NFL Plays: Vegas Odds (Week 4) October 1, 2016  |  Justin Bales


Games to Attack

New Orleans Saints vs San Diego Chargers

The Saints and Chargers have the highest total on the slate by a long shot. San Diego is a 4 point favorite in a game set at 53.5 points. There will be scoring in this game from the start to the finish. Both teams have explosive offenses and struggling defenses. Aside from the defenses, everyone can be used in this game. Of the two teams, the Chargers are a bit safer, as the Saints have struggled on the road. Still, they aren’t all that risky of a team, and both teams can be stacked from the top to the bottom.

 

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Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers

This game has one of the most surprising totals this week. The Steelers are 4.5 point favorites in a game set at 47 points. The Chiefs defense dominated the Jets last week, but the Steelers are always an elite offense at home. They have a few great options, but Roethlisberger, Bell, and Brown are the big three players to use. The Chiefs offense is a bit cluttered, as Jamaal Charles is set to return this week, but a player or two can be used with this high of a game total.

 

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

The Colts and Jaguars will be playing the early game in London this week. Luckily, there are slates with this game, and there are players that need to be used. Bortles and the Jacksonville passing attack make great options, but Yeldon and Ivory are taking value away from each other. It looks as if Luck will play this week, and he makes for a high upside option on this slate. The Colts receivers are also good options, especially Hilton, who is coming off a huge game with Moncrief out. Gore has also been handing the ball quite a bit this season, and he’s also a decent option, although he seems to lack great upside.

 

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Games to Avoid

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Jets  

This slate has a boatload of games that have low totals, and it starts with the Seahawks and Jets. Seattle is a 1.55 favorite in a game set at 39.5 points. Neither offense has been elite this season, but they have both looked outstanding defensively. The Jets will be at a disadvantage with Eric Decker ruled out as well. Christine Michael is the best option to come from this game, and I wouldn’t be using too many players outside of him.

 

 

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

The Titans and Texans have both had their ups and downs this season, but they are two teams that are reliant on strong defensive showings. This game has one of the lowest totals on the slate at only 40.5 points, and the Texans are 4.5 point favorites. Each team has a couple of respectable options, as DeAndre Hopkins, Lamar Miller, and DeMarco Murray all come with great upside. Obviously, the Texans offense is a little safer than the Titans, but this is a game to avoid for the most part.

 

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

The Giants are dealing with multiple injuries throughout their team, and they get a terrible matchup against the Vikings’ elite defense this week. Minnesota has looked outstanding through their first few games, and the Giants are an offense to completely avoid. The Vikings are 4.5 point favorites in a game set at only 42.5 points. The Vikings have a couple players that could make high upside options, such as Stefon Diggs, but overall they are also an offense to avoid.

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