Week 7 Waiver Wire October 15, 2013  |  gregsauce

Imagine a race where you need to fly from Anchorage to Miami, but you must break the trip into 16 separate legs and you have no way of knowing the flight plans or schedules for any airport until you arrive on the premises. Each stop along the way offers a new multi-branched decision tree for where to fly next. Your flight experiences vacillate between smooth sailing and gut-wrenching turbulence. Welcome to fantasy football. As soon as the Monday Night Football game ends, you’ve landed at a new destination and are tasked with setting up your team not only for success in the subsequent week, but also en route to the final destination of a championship.

The stress of the week between games is omnipresent. Every bit of relevant news leads you to question your roster and starting lineup. On the other hand, avoiding the ups and downs of a tempestuous Sunday red-eye is entirely possible. Turn off the television, holster your Smartphone, and find a different way to spend the end of your week. If you’re not willing to quit football cold turkey, find a different way to enjoy the game. Click away from the RedZone channel and keep it locked on your favorite team for three hours. Better yet, go see a game in person. Temporarily disconnecting from your fake football enterprises will teach you new ways to break down a weekend’s worth of fantasy action. From recaps to target breakdowns, the online fantasy tools at your disposal are as useful as they are endless (TheFakeFootball’s are the best, of course).

With all that said, the Week 7 Waiver Wire is brought to you by Candlestick Park, whose blustery confines lured me off the couch one last time on Sunday for the Cards-49ers game. These suggested pick-ups were mined from the box scores that were populated while I was baking in the nosebleeds, cursing the cost of concessions and lamenting the frequency of TV timeouts. It wasn’t a superlative day of fantasy immersion, but it was still football. And yes, even from the upper deck, Andre Ellington looked infinitely better than Rashard Mendenhall.



Better late than never: Chad Henne, Brandon Weeden, and Nick Foles

After leading the Vikes to victory in Week 5, Matt Cassel fell short against the Panthers in Week 6. Josh Freeman is waiting in the wings and could be a viable QB2 if he assumes the starting role.

Thad Lewis scored twice through the air and once on the ground in his NFL debut and finished as a top-10 QB in a week when typically reliable QBs failed to deliver. He suffered a foot injury in the game, but is expected to start in Week 7 against the Dolphins. I’m still not buying in standard leagues, but 2-QB owners should take notice.

Mike Glennon also finished top-10 in Week 6. His match-up this week at Atlanta makes him a serviceable bye week fill-in for managers in extremely deep leagues, but don’t expect much beyond that. Glennon faces Carolina in Week 8 and Seattle in Week 9, respectively the worst and fifth-worst match-ups for fantasy quarterbacks.



Better late than never: Andre Ellington, Zac Stacy, and Brandon Jacobs

With DeMarco Murray likely sidelined this week, rushing duties for the Cowboys will fall to Joseph Randle and Lance Dunbar. Dunbar is more appealing fantasy option, but he didn’t play on Sunday. A touchdown saved Randle’s fantasy day in relief of Murray, but he could only muster 32 yards on 13 touches. Every starting running back holds value in fake football, but Randle is less appealing if he’s splitting carries with Dunbar (or Phillip Tanner).

The Jets’ running backs are dropping like flies. Mike Goodson was lost for the season and Bilal Powell hurt his shoulder on Sunday. Powell may be available for Week 7, but injury connoisseur Chris Ivory will likely receive more work, regardless. If Powell can’t play or makes his injury worse against the Patriots, all the preseason hype heaped on then-assumed-starter Ivory could finally pay off.

The trouble with Saints running backs is you never know which one will march into the end zone on game day. Pierre Thomas and Khiry Robinson each gained over 50 yards on the ground, but Robinson scored the team’s lone rushing TD. Will it be Thomas this week? Darren Sproles? The New Orleans backfield will continue to frustrate fantasy owners, so don’t look at these guys for consistent production going forward.

Chris Ogbonnaya managed to find paydirt on Sunday and he continues to play plenty of snaps in the Cleveland offense. The Browns are dedicated to using Ogbonnaya in the passing game, evidenced by his team-leading 12 targets. Pay attention, PPR owners.

