Streaming Spotlight – Week 12 QB & TE
November 23, 2016 | Chris Manni
Welcome to the Thanksgiving week edition of the Streaming Spotlight! I am so amped up for this week for two reasons…one, we have no bye weeks to contend with. That is a nice holiday gift for all fantasy footballers. Second, Thanksgiving is a wonderful holiday. If I had to rank all the holidays, it is definitely my favorite. It is the “Tom Brady” of holidays. It is the “Le’Veon Bell” of holidays. It is the “I just picked up a defense and they got me a pick six” of holidays! More than any other holiday, there is so much to enjoy without the stress and run-around (says the guy who doesn’t cook anything) that other holidays put us all through. With that said, I hope everyone gets the opportunity to consider all they have to be thankful for while enjoying their family, friends, food, adult sodas, and a pretty good slate of football games. As we do each and every week, here are the Week 12 deeper QB and TE streaming options with players who are less than 50% owned on NFL.com. Good luck this week my good people…may your fantasy football teams pull out a tasty result like that freshly baked apple pie.
Don’t forget to check out our DFS Cheat Sheets!
Sam Bradford (Ownership on NFL.com 9.5%) at DET
There are a number of good QB streaming options this week. They include Colin Kaepernick at Miami, Ryan Tannehill vs San Francisco, and Brock Osweiler vs San Diego. While many analysts can make a case for each of these options, I am picking Sam Bradford as my favorite streamer of the week. The Vikings travel to Detroit for our first football serving of Thanksgiving Day and will look to continue the momentum of last week against the worst pass defense in the league. To illustrate how bad the Lions’ pass defense is, consider that they continue to rank last in the Football Outsiders DVOA metric and have allowed the 3rd most points to quarterbacks in 2016. Moving forward to Week 12, the Lions’ defense has struggled the most where the Vikings want to attack. In particular, I expect Bradford to target Stefon Diggs vs Quandre Diggs in the slot. If Diggs can’t go, which is looking likely, we can expect Adam Thielen to fill that role. Secondly, the Lions have struggled mightily covering tight ends and big Kyle Rudolph will be stretching the seams. Lastly, the Lions don’t have the pass rush to take advantage of the Vikings’ decimated offensive line. The formula is simple here so gobble up some shares of Bradford on Thanksgiving.
Bottom Line: I rank Bradford 14th this week as a high end Q2 option. I rank him higher than each of the quarterbacks mentioned above. I have game flow concerns for both quarterbacks in the Miami/San Francisco game as I expect Mr. Jay Ajayi to dominate touches. As for Brock, his inability to get the ball to his playmakers’ hands make him hands-off until he shows me otherwise.
Carson Wentz (21.1%) vs GB
This recommendation is more about the dam breaking on the Packers’ defense than Wentz’s play. Over the last two weeks, the Green Bay pass defense has allowed an astounding 71.4% completion percentage for 670 yards and SEVEN touchdowns. There is simply no pass rush, no talent in the secondary, and there is only so much defensive coordinator Dom Capers can do to hold the unit together with Scotch tape. Given the current state of the Packers’ defense, I recommend Wentz if you are in a bind in Week 12 or in daily fantasy lineups. I realize that Wentz’s play has left a lot to be desired, but there is blood in the water and I expect the Eagles’ passing game to come through.
Bottom Line: Consider Wentz a mid-range QB2 option in Week 12 with a high floor and likely to get you the 15 points we seek when streaming quarterbacks.
Eric Ebron (19.3%) vs MIN
What does this man have to do to get his ownership up!? Does he need to rush for a touchdown!? Well, check that off your list! Seriously though, in case you haven’t noticed, since coming back from injury, Ebron has averaged 7.7 targets, 5.7 catches, and 80.3 yards per game. This is top-five tight end production and opportunity. In Week 12, I’m once again buying Ebron in his early game matchup on Thanksgiving Day against the Vikings’ defense. Back in Week 9, Ebron had 7 catches for 92 yards against these same Vikings. Additionally, the Vikings have started giving up big plays to tight ends in the last two weeks. During that time, they have allowed 8 catches for 162 yards and two touchdowns. That’s over 20 yards per catch. We know Ebron will get the volume in the short passing game as he did in Week 9, but there is a high ceiling because of those big opportunities down the field.
Bottom Line: I have Ebron as the fifth-ranked tight end this week. I would play Ebron over other high-end options such as Tyler Eifert at BAL, Kyle Rudolph at DET, and Travis Kelce at DEN.
Will Tye (2.7%) at CLE
This one is for my people in deeper leagues or DFS value seekers. Over the last three weeks, Tye has quietly received seven targets per game, and his competition Larry Donnell was a healthy scratch last week. This is a good level of opportunity for a lower-end tight end. In Week 12, Tye and the Giants go to Cleveland where Tye has a great opportunity to outperform expectations. The Browns’ pass defense has been a target all year for tight end streamers and rightfully so. The 2016 Browns have allowed an average of seven catches for 70 yards and one touchdown per game to tight ends. Given the playing time Tye has earned and the matchup, you could do worse in 14-16 team leagues or as a DFS option.
Bottom Line: With Tye seeing an uptick in playing time and targets against the most generous defense against tight ends, consider him a mid-range TE2 option for deeper leagues and DFS lineups.
I have enjoyed fantasy sports for over twenty years and now enjoy sharing my thoughts with you fine folks. Follow me @chrismanniff on Twitter.