Start/Sit Week 3
September 18, 2014 | Mike Braude
Check out The Fake Football Week 3 DFS Cheat Sheet!
Kirk Cousins at PHI
Over the years, Kirk Cousins has proven himself as a capable backup, but this year he looks like a better fit than RGIII for Jay Gruden’s offense. Despite entering the game midway through the 1st quarter, Cousins threw for 250 yards and two touchdowns. This week he faces the Eagles, who are favorable to play against for several reasons: Firstly, they score a lot of points – forcing the opposing quarterback to score. Secondly, they run a lot of plays – this extends the game and increases scoring opportunities. Thirdly, they are one of just four teams to allow opposing quarterbacks to throw for five touchdowns in the first two games.
Doug Martin at ATL
I’m not a huge Doug Martin fan and actually think Bobby Rainey may be superior but the Bucs have announced Martin is their starter for this week. The Falcons run defense is among the worst in the league and is the only team to allow five rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs. If Martin can’t expose this leaky run defense, he doesn’t deserve the starting job. UPDATE: Martin is looking iffy to play. Keep an eye on the news, but if he doesn’t Rainey makes for a great play.
Ahmad Bradshaw at JAC
After being gashed in back to back weeks, the Jaguars are allowing the second most points to opposing running backs. Bradshaw looked vastly superior to Trent Richardson for the 2nd week in a row and can be relied upon in favorable matchups. Allowing an average of 148 rushing yards and two touchdowns to opposing running backs, Bradshaw should have a solid game.
Bernard Pierce at CLE
Bernard Pierce would be classified as a high-risk, high-reward play. I’m not completely sold on his talent but the Ravens showed commitment to Pierce by not giving Lorenzo Taliaferro any snaps last week. If Pierce receives another heavy workload, this is a matchup he should be able to exploit. The Browns are allowing a staggering 5.18 yards per carry to opposing running backs.
Alshon Jeffery at NYJ
Owners may be concerned from Jeffery’s game last week but that had more to do with his injury than his ability. He didn’t suffer any setbacks and has an extra day to rest before his Monday night showdown – I think he’ll be ready. The good news is there isn’t a more favorable pass defense to face than the Jets. Only two teams have allowed over two receiving touchdowns to wide receivers, the Jets are one of them – allowing five receiving touchdowns in the first two games.
Cordarrelle Patterson at NO
With Adrian Peterson out, the Vikings are desperate for playmakers. Luckily, they have Cordarrelle Patterson. Look for Patterson to be heavily involved this week as the Vikings will need to put up points to stay competitive versus the Saints. The Saints have allowed the most receptions (39) and yards (489) to opposing wide receivers. In fact, the Saints have already allowed 97 more receiving yards to opposing wide receivers than any other team.
Percy Harvin vs. DEN
Percy Harvin is one of those players whose value each week is dependent on game flow. When the Seahawks are challenged, he’ll be heavily involved in the passing game. When the Seahawks are cruising to victory, they’re content with running Marshawn Lynch down the opposition’s throat. This week I expect the Broncos to put up more of a fight than the Super Bowl and force the Seahawks to use their playmaker. Don’t hold Harvin’s one catch effort against him in this positive matchup.
Charles Clay vs. KC
Despite a slow start, we know from last season that Charles Clay is a playmaker. With Knowshon Moreno out, the Dolphins will need to more heavily rely on their proven playmakers. It also doesn’t hurt that the Chiefs are an extremely favorable matchup for tight ends. Last year Eric Berry was shutting down opposing tight ends for the Chiefs but with Berry injured, the Chiefs have already allowed three receiving touchdowns to opposing tight ends.
Andy Dalton vs. TEN
As a late round quarterback enthusiast, I love Andy Dalton. The issue is he has a terrible matchup and is missing his best weapon, A.J. Green. Over the first two weeks, the Titans have allowed an average of 189 passing yards to opposing quarterbacks. With Green out, I expect the Bengals to employ a run-heavy game plan – using Gio Bernard and Jeremy Hill to keep the Titans off balance.
Terrence West vs. BAL
This ‘sit’ is for Daily Fantasy participants but there’s no doubt his matchup is troubling. I’ll start by saying that Shanahan’s run offense may be able to overcome the Ravens run defense but the risk is not worth it if you have options. The Ravens have allowed just 67 rush yards in each of their first two games and are yet to allow a rushing touchdown. West didn’t look like a special talent last week and there’s little reason to think he can dominate a defense that Le’Veon Bell and Gio Bernard struggled against.
Frank Gore at AZ
Despite losing some of their best defensive players to injuries and legal issues, the Cardinals have stayed stout against the run. Allowing an average of 59.5 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs, they’re currently a bad matchup. The best hope for Gore is the 49ers gain an early lead and rely on Gore for clock-killing carries. The issue is Carlos Hyde will likely take his share of those carries as well.
Steven Jackson vs. TB
With four backs each having their share of the pie, I would advise owners to bench Steven Jackson. Yes, he may score a goal-line touchdown but his floor isn’t high enough to play him knowing the potential risks. The Buccaneers run defense has been stout and Jackson hasn’t shown enough ability or workload to be trusted consistently this season.
Mohamed Sanu vs. TEN
Despite his long touchdown last week I’ve never been a big fan of Mohamed Sanu’s talent. The Titans defense has been troublesome for opposing wide receivers and I’m not counting on Sanu to play well. Despite his two touchdowns (one passing), Sanu only caught three passes in a game that AJ Green was not targeted.
Wes Welker at SEA
In his first week back I’m not confident that Wes Welker will be extremely involved. It doesn’t help that he’s facing the Seahawks’ elite defense. It’s possible that he’s behind Demaryius Thomas, Julius Thomas, and Emmanuel Sanders for targets and this isn’t a favorable matchup in the least.
James Jones vs. NE
James Jones has had a fast start to the season, scoring in each of his first two games. With the odds saying the Raiders will be playing from behind, it’s likely Jones will see a lot of opportunities. That sounds favorable but no team has allowed fewer fantasy points to opposing wide receivers than the Patriots. There’s also a chance that shutdown corner Darrell Revis guards Jones.
Larry Donnell vs. HOU
Larry Donnell has impressed over the first two games and is starting to warrant TE1 consideration. Unfortunately this week he faces a Texans’ defense that has played well against opposing tight ends this season.