Start/Sit Week 5
October 2, 2014 | Mike Braude
Here is our Week 5 DFS Cheat Sheet with picks for FanDuel, Draftkings, DraftDay and Fantasy Elite
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Ben Roethlisberger vs. JAC
Coming off a three passing touchdown performance, Big Ben draws the most favorable quarterback matchup possible. The Jaguars’ excuse for a defense has already allowed 11 passing touchdowns with just one interception. Expect the Steelers to consistently move the ball. Roethlisberger is a QB1 this week.
Rashad Jennings vs. ATL
Despite not seeing a full workload during the Giants’ short week, Rashad Jennings is a RB1 this week. The Falcons defense has already allowed eight rushing touchdowns – that’s three more than any other team. Coming off a shredding from Matt Asiata and Jerick McKinnon, the Falcons are the best matchup a running back can have. Take a close look at Jennings in daily fantasy leagues.
Bishop Sankey vs. CLE
Despite a small sample size, Bishop Sankey is averaging 5.1 yards per carry. It may be diluted by game situation but he’s clearly the best Titans running back. This week coach Ken Whisenhunt said Sankey will likely get more reps than he has all season this week. The Browns have allowed an average of 137.7 rushing yards and 1.67 touchdowns to opposing running backs. He’s a sneaky RB2 play with upside.
Jerick McKinnon at MIN
I’ll just come out and say it, I love Jerick McKinnon. He has explosive ability and fantastic lower body strength. If you don’t believe me, watch this clip. The Packers have allowed an average of 131.5 rushing yards and one rushing touchdown per game. Matt Asiata is certainly a concern but ultimately talent prevails. So far this season Asiata has 24 more carries than McKinnon and has gained just 17 more yards. If you’re desperate for a high upside running back play, McKinnon is your answer.
Keenan Allen vs. NYJ
Few defenses have struggled against top wide receivers more than the Jets. Unfortunately Brandon Marshall and Calvin Johnson weren’t healthy enough to take advantage but Jordy Nelson certainly was. The Jets are allowing the 3rd most points to opposing wide receivers and Keenan Allen caught 10 of 11 targets for 135 yards last week. Fire him up as a WR1.
Vincent Jackson at NO
While he doesn’t have a game over 51 receiving yards this season, Vincent Jackson has been receiving consistent targets. This week he faces a Saints defense that has allowed 30 receptions for 485 yards and five touchdowns to opposing wide receivers in just the past two weeks. With Mike Evans out, this is a matchup that Jackson needs to take advantage of.
Brian Quick at PHI
This is the second season in a row that the Eagles have struggled against the pass. So far this year, the Eagles are allowing the 4th most points to opposing wide receivers. They defend the slot well with Brandon Boykin but outside receivers consistently give the Eagles issues. Quick has a chance to prove himself with this promising matchup.
Garrett Graham at DAL
No team has struggled defending the tight end position more than the Cowboys. They’ve allowed the most receptions (37), yards (395), and touchdowns (6) to opposing tight ends. Graham isn’t extraordinarily talented but he sees enough snaps to exploit a promising matchup. If you were a Dennis Pitta, Niles Paul, or Kyle Rudolph owner, here’s a spot start waiver wire option for you.
Tom Brady vs. CIN
As a Patriots fan, this is difficult for me to write but it’s clear: the Patriots are no longer a high-powered offense. Brady doesn’t look as accurate, Rob Gronkowski doesn’t look healthy, and Julian Edelman looks like the only capable wide receiver. Until further notice, Brady is downgraded to a QB2. This week he faces a Bengals defense that has allowed the 2nd fewest points to quarterbacks. Considering the Bengals have allowed a 2:6 TD-to-INT ratio thus far, Brady belongs on the bench.
Donald Brown vs. NYJ
The Jets are allowing an average of just 46.3 rushing yards to opposing running backs. No team is allowing fewer points to opposing running backs. The Jets are giving up a measly 3 yards per carry and have not allowed a touchdown to a running back. Even worse Donald Brown is averaging just 2 yards per carry. Keep him benched this week.
Alfred Morris vs. SEA
Although this is a luxury, I would sit Alfred Morris this week if possible. Morris is facing a stingy Seahawks run defense that held Montee Ball to 38 rushing yards in their last game. The game flow certainly concerns me. With how Kirk Cousins performed against the Giants, the Redskins will likely be playing from behind in this one. When the Redskins are behind, Roy Helu dominates the Redskins running back snaps.
Montee Ball vs. AZ
Yet to have a solid game, I imagine that Montee Ball owners are concerned. I wouldn’t sell him at a discount but this week simply isn’t a favorable matchup. The Cardinals have allowed the 4th fewest points to opposing running backs this season. Allowing an average of 47.3 rushing yards to opposing running backs, Ball will likely be relying on a touchdown for fantasy value this week.
Sammy Watkins at DET
When setting your roster it is a good idea to look at the Over/Under Vegas line for each game. The Vegas line doesn’t expect the Bills to score a lot of points against the Lions’ stingy defense. It doesn’t help that the Lions are allowing the 2nd fewest points to opposing wide receivers.
Mohamed Sanu vs. NE
Mohamed Sanu has never been a particularly exciting fantasy play but he’s been productive thus far. The return of Marvin Jones may be suspended by a tweak in practice but Sanu has a tough matchup with the Patriots pass defense. The Patriots are allowing the fewest points to opposing wide receivers and get Brandon Browner back this week.
Torrey Smith at IND
With Steve Smith racking up nine targets last week, Torrey Smith saw just three. The Ravens face the Colts, who have allowed the 4th fewest points to opposing wide receivers. Torrey Smith owners should be in wait-and-see mode.
Zach Ertz vs. STL
Ertz hasn’t topped 86 receiving yards or scored since Week 2. While I do expect the Eagles offense to recover, the Rams have defended the tight end position very well. No team has allowed fewer receptions (10) or yards (127) to opposing tight ends.