Week 9 DraftKings Value Picks
October 30, 2014 | Ian Goldsmith
Be sure to check out the Week 9 DFS CHEAT SHEET before locking in your lineups!
Alex Smith: $5700 – Kansas City vs. NY Jets
Who has given up the most DK fantasy points per game to QBs this season? THE JETS! It’s time for Mr. Checkdown to have himself a day. Don’t over think this one. His price has dropped to below $6000, which is a price point I love. He has a very high chance of hitting 20+ FP this week. I’d feel safe to use him in cash games, but his upside this week is high enough for tournaments as well.
Brian Hoyer: $5300 – Cleveland vs. Tampa Bay
Do I like Hoyer? As a person, sure, why not. As a fantasy QB? No. That being said, his matchup this week is too good to ignore. The Bucs are giving up over 21.5 FP to opposing QBs, sixth worst in the league. He’s obviously only a tournament option, but the upside is there. Just don’t use him too liberally.
Shane Vereen: $4600 – New England vs. Denver
This is the type of player that I love to use in tournaments. He had an off week against Chicago last week, which means that a number of people may be put off. How can you count Vereen out, however? He is constantly used in the passing game, which will be especially important this week when New England has to face the powerful pass rush of Denver. Von Miller and Co. will force Brady into making quicker decisions, which should indicate an uptick in screen passes to Shane. Oh, and Vereen’s price dropped an astounding $1600. Tournament play, but you could use him in a few cash game as I think his price is low enough that his usage rate in the passing game gives him a relatively high floor.
Darren Sproles: $4100 – Philadelphia at Houston
Sproles is back! Much like Vereen, I think people will largely stay away from using him in this game against Houston. Why? Well, his only two noteworthy games were in weeks one and two. That being said, McCoy has struggled and Philly will certainly be aided by having another strong RB on the field. Sproles’ price is the lowest it has been all season. With JJ Watt and Co. putting the pressure on, I can see Foles looking Sproles’ way (using Foles and Sproles in the same sentence is confusing the hell out of me) for a lot of short screens. Tournament play only.
Michael Floyd: $3800 – Arizona at Dallas
How many people got screwed over by Floyd’s ZERO last week? Ugh. I know that I did in a few lineups. Oh well, the past is the past. Floyd gets a chance to redeem himself against a Dallas defense that looks somewhat vulnerable after allowing Washington and Colt McCoy to come in and tiki-take them to death. That being said, McCoy was able to expose the Dallas secondary and deep threat DeSean Jackson had a nice game. Floyd should bounce back this week. It was John Brown and Fitzy’s turn last week and I think Palmer will want to spread the love. Tournament play only.
Miles Austin: $3400 – Cleveland vs. Tampa Bay
This play is only is Jordan Cameron is out this week. In week’s two and three, when Cameron was out/returning from injury, Austin received a much higher usage, catching 6 passes and a TD in both weeks. With Cameron likely out, Hoyer will be looking Austin’s way more often than usual again. He has a juicy matchup against Tampa Bay and has a chance to break out this week in a big way. Tournament play only.
Jason Witten: $3200 – Dallas vs. Arizona
Arizona’s defense is still a sieve to TEs. While Witten’s use is certainly lower than in his prime, his numbers have been relatively stable since week 3, only scoring below 8.9 once (in Week 7). I especially like Witten if Weeden starts as I think that JW will be used as a crutch. Regardless, Witten’s year-low price of $3200 is just too enticing to pass up against the Cardinals. Tournament play.
Julius Thomas: $5600 – Denver at New England
Why put one of the top couple TEs in a value column? Well, the price doesn’t hurt. $5600 is the cheapest price he’s had all season. The former Portland State (GO VIKINGS!) player gets a great matchup, to boot. New England is allowing opposing TEs to score 14.68 FP against them on DraftKings. Their defense is better set up to close down receivers. Revis and Co. will be focused on stopping DT and Sanders, leaving more chances for Thomas to be involved this week. He should bounce back in a big way. I’m using him in cash and tournaments.
Oakland is walking into the den of the 12th man. They stand no chance. Seattle has its best fantasy output of the season this week.
Week 8 Recap
A decent week overall. Miami DST was the real highlight, going for a whopping 28 points against the Jaguars. They once again proved why you should always pick the DST that goes against the Jags. Always. Foles was pleasant, the NY Jets’ DST was not. Dwayne Allen disappointed me, especially considering that Luck threw the ball 45 times for 400 yards. Oh well, at least he caught a TD. Onto the results.
Miami DST – 8.48 Points Per Thousand ($DK)
Nick Foles – 4.28
Zach Ertz – 3.06
Travaris Cadet – 2.9
Teddy Bridgewater – 2.73
Doug Baldwin – 2.57
Dwayne Allen – 2.33
Lamar Miller – 2.15
Jarius Wright – 0.94
NY Jets – 0