PWN Stars: Week Three
September 19, 2014 | Chad Scott
PWN Stars is a weekly deep sleeper article – used mostly for bye weeks – but useful for degenerate dynasty folks. It’s inevitable there will be a Richardo Lockette, John Kuhn or Larry Donnell every single week. Sure, these guys are mostly useless week-to-week, but sometimes, one breakout performance turns into two, three and maybe four. That’s PWNing at its finest. You won’t find guys like Justin Forsett, Isaiah Crowell or Dwayne Allen here. PWN Stars are the blue chip fake footballers who are owned in less than 25% of MyFantasyLeague.com leagues. Guys that you can insert into your daily or seasonal/dynasty teams if you’re looking for a Hail Mary. Now that you know what this is, enter at your own risk.
Week 2 was teeming with injuries and the PWN Stars didn’t show up – although Nate Washington did have a touchdown reversed. Kudos to you who play in points-per-overturned-touchdown leagues.
As if the first few weeks aren’t a crapshoot all in itself, trying to mine the players owned in less than 25% of leagues makes it that much trickier. Sup, excuses? Let’s be better in Week Three – only one week until bye weeks hit and we’re really scraping the bottom of the barrel.
Jermaine Kearse, WR SEA (15% owned)
After catching just one pass, for eight yards in Week 1, Kearse led the Seahawks in receiving yards and receptions last week. The results weren’t spectacular, but he finished the day with four receptions for 61 yards (10.1 points) – good enough for a WR37 finish, just behind our old friend, Golden Tate.
This week, Kearse and the Seahawks get the Broncos at home. This should be a fun game…
In last year’s Super Bowl, Kearse caught four balls for 65 yards and one touchdown – on just 21 snaps (only 12 routes run).
So far in 2014, Kearse has run a route 80% of the time Russell Wilson has dropped back (53 of 66) and has played 81% of the team’s total snaps (91 of 112). Silver lining here is that he’ll be on the field, but the dark cloud surrounding this plug and play is one Aqib Talib.
Talib has been solid thus far in 2014, allowing just five receptions on 12 targets (102 total coverage snaps). Per PFF, he’s been the best CB in the league in cover snaps per reception, yards per cover snap and just about any other metric you’d want to click on – he’s good. Talib (mostly) covers the right side of the field and that’s where the majority of Kearse’s receptions have come from.
Being the game itself is one of Bovada’s highest over/unders (48) with Seattle the favorite (-5), I believe it’s Kearse’s time to be the sleeper Twitter has so badly wanted him to be.
PWN Prediction: Five receptions, 85 yards and one touchdown (19.5 PPR points)
Derek Carrier, TE SF (<2% owned)
There were so many tight end options I wanted to spew here with names like Jeff Cumberland and Mychal Rivera, but alas, I’m falling on the Carrier grenade.
It’s a dicey situation, really. Vernon Davis is (very) questionable, Eric Decker is more or less the same and Rivera plays for the Raiders.
In a year where Ladarius Green isn’t getting run (again), Tyler Eifert still out with a gruesome elbow injury, Jason Witten doing what Rich Hribar said he’d do and Jordan Cameron touch-and-go, the time to take fliers on the position is nigh.
Enter, Derek Carrier – no relation to former Buccaneer great, Mark Carrier, unfortunately…
When Davis came out of the game on Sunday Night, Carrier filled in admirably catching three passes for 41 yards on just 20 total snaps. It’s also worth noting, Vance McDonald injured his knee during the game as well and looks doubtful to go as well. Also, Vance McDonald is not good at football things.
The matchup is gravy for Carrier, too. The Cardinals have been giving up a bazillion fantasy points to tight ends ever since I joined the 30 club. Last year, they led all defenses at nearly 20 PPR points per game. This year, they sit at #6 with 20.35 PPR points per game. Granted, they’ve played against some en fuego tight ends in Antonio Gates and Larry Donnell, but this is a trend. It has been for some time now.
What Carrier brings to the table are measureables, opportunity and is basically a blind spot to defensive coordinators. There’s not a lot of tape on Carrier, so he’s essentially a ninja – you won’t see him until it’s too late.
One of my favorite sites to peruse toilet sitting material is RotoViz.com and one of their contributors, Matt Oxford, wrote why Carrier should be on your radar here: http://rotoviz.com/2014/09/derek-carrier/.
This call is about the Cardinals propensity in giving up large sums of points to tight ends and the overall landscape of the position as it stands right now. Carrier is the epitome of what PWN Stars is all about and I’ll be rolling him out in a few deeper dynasty leagues I’m in this weekend. God, help us all.
PWN Prediction: Six receptions, 72 yards and one touchdown (19.2 PPR points)