NFL Plays: Vegas Odds (Week 7)
October 22, 2016 | Justin Bales
Games to Attack
Washington Redskins vs Detroit Lions
The Redskins and Lions are two offensive-based teams that can score against anyone. They are both dealing with multiple injuries on offense, which is a bit worrisome, but Matthew Stafford and Kirk Cousins have proven that they will be able to score fantasy points with anyone on the field. The Lions allowed Case Keenum to throw for 321 yards and three touchdowns last week, and Cousins is a significantly better quarterback. Both teams’ passing attacks can be stacked, as this game is set at 50 total points, and the Lions are only 1.5 point favorites. Both offenses should be able to find the end zone throughout the entire game, and it would be wise to use a least a couple of guys from this game.
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Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans
This is an interesting game. The Titans have been a defensive-minded team this season, but they have scored 58 points in their last two games. The Colts, on the other hand, are seventh in the NFL in scoring this season. This game is projected to be close, and the total is set at 48 points (down from 51 at the beginning of the week). DeMarco Murray has been the best player for the Titans this season, and the Colts have struggled to stop anyone defensively. He’s an elite option, but Marcus Mariota has also been playing well enough to be used. It’s tough to peg who will have a big game for the Titans’ passing attack, but the smart money is on Delanie Walker. Andrew Luck is an elite play for the Colts, while Frank Gore is a safe and steady cheap option for cash games. T.Y. Hilton should be peppered with targets as the Colts only have a couple healthy wide receivers on the team. Chester Rogers could also see an increased role, and he is the minimum price. Jack Doyle is also an elite cheap option with Dwayne Allen injured.
San Diego Chargers vs Atlanta Falcons
This game opened at 51.5 points with the Falcons being 6 point favorites. That line has since shifted to a 54.5 point total. This game has the highest total with the line shift. Both teams rank in the top three in scoring this season. Matt Ryan and Julio Jones will likely be the most popular stack, but Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman are two other players that come with great upside. Jacob Tamme and Mohamed Sanu can also be used in tournaments because of the Falcons’ projected total. Philip Rivers, Melvin Gordon, Travis Benjamin, Tyrell Williams, Hunter Henry, and Antonio Gates all have great upside, but they all come with some risk, as well. Travis Benjamin is the player to keep an eye on, as he’s questionable; if he’s out, the other receivers will all see an uptick in targets.
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Games to Avoid
Minnesota Vikings vs Philadelphia Eagles
This is one of the easiest games on the slate to avoid. The Vikings are allowing the fewest points in the NFL this season, while the Eagles are allowing the third fewest amount of points. Neither team has anyone that should be used this week. With that being said, both defenses are in play, as this game could potentially end 7-0 because of a defensive touchdown. These two teams have combined for six defensive touchdowns in 10 total games, and the Eagles opened as -1.5 point favorites in a game set at only 40 points. That line has since switched to the Vikings being 3 point favorites with a 39.5 over/under. It is a situation to avoid.
Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets
This has less to do with the defenses of these teams and more to do with the offenses. Neither team has been able to score this season; they both rank in the bottom-10 of the NFL in scoring. The Jets announced that they will be starting Geno Smith at quarterback this week, which shouldn’t come as a surprise with how badly Ryan Fitzpatrick was playing. Terrance West, Brandon Marshall, Mike Wallace, and Dennis Pitta all have upside because of their opponents’ defenses, but this isn’t a game that should be attacked like the ones mentioned above, as the total is set at only 40.5 points.
Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos
The Broncos and Texans don’t have the elite defenses they did last season, but they both rank in the top-11 so far this year. They will face off in another prime time defensive matchup. The Broncos are 8 favorites in a game set at 40.5 points. This game likely won’t feature a ton of points, even though there are multiple elite players. Lamar Miller and DeAndre Hopkins can be used for the Texans, but they will have limited upside, as the Texans likely won’t be scoring many points. The Broncos’ running back situation isn’t something to attack with some of the other games on this slate. Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas can be used in tournaments, but overall, this is another game to avoid.