Victiv Championship Sunday Picks
January 17, 2015 | Justin Edwards
Assuming you’re a fan of one of the 28 teams that are not still in the playoffs, this Sunday will mark the end of your season. That’s right, let the tears well up as you realize that this is the final week to set your NFL dfs lineups. There are no more hours to spend pouring over your lineups, trying to set the perfect one to make mucho monies. Let’s make this a good one, ladies and gents, there is still money out there to be made.
We will only have two categories this week:
Big Money Cash Money Millionaires – The guy who’s going to soak up the biggest % of your salary, but still want on your team.
Ruff Ryders – The value (read: cheap) players that you’ll need to use to ride your lineup into the $$$.
Big Money Cash Money Millionaire – Tom Brady ($9,800)
The IND/NE Vegas line is sitting at 54 while the GB/SEA line is only at 47. It would make sense to aim for a QB on one of the higher scoring teams so here we are: Terrific Tom. The Colts will be sure to give up plenty of points come Sunday night, it’s just hard to tell if those scores will come from the ground game or through the air. Brady has 46 touchdowns in 27 career playoff games, so he’s just as likely to have a great game as any other quarterback in the Conference Championships.
Ruff Ryder – Aaron Rodgers ($8,300)
Week 20 marks the only time this year that the QB of possibly the best passing attack in the league will also be the cheapest option at the position. You will have to squelch your expectations against the best defense in the league, but Aaron Rodgers still has a nice floor whether his calf is hurting him or not. Going with ARod will give you a high ceiling and will save you at least $1100 to spend on other guys.
Big Money Cash Money Millionaire – Marshawn Lynch ($7,900)
Marshawn is the easiest choice this week and he’s even a tiny bit ($100) cheaper than the opposing running back. Green Bay’s rush D is the worst remaining according to Fantasy Outsiders’ DVOA where they finished 24th during the regular season. Lynch’s home splits have been great for a few years now and 11 of his 13 rushing TDs have come in Seattle this season, 2 of which came against this same defense in Week 1.
Ruff Ryders – LeGarrette Blount ($2,800)
Last week was not a week in which the Patriots needed to even bother running the ball against a Baltimore defense known for its physical run stuffing and its lacking secondary. New England rushed only 13 times and one of those rushes was a Tom Brady touchdown. The AFC No. 1 seed should look to flip the script this week against an Indy defense that is much more susceptible to the run. In the playoffs last year, Blount ran the ball 24 times to the tune of 166 yards and FOUR touchdowns against the Colts. Back in November, Jonas Gray got the ball 37 times and gashed them for 201 yards and four more touchdowns. Jonas was a healthy scratch from the divisional round matchup and hasn’t touched the ball in nearly a month. It would seem it is LeGarrette’s turn again to rack up the yardage.
Big Money Cash Money Millionaire – Jordy Nelson ($6,400)
Jordy is coming off his worst statistical game of the year, catching only 2 balls for 22 yards. It turns out that the Packers didn’t need much out of him as Rodgers focused on Randall Cobb and Davante Adams who each received 11 targets and bested 100-yards. This week should flip-flop back to Nelson as Adams will be matched up with CB Richard Sherman. Aaron targeted his No.1 WR 14 times in the opening game against Seattle back in September.
Ruff Ryders – Donte Moncrief ($2,600)
Moncrief has actually been a little bit more of a steady performer in the second half of the season with Reggie Wayne ailing. Donte had 8 targets go his way last week, and he’s been averaging more than 4 a game in the last 8 weeks. In the divisional game against the Broncos, Reggie garnered 0 targets and Hakeem Nicks had only 2 of Luck’s passes go his way. With Darrelle Revis more than likely covering T.Y. Hilton over the course of the game, Andrew Luck will need someone else to dump passes off to and Moncrief looks to be his best option.
Big Money Cash Money Millionaire – Rob Gronkowski ($7,100)
I don’t think I will make a lineup without Gronk. He’s almost the most expensive skill position player and he’s actually $700 more then Jordy Nelson. Rob is on a mini-streak of 4 games with a TD. Pretty good chance he stretches it to 5 games.
Ruff Ryders – Luke Willson ($2,800)
If you’re going to punt at the TE position this weekend, you might as well go for the guy who has scored three TDs in the last three games.
Big Money Cash Money Millionaire – Seahawks ($7,800)
Aaron Rodgers mustered only 189 yards and threw one of his five interceptions against this same team in Seattle the last time these two faced off. This Seahawks D/ST has scored double-digit fantasy points in 6 of their last 7 games and has had multiple sacks in each of those 7. The floor here is much higher than the other three teams.
Ruff Ryder – Patriots ($6,000)
New England is at home against a turnover-prone Andrew Luck. If you just don’t have the money for the Seahawks DEF, then this is your 2nd best option.
Here’s how I’m going to make a blend of BMCMMillionaires and RRyders into a team that will be ballin’ outrageous:
QB Aaron Rodgers
RB Marshawn Lynch
RB LeGarrette Blount
WR Jordy Nelson
WR Randall Cobb
TE Rob Gronkowski
FLEX Luke Willson
FLEX Donte Moncrief
Welp, I’m apparently not as afraid of the Seattle defense as I probably should be, but there you have it — my Rodgers-Nelson-Cobb stack will at least be fun to watch!
If you think these are awful picks and would like to let me know how your lineup is better, feel free to comment below or holla at ya boy on twitter.
Good luck fantasy nerds, hope you’re rolling in profit soon, and if not remember: “That’s the way she goes. Sometimes she goes, sometimes it doesn’t. She didn’t go. That’s the way she goes.”