Start/Sit Week 4
September 25, 2014 | Mike Braude
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Philip Rivers vs. JAC
While many top quarterbacks have struggled, Philip Rivers has been consistently productive. This week he draws the best matchup for a quarterback, the Jacksonville Jaguars. Allowing an average of 333 passing yards and 2.67 passing touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks, Rivers is locked in as a top-five option this week.
Donald Brown vs. JAC
The Jaguars have also been the worst team at defending the run. By process of elimination, Donald Brown has been thrust into a high volume role. Considering the Jaguars have given up an average of 140 rushing yards and 1.33 rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs, I like Brown’s odds of having a productive game.
Matt Forte vs. GB
Despite not topping 33 rushing yards in either of his last two games, Matt Forte remains a must-start. Both of his last two matchups were unfavorable and with Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery banged up, opposing defenses were able to zero in on Forte. This week the Bears face a Packers defense that has already allowed 464 yards and five touchdowns to opposing running backs. Forte is my top running back play this week.
Matt Asiata vs. ATL
Matt Asiata is a volume-dependent running back that needs a favorable matchup to be startable. This week with the Vikings facing the Falcons, owners get their wish. The Falcons are giving up the 3rd most points to opposing running backs (2nd this week with the Browns on bye).
Michael Crabtree vs. PHI
It’s always favorable to lean towards high scoring games when making lineup decisions. According to Vegas odds, 49ers vs. Eagles is tied with Bears vs. Packers for the 2nd highest scoring game of the week. The Eagles are allowing the 3rd most points to opposing wide receivers. Expect a big day from Michael Crabtree.
Jordan Matthews at SF
After breaking out last week, this week presents a favorable opportunity for the rookie. No team has allowed more touchdowns to opposing wide receivers than the 49ers (6). If you’re desperate for a plug-and-play, Matthews makes a solid start in a game that will surely be a shootout.
Markus Wheaton vs. TB
No team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing wide receivers than the Buccaneers. This is a prime chance for Markus Wheaton to excel against a bad defense. If you’re in a bind, he makes a solid spot-start.
Antonio Gates vs. JAC
Despite a one-catch performance last week, Antonio Gates still played double the snaps that Ladarius Green played. If one player is going to benefit from the Jaguars’ inability to cover opposing tight ends, I’m betting on Gates. The only team that has allowed more points to opposing tight ends is the Cowboys, who face the Saints this week. Fire up Jimmy Graham in your daily fantasy lineups.
Geno Smith vs. DET
As a late round quarterback enthusiast, I’ve played Geno in several of my leagues and believe he’s an underrated streaming option. Unfortunately this week he faces the Lions emerging defense. The Lions made both Eli Manning and Aaron Rodgers look particularly awful; there are more favorable streamers this week.
Chris Johnson vs. DET
While Chris Ivory is ascending, Chris Johnson is descending. He rushed for 68 yards in Week 1 and has compiled 55 yards in two weeks since. The Jets coaching staff seems to have realized that Ivory is a superior player and he will receive more playing time going forward. Throw in the fact that the Jets play against a stout Lions defense that has allowed the 4th fewest points to opposing running backs and he belongs on fantasy benches.
Rashad Jennings vs. WAS
There are only four teams left that have yet to allow an opposing running back to score a touchdown. They are the Jets, Redskins, Bills, and Chiefs. Rashad Jennings has been phenomenal but he is not a daily fantasy option this week. The Redskins have allowed just 225 scoreless yards to opposing running backs this season.
Joique Bell at NYJ
It has become apparent that the Lions want to use Reggie Bush through the air and Joique Bell on the ground. No team has allowed fewer yards on the ground than the Jets. Over three games, the Jets have allowed a measly 105 rushing yards. Considering the Jets have not allowed over 46 rushing yards to opposing running backs in any game this season, I’d bench Bell if possible.
Allen Robinson at SD
I’m a big fan of Allen Robinson and think he’ll have a good NFL career but this week it’s smart to pump the brakes. The Jaguars play a Chargers’ defense that has allowed the 5th fewest points to opposing wide receivers. Over the last two weeks they allowed just 17 catches for 167 scoreless yards to opposing wideouts.
Dwayne Bowe vs. NE
I know it’s the bye weeks but Dwayne Bowe is still not an option. With just six catches for 72 yards in his first two games, Bowe isn’t seeing a large number of targets. This week he’s facing a Patriots’ defense that has allowed the fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. Darrelle Revis will also likely shadow Bowe.
James Jones vs. MIA
Rod Streater’s injury will almost certainly help Jones’ target totals. The issue arises from his matchup. The Dolphins have allowed the 3rd fewest points to opposing wide receivers. After being shadowed by Revis last week, Jones will face Brent Grimes’ quality coverage this week.
Greg Olsen at BAL
After allowing just one catch to Jordan Cameron last week, the Ravens showed once again they are elite at defending tight ends. So far this year, the Ravens have allowed just 10 catches for 111 scoreless yards to opposing tight ends. If you have other quality options, sit Olsen.