NFL Plays: Vegas Odds (Week 1)
September 10, 2016 | Justin Bales
Games to Attack
Oakland Raiders vs New Orleans Saints
The Raiders have a young, up-and-coming offense that should be able to score with the best of teams this season. They also have what is projected to be a good defense, but they will likely be exposed by the Saints in New Orleans. The Saints were a night and day offense last season, as they dominated at home, but failed to score with any authority on the road. The over/under of this game was set at 50.5 points, but has since been increased. There really isn’t any way to go wrong with these two offenses, as you can use anyone as expensive as Drew Brees to anyone as cheap as Clive Walford.
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Detroit Lions vs Indianapolis Colts
The Lions offense is extremely sneaky this season, as they were near the bottom of the NFL is pace last year, but they were working faster than most offenses this preseason. That’s bad news for the Colts, who are dealing with a plethora of injuries in their secondary this week. Still, Indianapolis is projected to win this game, and the only way they are going to do that, is by scoring a ton of points. The over/under of this game was originally set at 49.5 points, but it has also increased as the week as progressed. There could be some sneaky running backs in this game, such as Frank Gore or Theo Riddick, who should catch a ton of passes, but the quarterbacks, wide receivers, and tight ends are the players that should be used the most, as this game is going to turn into a shootout.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Washington Redskins
Everyone knows that the Steelers have a dominant offense, but everyone is probably wondering if the Redskins are going to be able to repeat their success from last season. Vegas has put our minds at ease, as the Steelers are small favorites, but this game is set at 50.5 points this week. The Steelers will continue to use Roethlisberger, Brown, and Williams as their three workhorse players on offense, while Jesse James and Sammie Coates have great upside. Matt Jones could have a big game, but it looks like Rob Kelley earned himself some type of role in preseason, so Jones could be a player to avoid. Kirk Cousins is the man on offense for the Redskins, while he can be stacked with any of their top three wide receivers or Jordan Reed at tight end.
Games to Avoid
Cincinnati Bengals vs New York Jets
This game is between two defensive juggernauts in the AFC. The Bengals and Jets both have good offenses, but they are defensive based teams that pride themselves on not allowing their opponents to score. That can be seen in the Vegas line, as it is set at only 42.5 points. This doesn’t mean that everyone should be avoided in this game, as some players possess elite upside, even in tough matchups. It isn’t a game to stack an offense in, though, and both of these defenses make strong options this week.
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San Diego Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs offense isn’t very appealing this week. The only position that caused any excitement was the running back, but they recently announced that they will be playing multiple backs, which takes away the upside from a guy like Spencer Ware. You could throw a dart at Travis Kelce or Jeremy Maclin, but overall, this is an offense to avoid. San Diego is also an offense to avoid, but for different reasons. The Chiefs have an elite defense, and they should be able to work around shutting down Keenan Allen, as the Chargers don’t have many other great options offensively. The over/under is set at only 43 points, and the Chiefs are huge favorites. Kansas City makes one of the best defensive options on the slate.
Minnesota Vikings vs Tennessee Titans
This is an interesting game this week. There are players on both sides that can be used, but overall, this is more of a game to use the defenses. The Vikings will be using Shaun Hill at quarterback, which means the Titans will probably stack the box and sell out against Adrian Peterson. That could open the window for Stefon Diggs to play well, but the Vikings offense doesn’t have any players that are sure-fire assets this week. Neither does Tennessee, although DeMarco Murray flashed elite form in the preseason, and comes with a cheap price tag. Derrick Henry looming behind him makes him a risky option, but he does possess upside. Delanie Walker and Tajae Sharpe also come with upside, but this is a tough matchup and the Vikings aren’t an easy team to dominate. The over/under is set at only 42.5 points, and these two defenses are both in play this week, especially the Titans, who come with one of the cheaper price tags on the slate.