NFL Plays: Vegas Odds (Week 8) October 29, 2016  |  Justin Bales


Games to Attack

 

Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons 

This game is projected to be the highest scoring on the slate and for good reason. The Falcons have the highest scoring offense in the NFL this season, and Green Bay looks like they are finally finding their footing. The Packers are throwing the ball at a ridiculous rate, which means that Aaron Rodgers, Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, Ty Montgomery, and Davante Adams can all be used. Matt Ryan, Devonta Freeman, and Julio Jones all make elite options. Freeman is the one that gets a huge bump with Tevin Coleman out. These are the main players of focus on in this game, but the secondary options can also be sprinkled in lineups with the total of this game.

 

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Oakland Raiders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Raiders are a team that always seem to find themselves in shootouts. This week they play the Bucs, who have an offense that can hold their own against anyone. Tampa Bay also likes to run no huddle at home, which will speed up the game and add more possessions for each team. There are a plethora of options for both teams. Derek Carr, Latavius Murray, Amari Cooper, and Michael Crabtree can all be used for Oakland this week. Jameis Winston, Jacquizz Rodgers, and Mike Evans are the elite plays for Tampa Bay, but Russell Shepard and Cameron Brate should also carry some value in this game.

 

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

This is one of my least favorite games to pick from. The Chiefs are 3 point favorites and the total is set at 50 points. There should be plenty of scoring, but the Chiefs are a team that is very difficult to stack. Alex Smith is limited as a quarterback, which hurts his receivers, but he does enough to take touchdowns away from the running back. Spencer Ware is the only safe option for Kansas City, while guys like Smith, Jeremy Maclin, and Travis Kelce can be used in tournaments. Andrew Luck and the Colts receivers are the players to attack in this game. Donte Moncrief will be returning, and he’ll make a strong play along with T.Y. Hilton and Jack Doyle. Frank Gore is a consistent back, who doesn’t come with a high price tag, and he can be used in cash games, but he lacks the upside for tournaments.

 

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Games to Avoid

 

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears 

This is an easy game to avoid. The Vikings have one of the best defenses in the NFL and the Bears have the worst scoring offense. Chicago doesn’t have an elite defense, but the Vikings are a team that struggles to score against everyone. Minnesota also has the upside for a defensive touchdown, which makes them an elite defensive option. It seems likely that Jerick McKinnon is going to miss this game, and Matt Asiata will make a great option if he is out. It’s no wonder that the game is set at only 40.5 points.

 

 

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

Both of these teams have played surprisingly well defensively, as they both rank in the top-10 in points allowed. They Cowboys are 5 point favorites in a game set at only 43 points, which suggests there won’t be much scoring going on in this game. The Eagles offense has been on a downward spiral recently, and they don’t have anyone that sticks out as a great play this week. That isn’t the case for the Cowboys, though. Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott, and Dez Bryant all have the upside to score on anyone. Even though this game features a low total, each of these three players can be used in tournaments, but it wouldn’t be wise to stack them together.

 

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

This Vegas total speaks volumes about these two offenses rather than their defenses. Both defenses have struggled this season, but both offenses have been even worse. The Jets are 2.5 point favorites, but the game is set at only 44 points. New York’s passing attack can be used in tournaments, as the Browns have struggled to defend even mediocre receivers this season. It looks like Josh McCown will draw the start for Cleveland, and he’s a decent option, but there are better ways to spend your money this week. Overall, use New York’s defense in this game.

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