targets. I’m looking forward to this offense.
Dwayne Bowe: I don’t trust Alex Smith to make more than one fantasy wide receiver relevant, but Bowe is going to get plenty of work this season and with a very favorable fantasy football playoff schedule. He’s been slowly inching up my draft boards.
Here’s a look at Tampa Bay’s Schedule. These teams will most likely have their above SOS score inflated due to the Bucs pitiful pass defense last season, which will be better this year.
@ New York Jets, vs. New Orleans Saints, @ New England Patriots, vs. Arizona Cardinals, vs. Philadelphia Eagles, @ Atlanta Falcons, vs. Carolina Panthers, @ Seattle Seahawks, vs. Miami Dolphins, vs. Atlanta Falcons, @ Detroit Lions, @ Carolina Panthers, vs. Buffalo Bills, vs. San Francisco 49ers, @ St. Louis Rams, @ New Orleans Saints
And here’s a look at the grid with the names of the actual teams for reference: