Week 15 DraftKings Value Picks
December 13, 2014 | Ian Goldsmith
Jake Locker: $5,400 – Tennessee vs. Jacksonville
Locker is my one of my favorite cheap QB options of the week. While everybody enjoys the anticipation of Johnny Football making his first start (who is definitely worth using in tournaments), for $500 less you can have Locker, who gets to play against a Jets’ defense that has struggled to contain QBs while on the road. They turned Teddy Bridgewater and Kyle Orton into fantasy gods. While Locker will likely regress to his mediocre form next week, he gets a matchup Sunday that he should have no trouble exploiting.
Derek Anderson: $5,000 – Carolina vs. Tampa Bay
While Cam Newton recovers, Anderson gets a chance to fill in against a Tampa team he performed admirably against in week 1. While he may not be as agile or as strong-armed as his fellow Panther QB, he is a veteran who knows how to play smart, relatively mistake-free football. While Tampa has done better against opposing QBs recently, their success has only come at home. In their past three away games, they have given up a minimum of 28.5 FP to QBs. While Anderson likely won’t hit that number, he has a fantastic chance at 15-20 FP.
Chris Ivory/Chris Johnson: $4,200/$3,600 – NY Jets at Tennessee
The only problem with these two guys this week is that you don’t know which one is going to go off. To solve this issue, I have a solution. Start both! They are a great tournament pairing against a team that has given up the fourth most DK FP to RBs this season. Since week 8, they have given up an average of more than 35 FP per game to RBs. For $7,800 combined, these two have a legit shot at 30 combined points. Tournament option.
Latavius Murray: $4,000 – Oakland at Kansas City
Oakland has finally made the correct decision and made Murray their feature back. After a huge game against Kansas City (on only 4 carries), the Raiders gave him a huge bump in touches last week against the stout 49ers rushing defense, whom he played admirably against – 23 carries for 76 yards. He gets Kansas City again this week. While he probably won’t bust another 90 yard run, he’ll have plenty of opportunity to rack up FPs against a team that has given up more than 30 FP to RBs in three of the past five weeks. Given the large expected number of carries, he should be fairly safe to use in cash or tournaments.
Marqise Lee: $3,600 – Jacksonville at Baltimore
After a strong week 1, Lee basically did a disappearing act until the past two weeks, over which time he has 11 receptions on 16 targets for 142 yards and a TD. While the numbers are not mind blowing, they are more than acceptable for a player with his price point. Even without Haloti Ngata, the Ravens will have no trouble bottling up the Jacksonville run game. Bortles will have to throw all day long if the Jags want to remain competitive. Another 4-6 catch game is very doable for Lee. Tournament option.
Marquess Wilson: $3,000 – Chicago vs. New Orleans
If you are plugging in Wilson, then you are willing to throw the dice. We have almost no idea what to expect from the 2nd year WR from Washington State. That being said, he is playing in what should be a very high scoring affair against New Orleans. While I think Martellus Bennett will be the biggest fantasy benefactor of Brandon Marshall’s injury, Wilson is in a position at minimum salary to be a huge boost to your team. Tournament only.
Antonio Gates: $4,500 – San Diego vs. Denver
We are in week 15 and 12 AFC teams still have a legitimate shot at making the playoffs; only four AFC teams are below .500. At 8-5, San Diego is in a must win game against division rival Denver. They won’t be able to run the ball against Denver’s defense, so Philip Rivers will have to take to the air all game long. Denver’s one real weakness in defense is against the TE position, to which they have yielded more than 15 FP per game this season. Gates had a magnificent game against the Broncos earlier this season and will be needed once again if the Chargers want to have any shot at upending the Orange Crush. If you don’t want to pay up for one of the premium TEs, Gates is a fantastic option.
Larry Donnell: $3,800 – NY Giants vs. Washington
The only thing holding Donnell back in this game is that Eli Manning has at his disposal one Odell Beckham Jr. He destroyed Washington earlier this season, one week before OBJ made his debut. Washington struggles against TEs, giving up the 5th most points to the position. Donnell has a chance at a great game, but he is just a tournament option only when Eli is looking to his star receiver 15 times per game.
Everybody playing Seattle should be afraid at this point. After shutting down the high-flying Eagles’ offense, it is clear that the Seahawks are back to being the dominant force that took them to a championship last season. They gave up only 3 points to this same 49ers team in San Francisco in week 13. Seattle are 10 point favorites in a game with an O/U of 38. Vegas expects a dominant performance and so should you.
Jaguars. ‘Nuff said.