NFL Plays: Vegas Odds (Week 16)
December 24, 2016 | Justin Bales
Games to Attack
Tampa Bay Bucs vs New Orleans Saints
The Saints always have elite upside as an offense when they are playing at home. They are 3 point favorites in a game set at 52.5 points. Drew Brees makes an elite stack with Brandin Cooks, Michael Thomas, or Willie Snead. Mark Ingram, Tim Hightower, and Coby Fleener can all be used in tournaments as well. Jameis Winston, Mike Evans, and Cameron Brate are the three elite options for the Bucs, while Doug Martin and Charles Sims can also be used in tournaments.
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Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers
This Vegas line is fairly surprising, as the Falcons are only 3 point favorites this week. The game is set at 49.5 points, though, which means both teams should do plenty of scoring. Julio Jones is set to return this week, and he’s an elite option with Matt Ryan, as they tore up the Panthers in their first matchup. Devonta Freeman has also been playing well enough for all leagues, while Tevin Coleman and Taylor Gabriel can be used in tournaments. Cam Newton, Jonathan Stewart, Ted Ginn Jr., and Greg Olsen can be used in all leagues for the Panthers this week. Kelvin Benjamin is also a solid option, but he should only be used in tournaments.
Indianapolis Colts vs Oakland Raiders
This is the third game of the week that the total is set at 52.5 points (Falcons/Panthers opened at this line). The Raiders are 3.5 point favorites. None of the Colts come with much consistency, but they can be used in tournaments. Andrew Luck, Frank Gore, T.Y. Hilton, Donte Moncrief, and Jack Doyle can all be used in this great matchup. Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree are both questionable this week, but they are expected to play. They can both be stacked with Derek Carr, who will benefit from playing at home this week. Latavius Murray has also been playing extremely well recently, and he’s a great option this week as well.
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Games to Avoid
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs
This game has a few players that look like good tournament options, but it would be wise to avoid them with the Vegas line. The Chiefs are 3 point favorites in a game set at only 37 points, which is one of the lowest totals of the season. Trevor Siemian, Justin Forsett, Demaryius Thomas, and Emmanuel Sanders all have upside, but stacking them will be risky business this week. Spencer Ware, Tyreek Hill, Jeremy Maclin, and Travis Kelce can also be used in tournaments.
New York Jets vs New England Patriots
This is a game to avoid because of the crazy Vegas line. The game is set at 45 points, which isn’t terrible, but the Patriots are 17 point favorites, which could cause a problem this week. The Patriots’ defense makes for an elite option, and LeGarrette Blount can also be used in all leagues as the Patriots will likely be running the clock out in the second half of the game. Julian Edelman also makes a high upside option. Bilal Powell and Robby Anderson are the only two options that should be used for the Jets.
Cincinnati Bengals vs Houston Texans
This Vegas line isn’t strange like the others, but it’s still concerning. The Texans are 2 point favorites in a game set at only 41.5 points. There are a lot of questionable players for the Bengals, and A.J. Green has been declared out after he had planned on playing this week. Brandon LaFell and Tyler Boyd gain value, especially since Tyler Eifert will be out as well. The Texans switched to Tom Savage at quarterback, which makes DeAndre Hopkins a high upside option on this slate. Lamar Miller can also be used in tournaments if he is able to suit up.