Streaming Spotlight – Week 11 QB & TE
November 17, 2016 | Chris Manni
For better or for worse, it is Week 11. In most leagues, there are merely three more opportunities to pass your competition and get into the playoffs. Depending on your roster and record, it is either crunch time or time to turn your focus to the money weeks. Make sure you understand your league settings for playoff qualification and then evaluate your chances of getting in. If you are guaranteed a spot or it would take a collapse of epic proportions to keep you out, turn your attention to your playoff matchups. If there are unfavorable matchups and that player hasn’t fared well in tough spots, attack the waiver wire to take care of that matchup now. If your waiver wire is pretty bare, start looking at aggressively trading for good players with great matchups who can outperform their current levels. Lastly, if you are fortunate enough to have elite running back options such as Zeke Elliott and Demarco Murray, consider handcuffing them. If they went down right now, their backups would be the highest priority pickup for anyone in the playoff hunt. If you are on the other side of this situation, needing to scratch and claw your way into the playoffs, we are here to help you with those all-important lineup decisions. As we do each and every week, here are the Week 11 deeper QB and TE streaming options with players who are less than 50% owned on NFL.com. Good luck this week my good people…
Don’t forget to check out our DFS Cheat Sheets!
Colin Kaepernick (Ownership on NFL.com 6.9%) vs NE
Week 11 represents one of the worst weeks for streaming quarterbacks so far in 2016. There are only a few relevant quarterbacks on bye and the elite quarterbacks have favorable matchups. With that being said, there are always opportunities for lesser options to step up and produce QB1 numbers. This leads me to my favorable quarterback streamer of the week, Colin Kaepernick. Without watching the highly entertaining Seattle/New England Super Bowl 49 rematch, you may think the Patriots sport a top notch defense. The reality couldn’t be further from the truth. Over the last four weeks, the Pats’ pass defense has been the eighth most generous to opposing signal callers, and Football Outside DVOA ranks them as the sixth worst in 2016. Granted, Kaepernick is not your traditional, drop-back quarterback to take advantage of the Pats’ weak pass rush. Yet, the Patriots have given rushing touchdowns to Andy Dalton and Tyrod Taylor, which may bode well for Kap’s chances of running one to the house. His rushing upside and the struggling Pats defense leads me to San Francisco for my streamer of the week.
Bottom Line: Consider Kaepernick a top 15 QB play this week with upside to get into the top ten. I would play him over Jameis Winston at KC, Carson Palmer at Min, and Ryan Tannehill at LA.
Alex Smith (22.5%) vs TB
Many folks considered Alex Smith a great streaming option last week while we stayed away. The first week back returning from a concussion and a vastly improved Carolina defense was fool’s gold. Yet, in Week 11, Smith will get an opportunity to pay off for his streaming followers. In 2016, Tampa Bay has been the sixth most generous pass defense to quarterbacks including the third most passing touchdowns with 19. Even though Smith is likely without Jeremy Maclin again this week, he has plenty of options for production with Tyreek Hill downfield, Travis Kelce up the seams, and Spencer Ware out of the backfield. Smith doesn’t have the upside Kaepernick has but is a steady option to get 15 points.
Bottom Line: Consider Smith a solid, mid-range QB2 in Week 11. I rank him 16th ahead of the quarterbacks mentioned above.
Bye Week: Matt Ryan, Philip Rivers, Trevor Siemian, Bryce Petty
Eric Ebron (15.1%) vs JAX
Onto my favorable tight end streamer of the week…Eric Ebron has been producing big time since returning from a multi-week injury. Ebron converted 18 targets into 14 catches for 171 yards in his last two games before the Lions’ bye. This week, the Jaguars pass defense comes to town which isn’t as favorable as one may think, especially for the tight end. Yet, they have allowed the eleventh most points to tight ends in the last four weeks and have struggled defending the deep passing game down the middle of the field this year. Therefore, I expect Stafford and Ebron to build on their pre-bye week momentum this week in their dome.
Bottom Line: I rank Ebron as the seventh ranked tight end this week. I would play Ebron over Kyle Rudolph vs ARI, Jason Witten vs BAL, and Cameron Brate at KC.
Zach Miller (40.0%) at NYG
Miller disappointed many last week as a favorite industry sleeper, including yours truly. As I am known to do, I will put the one poor performance behind me and move forward. The encouraging news for Miller was that he saw another seven targets last week. The bad news was that he only converted them into four catches for 32 yards. After watching last week’s game, I believe that sub-par performance may be more on Cutler than Miller. Clearly not a vote of confidence moving forward, but given the shocking news of Alshon Jeffrey’s four game suspension, there are weekly targets available for Miller to pick up. That is saying something considering Miller has seen an average of eight targets per game in his last four. This week’s matchup against the Giants is not a slam dunk by any stretch, but their slow linebackers still struggle against athletic tight ends like Miller. With this level of opportunity and a possible mismatch in the middle of the field, I feel very comfortable recommending Miller in Week 11.
Bottom Line: Consider Miller a mid-range TE 1 as I rank him eighth right behind Ebron.
Bye Week: Antonio Gates, Hunter Henry, Austin Hooper
I have enjoyed fantasy sports for over twenty years and now enjoy sharing my thoughts with you fine folks. Follow me @chrismanniff on Twitter.