The Waiver Wire – Week 2
September 13, 2017 | Doug Shain
The Waiver Wire – Week 2
Every league is different so doing a generic waiver wire article is difficult because nothing in season long fantasy is one size fits all. Lucky for you, nothing about what I do is generic. Every week I’m going to bust out a list of players that are available on some percentage of waiver wires (I try to keep the list to guys under 50% owned). I’m going to tell you if you need to run and get them right now, keep an eye out for them, or run and hide. I’ll also make sure to give you a streaming options if you’re like me and only draft one QB, TE, or DEF. I won’t talk about kickers because kickers aren’t real players and you should be ashamed to play in a league that starts one (I’m in two; misery loves company). Before we start, he’s a quick look at the six categories of free agent players that we will be talking about:
Let’s Get Crazy – Players I think can be league difference makers
Due Diligence – Players that you should bid on
Optical Illusions – Players that are intriguing but who may not be exactly what they seem
Look But Don’t Touch – Players that I’ll be keeping an eye on but am not yet ready to commit to
Dream the Stream – Quarterbacks, Tight Ends, and Defenses that have solid matchups this week and are worth a stream
Just in Case – Players with a slightly higher ownership that you need to make sure aren’t on waivers
Now that that business is out of the way, it’s on with the show!
|Let’s Get Crazy||Buck Allen (BAL) – 44%||Corey Davis (TEN) – 55%||Baltimore Ravens – 81%|
|Alvin Kamara (NO) – 27%|
|Due Dilligence||Chris Carson (SEA) – 31%||Jermaine Kearse (NYJ) – 4%||Charles Clay (BUF) – 20%|
|Marqise Lee (JAX) – 23%|
|JJ Nelson (ARI) – 8%|
|Paul Richardson (SEA) – 14%|
|Mohamed Sanu (ATL) – 14%|
|Optical Illusion||Alex Smith (KC) – 44%||Kerwynn Williams (ARI) – 63%||Nelson Agholor (PHI) – 44%|
|Bennie Fowler (DEN) – 2%|
|Look But Don’t Touch||Jacoby Brissett (IND) – 1%||Elijah Penny (ARI) – 0%|
|Mike Tolbert (BUF) – 4%|
|Dream the Stream||Cameron Brate (TB) – 48%||Jacksonville Jaguars – 45%|
|Jared Cook (OAK) – 21%||Los Angeles Chargers – 9%|
|Just in Case||Tarik Cohen (CHI) – 79%||Cooper Kupp (LAR) – 60%|
|Thomas Rawls (SEA) – 60%||Kenny Golladay (DET) – 67%|
Let’s Get Crazy
This list is a total hodgepodge of players that I never thought I’d have on a list like this prior to Week 1. With Danny Woodhead pretty much toast, expect Allen to get all of his workload (and possibly more). Allen had 21 carries in Week 1 and it was him, not West, that was burning the clock with a big lead. He’s a pretty talented RB and his path to a large amount of touches is not encumbered. He’s the type of RB that could be a league-winning type of play. If you want to pull a DFS strategy into your season long leagues, see if the Ravens are available in your league. They are the real deal and pairing them with Allen is the kind of stack that can work very well. Baltimore stuffs the other teams, gets a big lead, and Allen salts it away…Alvin Kamara was by far the most dynamic RB on the field for the Saints on Monday night. He may not have put up the numbers but it’s only a matter of time before he’s on the positive side of the three-headed time share. Don’t be surprised if Adrian Peterson isn’t even on this team three weeks from now…Corey Davis led the Titans in targets in Week 1. He’s a big boy WR and everyone I listen to compares him to Odell Beckham Jr. That’s quite a compliment and one I don’t take lightly. He might not produce for you right away but by season’s end we are going to be talking about him as a WR2 at worst. If you can find a team that only looks at points and not targets, I’d try to steal him in a trade right now.
