Two Quarterback Rankings: Week 8
October 28, 2015 | Chet
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In a week where the Jaguars, Bills, Eagles, and Redskins are all on bye, some solid quarterback play is being lost. I’ve been beating his drum all season, but if you have one last chance to buy low on Ryan Fitzpatrick, I implore that you do. First off, I recommend him this week as he’s playing against a Raiders defense giving up over 300 yards per game through the air. Combine that with the fact that he’s thrown for two scores in all but one game, and he is the ultimate high floor QB2 for the week. In a game where he saw his best receiver consistently double teamed and had an ineffective ground game, Fitzpatrick was able to still move the ball effectively on his own. Going to the west coast maybe be more of a challenge for the Jets, but the Fitzmagic will continue this week. The Jets’ upcoming slate includes the QB friendly Raiders (8th most points allowed to QBs), Jaguars (9th), Bills (12th), and Texans (3rd). He’s an attractive buy if you’re looking for some stability in your lineup to help you with a run at a playoff berth.
Someone I’m selling is Brian Hoyer. Yes, he’s putting up much better numbers, but he was aided by the return of Arian Foster, who is now set to miss the remainder of the season after tearing his Achilles. Without a run game and bouts against the quietly good Titans defense, Bengals, and Jets coming up, Hoyer is a prime sell high candidate. I moved him in a dynasty league for Peyton Manning, which I think is still silly, even with Peyton sucking it up. Hoyer has always been streaky and has done nothing to show that this success is sustainable, especially without a threat to run the ball.
My Ranks for Week Eight:
- Tom Brady (@ MIA) – Terrific Tom is the no brainer QB1 this week as he has yet to score below 22 points this season. The FU Tour will continue in Miami.
- Philip Rivers (@ BAL) – He’s had insane volume his last 3 games, has no running game, and he now gets one of the league’s worst pass defenses. Points will fly.
- Carson Palmer (@ CLE) – He’s near unstoppable right now there’s simply no way to consider benching him.
- Cam Newton (vs IND) – Cam’s been reliant upon his legs this season (four rushing scores), but this is a game that is conducive to his skill set.
- Andy Dalton (@ PIT) – Dalton’s success has partly come from his decision making and efficiency, throwing only two interceptions. With the Steelers only allowing 3.9 YPC to running backs, this sets up to be another nice game for Dalton.
- Aaron Rodgers (@ DEN) – After seeing a chink in his armor during the Rams game, I don’t believe he’ll do what Tom Brady did to the Jets last week. Still, there’s no way you’re benching him here.
- Matthew Stafford (@ KC) – He’s the QB8 on the season, shockingly enough. Coming off back to back to back solid performances, Stafford is in position to continue his turnaround against another porous defense.
- Eli Manning (@ NO) – Don’t worry about the last two weeks. Eli should toast a Saints defense currently allowing the second most points to quarterbacks.
- Ryan Tannehill (vs NE) – His last two weeks he averaged a completion percentage of 83% , 274 yards, and three touchdowns. Coming out of the bye red hot, Tannehill has another juicy matchup against the Patriots’ generous pass defense that was just picked apart by Ryan Fitzpatrick.
- Matt Ryan (vs TB) – Tampa has allowed the fourth fewest passing yards, but a whopping 15 TDs. Plug him in as your lock of the week.
Fringe QB1s/High End QB2s:
- Ben Roethlisberger (vs CIN) – I’m confident he’ll play, but will he be all that affected by the injury? I’m giving him the wait and see approach if possible.
- Drew Brees (vs NYG) – On the year, Brees has only one game where he threw for more than 18 points, and the Giants have played much better defense the last two weeks.
- Andrew Luck (@ CAR) – The two second half touchdowns saved his week last week, but Luck just hasn’t looked the same this season.
- Russell Wilson (@ DAL) – His point totals this season remind you of a rich man’s Alex Smith. I think he has blowup potential this week as he’s due.
- Ryan Fitzpatrick (@ OAK) – H/T to @2QBFFB on this one; Oakland has allowed five QB1 finishes this season. He’s played well after the bye and is a must start.
- Peyton Manning (vs GB) – Another solid buy low depending on who owns him in your league, but don’t expect the turnaround to start against the Packers. He’s turned the ball over multiple times his last three games and the Packers have done a great job at creating takeaways this season.
- Teddy Bridgewater (@ CHI) – He’s coming off of his best start of the season, and the Bears are prone to giving up passing touchdowns. He’s a fine QB2 this week.
- Jameis Winston (@ ATL) – The Falcons are allowing a ton of yardage through the air (seventh most), and he should benefit from trailing early.
Low End QB2s:
- Jay Cutler (vs MIN) – They were against three weak pass defenses, but Cutler has strung together three straight solid performances. Expect him to hit a wall against the first of several stout pass defenses.
- Joe Flacco (vs SD) – He’s been exactly what you expect, but you’d like him to cut down on the turnovers. Luckily San Diego has only four interceptions on the year.
- Alex Smith (vs DET) – After his week two implosion against the Broncos, he’s been a very serviceable QB2. Detroit is a plus matchup, as they are vulnerable to the pass and have struggled with interceptions on the season.
- Marcus Mariota (@ HOU) – If he plays, it’s definitely an enticing matchup, we don’t know how much we can trust that knee. Another wait and see person for me.
- Colin Kaepernick (@ STL) – When you’re getting into this tier of guys, Kaepernick clearly has the most upside, but also the scariest floor. This isn’t a matchup that favors his ceiling.
- Nick Foles (vs SF) – Big Ben has played in only two and a half games and he trails Foles by 10 points on the season. Foles has only thrown for over 200 yards just once, but this is the game where he can do it again. SF still owns one of the worst pass defenses in football. He’s a true wild card.
- Derek Carr (vs NYJ) – Just an absolutely brutal matchup, and the Jets will be out for blood after a tough loss in New England. Do not touch.
- Brian Hoyer (vs TEN) – In his one game without Arian Foster: 10 fewer points than his season average and 41 fewer passing yards. He’ll probably turn back into a pumpkin for Halloween weekend.
- Josh McCown (vs ARI) – If he plays, he’ll play banged up against a very aggressive defense. Really hard to trust him here unless you have to.
- Zach Mettenberger (@ HOU) – If for some reason he plays, he’s not the worst start as the Texans have allowed the third most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks.
- Johnny Manziel (vs ARI) – If McCown sits, there’s still no reason to start Manziel unless you have….
- Matt Cassel (vs SEA) – This guy as your last quarterback. Woof.