Week 17 DraftKings Value Picks
December 27, 2014 | Ian Goldsmith
Do you play NFL DFS? Yes?! Check out The Fake Football Week 17 Cheat Sheet!
Andy Dalton: $6,000 – Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
I love using players in must-win games. Sunday night’s battle is for the AFC North crown and home field. Pittsburgh’s defense cannot stop opposing QBs and Dalton just scored 30 FP on them in Week 14. While he may not hit that huge number again, he is in line for a big game and should easily hit value.
Chase Daniel: $5,000 – Kansas City vs San Diego
Alex Smith is out for Sunday’s must win game, leaving Chase Daniel as Kansas City’s only hope for a playoff birth. He rarely plays, so it’s hard to predict what he is capable of. In Week 17 last season, he filled in and scored 17.9 FP, passing for 200 yards and a TD and adding another 59 yards on the ground. The Chiefs need this win to have any hope of the postseason, so he’ll be pumped up and ready to go. I’m only using him in tournaments.
Jacquizz Rodgers: $3,600 – Atlanta vs Carolina
With Steven Jackson unlikely to go, Jacquizz will take on a much expanded role. While Devonta Freeman could likely see more rushing attempts, Quizz should see enough love in the passing game to make him relevant on a 1 PPR site like DraftKings. He’s risky, but could pay off big in what should be a high-scoring, tense affair for the right to be the NFC 4 seed.
Branden Oliver: $3,500 – San Diego at Kansas City
Ryan Mathews has been ruled out, leaving Oliver as the workhorse in San Diego. His guaranteed carries plus his consistent use in the passing game makes him a very intriguing option for only $3,500. He has exceeded value in each of the past two weeks and should do so again in a must win game for the Chargers.
Martavis Bryant: $3,900 – Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati
Does he have a nickname yet? If not, it should be “Boom or Bust”. It seems that in every game Bryant is going to be a bust and then all of a sudden he catches an 80 yards TD to redeem himself. Pittsburgh is in a must-win game that should be very high scoring. I like Bryant’s chances for a TD here. He only needs about 11 FP to hit value, a number he can easily exceed. Fantastic tournament option. Do not use him in cash games.
Cole Beasley: $3,600 – Dallas at Washington
Like Bryant, Beasley is fairly TD dependent for value. Unlike Bryant, however, he has been more consistent, scoring at least 7.1 FP in each of the past five weeks. Washington is actually fairly decent against the run, so Romo will have to pass often in a must-win game for the Cowboys. Why is it must win? Dallas still has a chance for a first round bye, that’s why. Beasley will continue to be involved and will not ruin your team. Expect 2X value as a floor, with a potential for much, much more.
Jermaine Gresham: $3,200 – Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Gresham has been a solid asset for the Bengals this season, filling in nicely after Tyler Eifert went down in game 1. He has scored at least 5.9 FP in every game since week 6, so he is a virtual lock for a floor of 2X value. Pittsburgh is just average against opposing TEs; Gresham scored 11.3 FP on them just three weeks ago. If you want to punt the TE position, Gresham is your safest play.
Tim Wright: $3,000 – New England vs Buffalo
Gronkowski is reportedly going to have very little playing time Sunday in what is a meaningless game for the Pats, leaving Wright with plenty of opportunity. The Bills are stout on defense, but will be without Marcell Dareus and Stephon Gilmore, which could open up some room for Wright to operate. He’s risky, so focus on using him in tournaments only.
They have a home game versus Cleveland’s third-string QB in what is a must-win game. Don’t overthink this one.
They face the Jaguars in a must-win game. Would you want to be Blake Bortles on Sunday?