Start/Sit Week 11
November 13, 2014 | Mike Braude
Robert Griffin III vs. TB
Despite just one touchdown over his 68 pass attempts this season, Griffin has averaged a promising 8.2 yards per attempt. RGIII’s rushing ability gives him elite upside. He’s facing a Buccaneers defense that has allowed a TD-to-INT ratio of 19 to 6. They have allowed the 4th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks out of teams playing this week.
Le’Veon Bell at TEN
Not only should all fantasy players see Le’Veon Bell as a must-start, but this has the makings of a special week for him. Bell hasn’t scored a rushing touchdown since Week 1 and it hasn’t been due to lack of effectiveness. LeGarrette Blount received the goal-line opportunities last week against the Jets – only to fail. The Steelers have scored a league-high 88.9% of their offensive touchdowns through the air. Eventually that number will regress as towards the mean. Considering the Titans have allowed 353 rushing yards and four touchdowns to opposing running backs over their last two games, I expect the regression to take place this week.
Frank Gore at NYG
Unfortunately Frank Gore’s upside is limited by his effectiveness at 31 years old, but this is one of those weeks that he’s worth starting. The Giants have struggled mightily against the run, allowing 243 yards and four touchdowns to the Seahawks’ backfield last week. The Giants have allowed a rushing score to an opposing running back in seven of their nine games this season. Gore is a good bet to score this week.
Ryan Mathews vs. OAK
Brandon Oliver’s ineffectiveness has left the door open for Ryan Mathews to slide right back in to the lead-back role. Mathews chose a great week to return. The Raiders have allowed an opposing running back to find the end zone in eight of their nine games this season. Last week they made CJ Anderson look like Clinton Portis.
DeSean Jackson vs. TB
Despite the inconsistency at quarterback, DeSean Jackson has been surprisingly consistent. DeSean has at least 100 receiving yards in four of his last five games. The Buccaneers are allowing the most points to opposing wide receivers. Expect DeSean to get behind the defense at least once.
AJ Green at NO
Despite underwhelming because of an ineffective Andy Dalton, AJ Green is still a must-start in fantasy leagues. After injuring his knee against the Niners, it’s likely that Saints will be without top corner Keenan Lewis. Even with a healthy Lewis, the Saints have allowed the 4th most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers out of teams playing this week. It’s a good opportunity for Green to get back on track.
Jordan Matthews at GB
Let’s not rule out Matthews’ Week 10 performance as a fluke – he’s probably already the 2nd most talented pass catcher on the Eagles. Matthews and Mark Sanchez have shown plenty of chemistry after working on the second-team together during training camp. This week the Eagles will need to score a lot of points to keep up with the white-hot Green Bay Packers. Projected by Vegas as this week’s 2nd highest scoring game, Matthews is a nice plug-and-play WR3.
Travis Kelce vs. SEA
It’s finally looking like Kelce will get a chance to capitalize on his ginormous upside. With blocking tight end Anthony Fasano looking iffy for Sunday, it’s possibly that Kelce will be unleashed. He’s already shown us his talent and now comes the opportunity. The Seahawks have struggled to defend tight ends all season: they have allowed a league-high in receptions (66) and yards (669). They are allowing the 2nd most points to opposing tight ends out of the teams playing this week.
Shaun Hill vs. DEN
I’ve seen Shaun Hill mentioned as a streamer, however, I am not in favor. Despite facing an offense that will force Hill to throw early and often, the Rams have few receiving weapons. It’s going to be difficult for the Rams offense to sustain drives and generate offense against a strong Bronco defense.
Joique Bell at AZ
While Reggie Bush’s injury helps Bell secure touches, the Cardinals defense has been very good. Theo Riddick is likely to take away 3rd down work, while Bell will likely be used as an early down rusher. The Cardinals have not allowed 100 yards to any opposing backfield this season, let alone a single rusher. They are allowing the fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs.
Tre Mason vs. DEN
I like Tre Mason’s ability and do believe he’s the most talented rusher on the Rams. The problem is the Broncos have allowed just one backfield to top 38 rushing yards in their last six games. The game flow will likely dictate that Mason will need to produce in the passing game – which unfortunately is not his strength.
Anthony Dixon at MIA
With Fred Jackson likely inactive, Anthony Dixon and Bryce Brown will share the load against the Dolphins. Miami has been average against opposing running backs but the volume isn’t there for either player. Brown is the more explosive option and received more work in the passing game, making him a viable PPR play. Dixon, on the other hand, shouldn’t be started in any leagues.
Michael Floyd vs. DET
No team is allowing fewer fantasy points to opposing wide receivers than the Detroit Lions. They have allowed the fewest yards (1,262) and touchdowns (4) to opposing wideouts. Considering Floyd hasn’t produced in even the most favorable of matchups, he certainly shouldn’t be trusted this week.
Reggie Wayne vs. NE
With the wealth of options at Andrew Luck’s disposal, it’s tough to trust Reggie Wayne in bad matchups. We know Belichick will make things difficult for Luck, as he has for Luck’s previous two games against the Patriots. Andrew Luck has faced the Patriots twice in his career: Luck completed 47 of 91 passes (51.6%), for 665 yards, four touchdowns and seven interceptions. Likely squaring off with Brandon Browner, this probably isn’t the best week to play Reggie Wayne.
Marques Colston vs. CIN
At this stage of the game Marques Colston simply can’t be trusted. He has just one touchdown on the season and it’s clear that he’s left fighting for scraps behind Jimmy Graham, Mark Ingram, and Brandin Cooks. The Bengals are allowing the 2nd fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. You’ll be better off without Colston in your lineup.
Heath Miller at TEN
At this points Heath Miller simply can’t be trusted. If you remove his Week 8 performance, he’s averaging two catches for 24.2 yards per game. With the emergence of Martavis Bryant, he simply isn’t a big enough part of the Steelers’ game plan.