Start/Sit Week 13
November 27, 2013 | Mike Braude
QB: Josh McCown at MIN – Coming off a solid performance against the Rams, Josh McCown is a QB1 streamer this week. McCown has a 7 to 1 TD-to-INT ratio and faces a dreadful Viking secondary this week. Only the Raiders are allowing more fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks than the Vikings. The Vikings have given up multiple passing touchdowns in 8 out of 11 games this season.
RB: Adrian Peterson vs. CHI – Trust me, I know no one needs to be told to start Adrian Peterson. This is for those who participate in Daily Fantasy Leagues. I believe Peterson is worth the high salary because he will be the No. 1 fantasy RB or WR this week against the Bears sieve-like run defense. Over their last six games, the Bears are allowing an average of 28.3 carries for 156.8 yards and 1.67 touchdowns to opposing running backs on the ground.
Frank Gore vs. STL – I know Frank Gore owners are anxious; he hasn’t scored in his last three games and hasn’t topped 50 rushing yards in either of his last two games. This week he faces a Ram defense that he torched for 153 rushing yards and a touchdown in Week 4. Although they’re improving, the Rams are still allowing the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing running backs.
Andre Brown at WAS – After rumbling for 127 yards on 21 carries against the Cowboys, Andre Brown has yet another plus matchup. Receiving at least 18 carries in each game he’s played this season, Brown comes with little risk (as long as he doesn’t get hurt). The Redskins are tied for a league-high 13 rushing touchdowns allowed to opposing tailbacks.
C.J. Spiller vs. ATL – I’m a big fan of C.J. Spiller’s talent but his workload consistently worries me – as he hasn’t seen over 15 touches since Week 4. The bye week gave the Bills a chance to get Spiller more involved and his ankle concerns should be all but erased. I also love Spiller’s matchup as the Falcons have been gashed by the run lately. Over their last five games, the Falcons have allowed at least 109 rushing yards to opposing running backs along with five rushing touchdowns.
WR: Jordy Nelson at DET – While he would obviously be a much better play with Aaron Rodgers healthy, Jordy Nelson is still a must-start against the Lions. Matt Flynn made his payday against the Lions by throwing 480 passing yards and six touchdowns. His favorite receiver, you ask? Jordy Nelson who caught nine passes for 162 yards and 3 touchdowns. The Lions have allowed the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. They’ve also allowed 12 touchdowns to opposing receivers in their last five games.
Victor Cruz at WAS – Cruz owners are likely rolling their eyes at this selection but the breakout is coming. Cruz is simply too good to continue his seven game scoreless streak. He’s also topped 100 receiving yards just once during that span. Expect Cruz to get back on tract against a burnable Redskin secondary that has allowed seven touchdowns to opposing wide receivers in their last five games.
Roddy White at BUF – I’m not sold on this ‘start’ because Roddy hasn’t looked like the same player since returning from his injury. This is simply the last hope for fantasy owners. The Bills, while being a solid defense, have struggled to defend the pass all season – they’re allowing the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. If Roddy cannot at least have a respectable game, all hope is lost.
Michael Floyd at PHI – Floyd’s breakout year is picking up with 13 catches for 297 yards and a touchdown over his last two games. He also receives his most favorable matchup of the season this week, squaring off with an Eagle secondary that has allowed the most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. Larry Fitzgerald is an obvious must-start.
TE: Jordan Cameron vs. JAC – Since the start of November, in three games Jordan Cameron has just 10 catches for 65 scoreless yards. He’s really become more of a low-end TE1. Getting Brandon Weeden back will certainly help him, as Cameron never appeared to get on the same page as Jason Campbell. Another favorable variable is his matchup – as he faces a Jaguar defense that has allowed the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing tight ends.
QB: Andrew Luck vs. TEN – While I’m a big fan of Andrew Luck, his diminished weapons have left him has a shaky option. All opposing defenses need to do is lock up T.Y. Hilton and Luck starts forcing balls in to pass-catchers who are unable to make plays. This week he faces a Titan secondary that is extremely stingy against the pass. In their last seven games the Titans have allowed just two passing touchdowns. Luck threw for 232 scoreless yards against them two weeks ago.
RB: Ryan Mathews vs. CIN – Despite running well over his past three games, this is not a great matchup for the often injured running back. After tweaking his hamstring last week, there’s still hope that he plays but I wouldn’t be inserting into a fantasy lineup against the Bengals stout defensive front. The Bengals have allowed the 5th fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs.
Lamar Miller at NYJ – Although the injury to Daniel Thomas is promising to Miller owners, this is the not week to rely on the Dolphins’ rushing attack. With the Incognito/Martin saga, the Dolphins offensive line has been devastated. It doesn’t help that their rushing attack never really took off. This week they face a very good Jet run defense that has allowed a league-low 693 rushing yards this season to opposing running backs.
Bobby Rainey at CAR – Despite filling in admirably for Doug Martin/Mike James, Bobby Rainey has a tough matchup on deck. Allowing a league-low 13.7 points per game, Carolina has been stingy in all facets of the game on defense. Last week they allowed the Dolphins’ running backs to combine for 16 total rushing yards. They’re allowing the 4th fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs.
WR: Marques Colston at SEA – Despite heating up (to some extent) over his past three games, Colston still isn’t the player we’re used to seeing on a weekly basis. It doesn’t help matters that he’s facing Seattle’s “Legion of Boom.” Over their last four games, the Seahawks are allowing just 7.5 catches for 82.3 yards to the opposing team’s wide receivers.
Santonio Holmes vs. MIA – Any Jets receiver is a no-no in fantasy football pretty much every week – but this week especially. The Dolphins have allowed an opposing receiver to catch a touchdown just once this season. There are much better desperation plays out there.
Tavon Austin at SF – Unsustainable monster plays are the only thing keeping Tavon Austin’s fantasy value afloat – let’s not get carried away and start believing this is the norm. The 49ers are one of the stingiest defenses in the league – I wouldn’t expect another long touchdown against them.
TE: Jared Cook at SF – Despite the touchdown last week Jared Cook isn’t to be trusted as a TE1. The 49ers have allowed the 3rd fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends. With just four catches for 45 yards in his first game against the Niners, Cook belongs on fantasy benches.
Thanks for reading, good luck this week. Hit me up on Twitter @BraudeM or post below for any lineup questions you guys have!