Streaming Spotlight – Week 9 QB & TE
November 2, 2016 | Chris Manni
“It’s a bold strategy Cotton, let’s see if it pays off for ‘em!” – Pepper Brooks in Dodgeball: A True Underdog Story
Nothing screams “bold move” like Bill Belichick trading his Pro Bowl linebacker away while ramping up for a Super Bowl run. If you somehow haven’t heard, the AFC leading 7-1 Patriots traded Jamie Collins to the Browns for a compensatory 2018 draft pick. Regardless of what you think this does to the Patriots and their chances for a Super Bowl this year, we know two things. Bill Belichick thinks this helps their chances, and he doesn’t care what anyone else thinks. We should all take the same approach and be willing to be unconventional if it means going for the win. If you are in a playoff position, start looking at your playoff matchups to assess strengths and weaknesses. From there, create a list of players with favorable matchups and start discussing trades. If you are fighting for a playoff position, be aggressive on one week replacements that you believe will put you over the top. That one key win or loss may be enough to get you into the year-end tournament or keep you out. As we do every week, we are here to provide you bold streaming options to get you into those championship rounds. Here are the Week 9 deeper QB and TE streaming options with players who are less than 50% owned on NFL.com.
Don’t forget to check out our DFS Cheat Sheets!
Colin Kaepernick vs NO (NFL.com Ownership: 4.6%)
The Week 9 “Pepper Brooks” special: Colin Kaepernick. Well, it is not that shocking to stream the quarterback that is opposing the Saints. Regardless, the Saints will travel across the country to San Francisco with their bottom five DVOA pass defense and tenth most generous defense against quarterbacks. The Saints tend to get exposed by conventional signal callers. Yet, Kaepernick is not your typical quarterback. He relies on his athleticism and rushing production to get him out of most jams. Many scouts and analysts think this tendency to tuck and run rather than stand in the pocket is why Kaepernick hasn’t progressed as a NFL quarterback. We, as fantasy football quarterback streamers, don’t really care and see this as upside. Given the favorable matchup for both offenses, I expect points to be plentiful in this one. Vegas agrees with the second highest over/under total of the week at 52.
Bottom Line: Consider Kaepernick is a low floor, high upside low end QB1 play. He is a bold play that can burn you or win you your week. Depending on your roster configuration and your likelihood to win your week, Kap could turn the tables on your opponent.
Sam Bradford vs DET (12.4%)
Even with six teams on bye the week, the quarterback streaming pool is actually pretty good. This is great news for those who utilized this strategy all year. One of my favorite choices this week is Sam Bradford who hosts the dreadful Detroit Lions pass defense in Week 9. The Lions limp into Minnesota with the last ranked pass defense according to Football Outsiders DVOA and the second most generous to QBs through eight weeks. If top cover corner Darius Slay, top linebacker DeAndre Levy, and defensive tackle Haloti Ngata all miss again this week, fire up all Vikings in this one. The one caveat is how poorly the Vikings offensive line has been playing. Ziggy Ansah could singlehandedly ruin the game if the Vikings are not careful and keep their overwhelmed tackles on an island.
Bottom Line: I ranked Bradford 12th this week. I would be more bullish on Bradford if he and the offensive line were playing better. If OC Norv Turner can protect Bradford in this one, Bradford will return QB1 production in Week 9.
Ryan Tannehill vs NYJ (7.9%)
With Jay Ajayi currently all the rage on South Beach, there is renewed optimism for Adam Gase’s offense. In Week 9, I’m pumping the brakes on the Ajayi train with the Jets and their third ranked DVOA rushing defense heading to town. With the Dolphins’ awesome rushing production the last two games, I expect the Jets to focus on slowing down their running game. With the Jets focusing on stopping the run, Tannehill will have opportunities down the field against the 31st ranked DVOA pass defense. With the Fins coming out of their bye week, I look for Gase to get Tannehill rolling in a prime divisional matchup at home.
Bottom Line: I have Kaepernick, Bradford, and Tannehill all ranked together this week as “low end QB1/high end QB2” at 11th, 12th, and 13th respectfully. A few quarterbacks I would play these three streamers over include Matt Stafford at MIN, Derek Carr vs DEN, and Russell Wilson vs BUF.
Bye Week: Tom Brady, Carson Palmer, Kirk Cousins, Andy Dalton, Brock Osweiler, Jay Cutler
Jason Witten at CLE (41.5%)
While the available quarterback streamers in Week 9 look plentiful, the tight end options are less so. In these cases, I’m looking for touchdowns. Witten, who is at best the third option in the methodical Dallas offense, is a good bet for a touchdown in Week 9. The Cowboys travel north to dare I say “the city of champions” Cleveland. Hopefully, I didn’t jinx anyone with Game 6 looming. Anyways, the Browns currently own the 30th ranked defense against the tight end and have allowed six touchdowns on seven red zone targets. Without the volume or opportunity that we look for readily available, look for Witten to get one or two quality targets in the red zone.
Bottom Line: With tight end options scarce in Week 9, I have Witten ranked as the ninth ranked tight end play this week. The recent addition of Jamie Collins is a concern, but Witten’s savvy in the red zone can be a problem for even the most effective coverage linebackers.
Cameron Brate vs ATL (12.4%)
With Brate, there is a similar theme. On Thursday night, Brate and the Bucs host the Falcons who have been pretty mediocre against tight ends in 2016. Where I see opportunity is in the red zone where Brate has been productive this year. In three home games, Brate has scored three touchdowns, and the Falcons defense has allowed five touchdowns on all five red zone targets to tight ends.
Bottom Line: In the heavy bye week for tight ends, Brate is a low end TE1 with volume concerns, but he has as good of an opportunity to score a touchdown as any other tight end in Week 9.
Bye Week: Rob Gronkowski, Jordan Reed, Tyler Eifert, Martellus Bennett, Zach Miller, C.J. Fiedorowicz
I have enjoyed fantasy sports for over twenty years and now enjoy sharing my thoughts with you fine folks. Follow me @chrismanniff on Twitter.