Streaming Spotlight – Week 6 QB & TE
October 12, 2016 | Chris Manni
After five weeks of the fantasy football season, your team and league are beginning to take shape. The start of the season may have gone exactly to plan. If that is the case, you are leaning back in your computer chair thinking “THEY ARE WHO WE THOUGHT THEY WERE!” to quote the late Dennis Green. For those fortunate enough to be in the driver’s seat for the playoffs, it is time to start preparing for the playoffs. Starting 5-0 or 4-1 gives you a great advantage to look towards the future and start pinpointing trade targets for those money-making weeks. Unless, of course, your team looks nothing like you anticipated and you are scratching and clawing for every win. If your team is hovering around .500 or below, your focus is on the immediate, short-term result because every week could be the difference in making the year-end tournament. As always, we are here to provide you winning streaming options to get you to the promise land. Here are deeper QB and TE streaming options with players who are less than 50% owned on NFL.com.
Don’t forget to check out our DFS Cheat Sheets!
Dak Prescott (NFL.com Ownership: 43.5%) at GB
The “Dak Attack” has been impressive, and, with only a few weeks before Tony Romo is “healthy”, I expect Prescott to push even harder to keep his starting position. In Week 5, he has a great opportunity in Green Bay. The Dallas offense will be battling a Packers defense that has been extremely impressive against the run, ranking 2nd in rushing defense DVOA. Yet, Green Bay’s secondary is severely banged up. This week may be tough sledding for Zeke Elliott so expect Dallas to ask Prescott to make some more plays in the passing game. Additionally, Dak has run for three scores, which will provide your team a higher ceiling to go along with a stable floor of production.
Bottom Line: Prescott is my tenth ranked QB this week. I’m playing him over Matt Ryan at SEA, Matt Stafford vs LA, and Derek Carr vs KC who all rank in the top five in year to date fantasy points.
Alex Smith (24.7% Owned) at OAK
Considered one of the least “sexy” quarterback options, Smith is annually under-owned and underappreciated by fantasy footballers. This week he gets the Oakland defense that ranks as a bottom five passing defense according to Football Outsiders. They have allowed 338 passing yards and 2.4 passing TDs per game. This equates to the third most generous defense for quarterbacks. Even for Smith’s harshest critics, this is an enticing streaming opportunity. As I mentioned above with Dak, I love streaming QBs that also add rushing production because it increases their production ceiling.
Bottom Line: I consider Smith a low-end QB1/high-end QB2 this week, and I’m playing him over Philip Rivers vs DEN, Andy Dalton at NE, and Carson Wentz at WAS.
Colin Kaepernick (1.4% Owned) at BUF
I admit there is nothing on paper or on tape to suggest that Kaepernick will be good as he takes over for the ineffective Blaine Gabbert. To me, he simply represents upside. Specifically, rushing upside in an offense that needs some level of production as Coach Kelly looks to create a spark. If Kelly feels like a running QB will do it, this could represent Kap’s best chance to show the rest of the league that he belongs. Given everything that has surrounded Kaepernick this year and his recently restructured contract (which will allow him to become a free agent after this season), there is plenty of motivation. Historically, the questions surrounding Kaepernick have always been more about his ability than his motivation. With that being said, I expect Kelly to treat Kap for what he is, a great athlete who is a running threat with limited passing skills in a fast-paced, option style offense.
Bottom Line: This is another streamer option that is not for the risk averse. Last week, I told you to gamble on Ryan Fitzpatrick and he delivered a solid 15 points. I consider this a higher risk, higher reward play. If you are feeling risky, take the plunge. If not, take a knee. I’m so witty…
QBs on Bye: Jameis Winston, Sam Bradford
Hunter Henry (14.9% Owned) vs DEN
If you have watched the Chargers the last three weeks, Henry looks like the best option for Rivers. During that time, Henry has been targeted 16 times and produced 12 catches for 207 yards and two touchdowns. For those concerned about Antonio Gates, Henry still produced a 3-74-1 line in Week 5 with Gates in the lineup. After reviewing the game tape from last week’s Atlanta-Denver game, the Falcons may have exposed Denver’s major defensive weakness with their linebackers in coverage. Gates, while steady, simply doesn’t have the athleticism at this point in his career to take advantage of Denver’s aggressive linebackers. Lastly, I do not see Melvin Gordon or any of the Charger wide receivers succeeding on Thursday night, leaving Rivers to focus on his promising, young rookie.
Bottom Line: Consider Henry a high-end TE2 this week with only two relevant TEs on bye. I would play Henry over Gary Barnidge at TEN, Tyler Eifert at NE, and Charles Clay vs SF.
Richard Rodgers (13.9% Owned) vs DAL
For deeper leagues and DFS contrarians, I’m doubling down on Rodgers this week. While his Week 5 production was disastrous, he did get six targets, and a great defensive play in the end zone took a 17 yard touchdown away from him. This week, Green Bay hosts a Dallas defense that is the fourth most generous defense to TEs, last in DVOA covering TEs, and allows a 90% catch rate vs TEs for 11 yards per reception. Without Jared Cook once again, I expect another six to eight targets this week and hopefully the touchdown we were shooting for last week.
Bottom Line: I consider Rodgers a mid-range TE2 with a low floor and decent ceiling. He is better suited for deeper leagues and a cheap, contrarian DFS tournament option.
TEs on Bye: Kyle Rudolph, Cameron Brate
I have enjoyed fantasy sports for over twenty years and now enjoy sharing my thoughts with you fine folks. Follow me @chrismanniff on Twitter.