Week 11 Starts and Sits
November 17, 2016 | Jackson Safon
It’s a super high-scoring slate this week, with four games having at least a 50 point predicted point total. Because of that, it’s going to be important to pick the right players to start and sit this week.
We’re making the final turn guys. Three weeks left in the regular season.
As far as last week goes, I nailed a few and whiffed hard on a few. I said to start Marcus Mariota, sit Alex Smith and start Brandin Cooks. Bam. Also said do start Darren Sproles, sit Kelvin Benjamin, and start Dennis Pitta. Oof.
But let’s get to it, shall we?
Start: Tyrod Taylor @ Cin
Tygod has had a bit of an up and down season, but now takes on a Cincinnati Bengals defense that has been so, so, so much worse this season than in years past. After allowing a big game to Eli Manning on Monday Night Football, they are now allowing the sixth most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.
The Bengals are also allowing the seventh most rushing yards to quarterbacks this year, so Taylor has a chance to exploit the ground game as well. While the line isn’t super high for this game, I expect a really solid game from the Bills coming off their bye against the Bengals on a short week.
Other starts: Kirk Cousins vs. GB and Blake Bortles @ Det (really)
Sit: Carson Palmer @ Min
Another guy having an up and down season is Carson Palmer. His receivers have been inconsistent and so has he. This week he takes on a Vikings defense that hasn’t been quite as dominant recently as they were early in the season, but they’re still dynamite. The Vikings are allowing under 15 points per game at home, and just a couple weeks ago they held down Matt Stafford to only 219 yards with two touchdowns and one interception.
Palmer and the Cardinals offense struggled against an awful 49ers defense last week, so I don’t trust his ability on the road against the Vikings. He’s a sit for me.
Other sits: Joe Flacco @ Dal and Ryan Tannehill @ LA
Start: Jonathan Stewart vs. NO
Stewart had a rough week last week, going for only 39 yards on 13 attempts. But there’s nothing better for a slump than going up against the Saints’ defense! This game has the second highest over/under this week, and the Saints are allowing the fourth most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. Stewart has a great chance to get back on track this week.
One of the keys here will be whether or not he gets any goal line carries, as Cam Newton has been taking many of those recently. While things like that are hard to predict, I think the Panthers score enough and move the ball well enough that Stewart should get plenty of chances.
Other starts: Theo Riddick vs. Jac
Sit: Dion Lewis @ SF
To the surprise of many, Lewis was inactive last week against Seattle. While it’s almost a lock that he plays this week, I’m not sure how many touches he gets. It’s likely Lewis will be eased back into the game plan, especially with the effectiveness of both LeGarrette Blount and James White. Plus, this isn’t exactly a game that scripts well for Lewis.
The Patriots are going to blow the 49ers out. Coming off a loss against a struggling team, it’s going to be Patriots by a lot. Because of this, Blount looks like the best play out of the New England backfield, as he will probably get at least 10 carries in the fourth quarter alone.
Other sits: Doug Martin @ KC and Duke Johnson vs. Pit
Start: Doug Baldwin vs. Phi
Russell Wilson is back. Russell Wilson is back and when Russell Wilson is Russell Wilson it means Doug Baldwin will go ballistic. It wouldn’t surprise me at all if we saw a similar second half to last year from both Wilson and Baldwin. While Philadelphia is a relatively tough matchup, they’ve actually allowed the 13th most fantasy points to opposing receivers.
Last week we saw what happens when Baldwin and Wilson are on the same page along with Wilson being healthy. I’d expect it to continue this week against Philly, especially with the Seahawks at home.
Other starts: Jamison Crowder vs. GB and Rishard Matthews @ Ind
Sit: Eddie Royal @ NY
Alshon Jeffery is out for a month after being caught using PEDs, so everyone is clamoring for their Bears receivers. But…I’m not sure why. Jay Cutler has been a disaster since returning to the starting job…almost Bortles-level bad. Alshon Jeffery only has one touchdown all season and has only surpassed 80 yards once since week two.
If it wasn’t going well for a receiver as talented as Jeffery, I don’t see why it would be successful for guys like Cameron Meredith or Eddie Royal.
Other sits: Tavon Austin vs. Mia and Jeremy Kerley vs. NE
Start: C.J. Fiedorowicz @ Oak
A favorite streamer of the fantasy community, Fiedorowicz flopped a bit last week, having his lowest receptions and yardage total since week three. The good news is he’s primed for a bounce back against the disastrous Raiders defense. Oakland is allowing the eighth most fantasy points to opposing tight ends.
Another positive factor for Fiedorowicz is that the Raiders are favored by six in this game, meaning Houston should be throwing a reasonable amount. I’d expect at least seven targets for Fiedorowicz this week, meaning he should be able to have a solid week.
Other starts: Delanie Walker @ Ind and Eric Ebron vs. Jac
Sit: Jason Witten vs. Bal
Witten has been wildly inconsistent with Dak Prescott at quarterback this year. While many expected him to be a security blanket for the rookie quarterback, Prescott hasn’t been afraid of throwing it all around the yard. Baltimore is a tough matchup for tight ends, and this game is predicted to be relatively low scoring. I don’t think Witten finds the end zone this week.
Other sits: Cameron Brate @ KC and Zach Ertz @ Sea