Week 9 NFL Picks November 3, 2012  |  Neil Parker

Going to roll with 5 rapid fire NFL picks this week.  The Titans and Chargers let me down last week, and I just couldn’t find the courage to put my internet integrity behind the Dolphins so we lost overall for the first time in awhile.  This week I’m going back to some teams who have got me check marks in the win column in the past, and backing some solid defensive football teams.


Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans

Both teams are coming off of their bye week, and boast two of the best rushing attacks in the NFL, but that might be where the similarities end.  Defensively, Houston is not only stingy, but they are opportunistic, whereas the Buffalo Bills’ off season hyped defensive unit is the opposite.  Look for Arian Foster to establish the run game early, and allow Matt Schuab to manage the offense and distribute the football to his weapons.  Lets rewind to the Bills trip to San Francisco in Week 5, and the outcome could be eerily similar for the Bills.

Texans by at least two touchdowns.


Chicago Bears at Tennessee Titans

The good news for Tennessee is that they finally slowed down an opposition last week, but couldn’t bring home the win against the Colts, while the Bears are coming off a huge character win.  The Bears defense is going to be too much for the Titans this week, they have the top ranked rushing defense and the only team with more takeaways in the NFL hasn’t had their bye week yet.  The Titans have some weapons, but their bottom tier defense wont be able to keep Cutler and the Bears off the field long enough to stay in this football game.

Bears will cover the spread, and win by at least 4.


Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals

Continuing with the topic of top defenses, the Broncos are starting to resemble their 2011 selves as they’re trending up the total defense stat sheet.  They dominated the Saints last week, and held one of the league’s best offenses to only 14 points.  The Bengals have been up and down all season, and are looking to snap a three game skid off their bye week.  Their running game has been under serious critisim as Green-Ellis continues to disappoint, and look for Champ Bailey to shut down A.J. Green in arguably the best matchup of the week.  Don’t forget that Peyton Manning is really good at football.

Again, the road favorite will cover the spread.  Broncos by at least 4.


Detroit Lions at Jacksonville Jaguars

A banged up Green Bay team handled the Jaguars last week, so a motivated Lions club coming off a huge come from behind win against a tough Seahawks team shouldn’t have issues.  The line is low, another -3.5 road favorite, and although the Lions secondary is beat up, Matt ‘Fat Face’ Stafford has begun to turn his season around and the Lions are 2nd in the NFL in passing.  The Lions need this win to stay competitive, and they have the offensive weapons.  The Jaguars are a bad football team, but despite their ability to be surprisingly competitive this season I still like the Lions.

Going three in a row, Lions on the road by at least 4.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Oakland Raiders

This is going to be a close football game.  The Raiders have shown they can come up big at home, but after back to back weeks against week competition, I look for the Bucs newfound offensive firepower to be too much for them.  Tampa Bay has the benefit of extra rest after their statement win last Thursday night against the Vikings, and all eyes will be on Doug Martin, and whether or not he can build on his breakout performance.  Carl Knicks is out for the Bucs and that stands to hinder their running game, but ultimately, the Raiders are about to see their season tail spin begin.

I’ll take the road dog, Tampa by a point.

3 Responses

  1. Norman says:

    12 Team PPR: Dez Bryant or James Jones as my WR2, flexing Pierre Thomas.

  2. Norman says:

    10 Team PPR: Last minute decision, I have Reggie Wayne, Dez Bryant & DMC. 1 wr spot open & my flex open. What do I do!?!? Thanks!

    • Neil Parker says:

      I like Wayne and McFadden. Dez is too inconsistent, has some health concerns and the ball gets spread around in big D.

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