Brandon Jacobs currently resides in the ivory tower that is the “better late than never” section above, but he’s nursing a hamstring injury. Jacobs is expected to practice this week, but with the Giants playing on Monday night, owners planning to start him might want to invest in Michael Cox. Da’Rel Scott suffered a more serious hamstring strain in Week 6, making Cox the only truly healthy running back in New York’s arsenal.

Mike Tolbert scored twice and posted 47 total yards on Sunday on the way to his best game of the season (16 fantasy points). Tolbert has talent, but he only scored 14 points combined in his first 4 games. Jonathan Stewart, meanwhile, could rejoin the fold any week now and that will only muddle this rushing timeshare further.



Better late than never: Denarius Moore, Keenan Allen, Rueben Randle, Robert Woods, Terrance Williams, and Kris Durham

As we all wait for the Rob Gronkowski return that may never happen, someone needs to catch passes from Tom Brady. Kenbrell Thompkins stole the headlines with his game-ending TD grab, but Aaron Dobson was Brady’s rookie receiver of choice for most of the game. Dobson’s 10 targets were second on the team to Julian Edelman’s 11. With Gronk seemingly no closer to playing and Danny Amendola reset to his “injured” factory default, Dobson should continue to accrue fantasy points.

Brandon LaFell broke out on Sunday with 107 yards and TD on 4 catches. The touchdown was a 79-yarder, which puts his yards per catch on the other three grabs at 9.3. The big plays count, but don’t go crazy over LaFell with your FAAB or waiver priority.

If unexciting consistency is more your speed, give Mohamed Sanu a whirl. Andy Dalton keeps giving Sanu a steady dose of targets (5.3 per game), but Sanu hasn’t yet found the end zone. It’s unlikely he’ll go the entire season without scoring, so you could do worse if trying to catch lightning in a bottle on a bye week.

With Stevie Johnson in street clothes, T.J. Graham stepped up and caught 4 of his 6 targets for 74 yards. Johnson could return in Week 7, but on the chance that he doesn’t, Graham could be a sneaky addition to your bench.



Better late than never: Jeff Cumberland

Of Washington’s receivers, only Pierre Garcon had more targets than Jordan Reed on Sunday. Reed is emerging as one of RGIII’s more reliable pass-catching options and should be owned in more leagues.

Similarly, Timothy Wright ranked second on his team in targets for Week 6, but Wright’s usage was elevated by the absence of Mike Williams. At 0-5, the Buccaneers are essentially playing for next year, so don’t be surprised if Wright remains involved even after Williams returns.

Joseph Fauria caught all three of his targets on Sunday for touchdowns. He only has 4 other receptions on the season, two of which were also touchdowns. Fauria is a huge target and that’s why the Lions utilize him so much around the goal line, but it’s hard to trust a player who has three zero-point games in six weeks.

Jimmy Graham couldn’t have had a worse Week 6. In addition to being shut out by Aqib Talib, Graham had to leave the game with a foot injury. Ben Watson amassed a respectable 61 yards on 4 targets in the game and appears to be locked in as the Saints’ #2 tight end, should Graham miss any further time.

34 Responses

  1. PhilB says:

    Nice Waiver Wire write up, as always.

    I picked up Reed last week and I’m starting him with Graham on bye.
    Anyways, pick one for my flex, PPR:
    Chris Ivory
    Jarret Boykin
    Robert Woods (FA)


  2. Andy says:

    Need 1 RB and 1 Flex out of these guys (PPR):

    L. Miller, MJD, Mike Tolbert, Keenan Allen, Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Floyd.


  3. Dave S says:

    would you drop Reed for Ivory? non ppr Have Gronk and Clay at TE and good at RB but always want more depth or trade bait

    • gregsauce says:

      @Dave S: Depends on how badly you need the RB help, but that move seems fine to me considering your other (better) options at TE.

  4. Randy says:

    Need some wavier wire help. Which RB should I pick up? Looking ROS. RB scoring: 25 yd = 1 pt, TD = 6 pt. (TD heavy league)

    Zac Stacey
    Ryan Mathews
    Brandon Jacobs
    Joseph Randle

  5. Anthony says:

    One more if you may: got Shorts, Jeffrey, Colston, and have to pick up a QB for a bye. which should I drop, and should I drop another of these for K. Allen? Thanks.