The real difference between this list and the first list is that I don’t think anyone on this list, at the moment, is a league winning type of play. I do think all of these players need to be owned but they are more there for depth than to try to catch lightning in a bottle. For example, Charles Clay is not sexy at all. What he is though is a guy who saw 9 targets in Week 1 and is about the only reliable pass catcher on the Bills. His upside is about what we saw last week: 4-40-1 but that plays in a pinch. He’s the type of player I want on my team right now if I drafted Hunter Henry to be my starter. I’m using Clay above Henry until LA proves they are moving on from Antonio Gates (I was never a Henry guy to begin with)…Jermaine Kearse and Mohamed Sanu are both target hogs with limited upside. I want guys who are getting their looks when I have an injury prone stud WR like OBJ and Julio Jones on my roster. Like Clay, they aren’t going to win you a league but they surely should keep you from losing a week as well…JJ Nelson and Paul Richardson are two kids that I think are primed to take a leap in their respective offenses. Nelson is more of a hit or miss home run type of play, while I think Richardson can develop into a Mohamed Sanu or Brandon LaFell type of reliable second fiddle…Of all the WR on this list, Marqise Lee has by far the highest ceiling. It won’t be long until he takes over as the true #1 on Jacksonville, for whatever that’s worth. Bortles is still going to have to throw when the Jags get behind, and they will, and Lee is the most talented WR on the Jacksonville roster. It may not happen this week, but very soon we are going to look at Lee as a fairly safe FLEX or WR3…I’m not totally sold on Chris Carson but until we see Thomas Rawls take the job in Seattle I think Carson is the guy to own. I may be inclined to give him a start this week is Rawls is inactive because it’s pretty obvious that Seattle is not in love with Eddie Lacy and the 49ers can’t stop the run at all.
Alex Smith has never thrown for 300 yards twice in a season. He also isn’t facing a defense that’s as bad as the Patriots this week, nor many other weeks this year. When push comes to shove the Chiefs are a running team and Alex Smith is a game manager. He has no business starting on in a 12 team league and barely deserves consideration in a 2 QB league…I don’t believe in Kerwynn Williams at all. There’s a reason that we keep hearing the name Andre Ellington, and that the Cardinals were in such a hurry to sign a washed up Chris Johnson. They don’t believe in Williams either. He should be ok this week against a terrible Colts team, but you and I could be good against the Colts. Even if he gets the majority of the work for the Cardinals I don’t see him getting a heavy enough work load to blow your wavier priority or a lot of FAAB if you don’t absolutely need an RB…We’ve just seen the best game Nelson Agholor is going to have. Don’t pay up for it. He is way too far down the pecking order in Philly to be a worthwhile pickup. Alshon Jeffery won’t be facing Josh Norman every week…I’d rather pay ten times as much for Agholor than I would for Bennie Fowler. Week 1 was the definition of a fluke.
Look But Don’t Touch
Remember when I said I don’t love Kerwynn Williams? I don’t care for Ellington or CJ0K either. Penny didn’t play at a big school but he was a bulldozer in college. He’s the biggest RB on the Cardinals roster and could be in line for goal line work right away. If the other RBs on the roster falter, Penny could see that role increase in the weeks to come. I wouldn’t grab him this week but keep an eye out for any indication that there will be an uptick in production; then pounce that week…Mike Tolbert got 12 carries. I don’t get it either but if he’s going to see work, and work at the goal line, then he’s got to be a guy to keep an eye on. I’m borderline ready to add him this week but I want to see his usage one more week before I take a stab. The only way I’d jump on him now was if I owned Shady and was thin at RB or had a very deep bench…If you’re playing in a 2 QB league it’s probably time to stop looking and start touching with Brissett. He’s going to be the starter sooner rather than later and you want to get on him before anyone else does. If you’re in a single QB league he’s a guy to keep an eye on as a streaming option if he’s showing any signs of promise. That WR group is pretty nice and if he can get it to him he could have a “Jared Goff in Week 1” type of performance against the right opponent.
Dream the Stream
Remember that time Austin Hooper had catches of 88 yards and 40 yards against the Bears? Sure you do, it was only four days ago. Cameron Brate faces that same Bears defense this weekend, and yes, he’s the TE to own in TB for now…The Jets can’t cover a TE either. They gave up a big game to Charles Clay in Week 1. Jared Cook is a very talented TE that saw 5 targets on Week 1. He faces the Jets this week…The Jags can play defense. They’re a little bit of a wacky play this week against Tennessee because the Titans can score but Mariota isn’t great away from home so this could work. Even if they’re not great this week, they are a defense you can hold on to and use for most of the next six weeks (BAL, NYJ, PIT, LAR, IND, and CIN)…The Chargers face Jay Cutler in their first home game in Los Angeles. Jay Cutler throws a lot of interceptions.
Just in Case
No analysis needed here really since everyone should have their eyes on Kupp, Golladay, and Cohen (and I’d rank them in that order). If they are out there, grab them now. The only name that might seem a little fishy is Thomas Rawls but when all is said and done, he’s the RB to own in Seattle. Get him now on the cheap if you still can.
Your feedback is always welcome. Please make sure to follow me on Twitter @bankster17, and keep an eye out for my DFS column (The Hail Mary) on the main page.
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