    • gregsauce says:

      @Anthony: I don’t like having to drop any of those three, but based on his injury concerns, I’d let Shorts go. I couldn’t fault you for dropping Colston instead, but I wouldn’t give up on him just yet, especially with Jimmy Graham’s status in question.

  6. nate says:

    would like to upgrade at qb by using my wr depth (qbs are pryor/ben, wrs are marshall/antonio brown/blackmon/alshon jeff/keenan allen/michael floyd)

    alshon for rivers a good deal for me? i dont see myself using alshon much

    important note. keeper rules for next year rely on round drafted in this year (1 guy kept). i got alshon in the 12th and blackmon in the 13th

  7. wile e coyote says:

    Need your WW help:

    Pls rank for ROS value:

    RB: J. Randle, L. Dunbar, C. Ivory, K. Hunter

    TE: K. Rudolph, J. Reed

  8. Dave says:

    Would you drop ben Tate for Jacobs, Ellington, ivory or ogbonnaya? It’s 1 pt PPR my other RBs are Martin, lacy, bell, miller, Stacy and Wilson. I suppose I could also drop Wilson for one of those 4 guys. Thoughts? Thanks!

    • gregsauce says:

      @Dave: I’d drop Wilson for Ellington or Jacobs, depending on who you like more. Considering you don’t own Arian Foster, I wouldn’t have a problem with dropping Tate for the other one, but it’s riskier.

  9. Jermichael says:

    12 Team PPR, 10th in waivers. Would you drop Andre Brown for Joseph Randle or Durham?

    • gregsauce says:

      @Jermichael: Depends on if you need the help from Randle and Durham right now. If your team is fine and you can afford to wait for Brown, stay put.

  10. Keyser says:

    Pls rank Hankerson, Marlon Brown, Patterson, Boykin, and Ivory in standard scoring plus 1 pt per 25 return yards (kinda why I’m hanging onto Patterson). Thanks!

  11. Anthony says:

    Thanks for the Waiver Wired! Q; 2 qb lg, got Brees and Peyton, A. Johnson, Gordon, Nicks, Shorts, Colston, Jeffrey. Trade Brees and Jeffrey for Brady and Mega? Thanks.

    • gregsauce says:

      @Anthony: With Megatron’s current injury status, I don’t think you can make that deal. Furthermore, in a 2-QB league, it’s probably not worth breaking up your Manning-Brees combo. That pair should lead you to victory most weeks.

      • Anthony says:

        Ok, thanks! You’re right about Calvin and my duo, was thinkin Brady would improve w Gronk and more time w his WRs, and also thinkin Brees doesn’t need to ait it out every game with that D and impetus on running game.

  12. David Baird says:

    Hey Greg,

    Standard ESPN league; got a few dilemmas.

    QB: Stafford or Wilson?
    RB2: Woodhead, SJax, Miller?
    WR2: Gordon or Decker?
    Flex: ???


  13. Cochise says:

    Whats up gregsauce, I got a couple questions who do you like better ros at te bennet or finley? Who is the better ogbonnaya or dunbar?

    • gregsauce says:

      @Cochise: Bennett over Finley. For those RBs, Ogbonnaya is the better play this week and will generally be more consistent, but Dunbar has more upside if he can get healthy before DeMarco Murray.

  14. Walter black says:

    As a Cobb owner, who should i be targetting? What do i do with Cobb in a 12 team ppr?

    Thanks as always!

    • gregsauce says:

      @Walter black: Jarrett Boykin will be the beneficiary at WR, but Jermichael Finley and Eddie Lacy will also see increased workloads. With that said, you’re not required to replace a Packer with a Packer, so take inventory of all available WR options.

  15. Gary says:

    ^ Made the same move last week. Week 1 seems like such an aberration at this point and the Cards have been shredded by TEs all season. Reed looks explosive and Washington actually designed plays to get him the ball early on Sunday night.

  16. MrG says:

    safe to drop Cook for Reed in a PPR?

    • gregsauce says:

      @McG: I don’t know if “safe” is the word I’d use. Cook could still have occasional good games, but Reed should be more consistent going forward.

      • mrG says:

        thanks…safe may not be the word…but I could see Cook having some good games, but consistency has been terrible. I have H. Miller and have only held on to Cook because I cant figure why the Rams would have paid him so much money not to get him the ball..

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