FanDuel Values for Week 6
October 11, 2014 | Michael Valverde
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I will be using three notes for this Week 6, FanDuel value plays article. Next to each player’s name. This will be referring to In the Money (IM), meaning that the player is worth his price tag, which is usually in the top three ranked in their position. Also, there will be over-valued (OV), these are the players not worth you spending the amount on, and last there is the value-play (VP), this signifies a lower price per output.
Philip Rivers (OV)
Valued at 9,100
Rivers kept the water flowing as he completed 20-of-28 passes for 288 yards and three touchdowns against the New York Jets. This week he faces the Oakland Raiders. If he doesn’t surpass over 300 yards and throw for at least two touchdowns, it will be more than just a surprise. Oakland’s defense has been adequate against the quarterback, as they are 14th in points allowed, by allowing only 14 points per game.
Matt Ryan (IM)
Valued at 8,700
Ryan completed 29 passes on 45 attempts for 316 yards with one touchdown and one interception, last week, against the New York Giants. This was Ryan’s second straight game with over 300 yards passing, but also his second with just one touchdown thrown. This week he faces the Bears, and their below average defense, which ranks 18th against quarterbacks in points allowed.
Matthew Stafford (OV)
Valued at 8,600
Stafford faces a good defense in Minnesota this week. They are 10th against the quarterbacks as for points allowed, and 11th overall against the pass. The Lions will also most likely be without Calvin Johnson, Christian Fauria, and Reggie Bush. So, the mixture of a solid defense with injured players that are cogs in the offense, equals passing at this price.
Ben Roethlisberger (VP)
Valued at 7,600
Roethlisberger didn’t really have a bad game against the Jacksonville Jaguars, he just didn’t have the one people were expecting him too. He threw for 273 yards and a touchdown against the Jaguars, and will look to improve on his yards and touchdowns against the poor Cleveland Browns defense, that is 27th in points allowed to quarterbacks, allowing 19.2 points per game.
Eli Manning (VP)
Valued at 7,200
Not what people were expecting after his blow-out game against the Washington Redskins in week four. Last week, against the Falcons he completed 19-of-30 passes for 200 yards and two touchdowns. Manning has always been inconsistent when it comes to yards and touchdowns, so this week he will try to bounce back against the Philadelphia Eagles, and try to continue establishing himself with Odell Beckham. Manning should get things going again as the Eagles are 31st in points allowed to the quarterback.
Marshawn Lynch (IM)
Valued at 9,200
He didn’t enter early in the game due to back spasms, but it didn’t stop him from running for 72 yards on 17 carries, and 45 yards on five receptions with one touchdown, The back issue doesn’t see like it will keep him out for Sunday’s game against the Cowboys, as he should get inspiration from the 12, and Dallas’ poor defense. The Cowboys are middle-of-the-road defense as they are ranked 14th in points allowed to running backs.
Matt Forte (IM)
Valued at 9,000
Matt Forte had his best game of the season last week as he rushed for 61 yards on 17 carries and had 12 receptions for 105 yards and a touchdown. To expect 12 catches every week is foolish, but that is where his value comes from. He faces the vacant Atlanta Falcons defense that is ranked dead last for points allowed to running backs. Forte should continue his success, but just at a lower ceiling.
Le’Veon Bell (IM)
Valued at 8,600
Le’Veon Bell dismantled the Jaguars for 82 yards on 15 carries. He also added five receptions on six targets. Even though he is piling up the yards, he has lacked getting into the end zone. Maybe facing the Browns this week, he can break that trend, as they were the last team he scored against. Cleveland is 30th in points allowed to running backs, and Bell is going to feast once again.
LeSean McCoy (OV)
Valued at 8,000
McCoy has not been anywhere near his last season totals, nor his capabilities. Last week he rushed 24 times for 81 yards, and caught four passes on five targets, and fumbled once. A question of injury has come up, but having 24 attempts doesn’t support that. This week he will try to bounce back at home against the poor defense of the Giants. This defense is 26th in points allowed, which may help McCoy get back on track.
Branden Oliver (VP)
Valued at 6,200
Oliver came from nowhere last week and surprised with a big productive day. Oliver is now the fourth running back for the Chargers, as Ryan Mathews, Danny Woodhead, and Donald Brown have all gone down with injuries. Oliver is a PPR gold as he has reminded people of Darren Sproles. Against the Jets last week, he rushed for 119 yards and a touchdown. He also had four receptions for 68 yards and a score. This week he faces the Raiders, and this rushing defense couldn’t stop a roll-away pebble. They are 29th in the league in points allowed.
Julio Jones (IM)
Valued at 9,000
Jones just blew-up the New York Giants defense, as he had 11 receptions for 105 yards on 16 targets. Even though he didn’t get in the end zone, he keeps getting double digits in targets, and is easily Matt Ryan’s first choice. This week he faces a Bears defense, which acts more like a cub than anything ferocious. Jones, should continue his dominance. Chicago is ranked 23rd in points allowed to wide receivers.
Antonio Brown (IM)
Valued at 8,900
Brown struggled against the Jaguars for some odd reason. He was though targeted 12 times as he caught five for 84 yards. This extended his streak of five plus catches of 50 yards a game to 21. This was a let-down game for him, as it may have been hard to get excited over playing a horrible defense, which has no offense, and they are a non-divisional opponent with no offense. This week is quite the opposite as they will be battling the Cleveland Browns, so they will need him to be on top of his game, Antonio Brown should deliver. The Browns are ranked 26th in points allowed to wide receivers.
Jeremy Maclin (IM)
Valued at 8,000
Maclin had five receptions on 11 targets for 76 yards and a touchdown, last week against the Rams. This week he will see action against the poor defense of the New York Giants on Sunday Night Football, and get the looks from Nick Foles as he is accustomed too. The Giants are tough against the wide receivers as they are 11th overall in points allowed, but Foles should still be able to get him involved.
Jordy Nelson (OV)
Valued at 8,500
Nelson had a 66-yard touchdown pass against the Vikings last Thursday, then disappeared. One catch, one touchdown, 66 yards was his final numbers. On top of that he was only targeted three times, but no receiver had more than three targets, as the play calling was directed toward Eddie Lacy getting his groove on. Even so, Nelson has 34 receptions in five games, and should continue to see the ball his way as the Packers face the Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins defense is sixth against the pass this year, so it will have to be a cumulative effort for Nelson and Rodgers to get the ball moving downfield. Miami is also ranked 7th against receivers in points allowed.
Wes Welker (VP)
Valued at 6,800
Was an active participant in the Broncos offense as he had seven receptions on nine targets for 58 yards against the Arizona Cardinals. The Broncos face the Jets this week, and it should be no problem for Manning and crew. Look for Peyton to get Welker involved early, as New York will have their hands full with Demaryius Thomas and Julius Thomas. The Jets have struggled containing wide receivers this year as they are ranked 27th in points allowed.
Demaryius Thomas (IM)
Valued at 9,100
It’s not that Demaryius Thomas is not good enough to be In the Money here, it’s that after such a big week in which he caught eight passes on 16 targets for 226 yards and two touchdowns, the Jets are going to put a focus group on him, but the Jets have been miserable at stopping wide receivers, as they are 27th in points allowed.
Michael Crabtree (VP)
Crabtree did squat last week, well, not even squat, more like jack-squat. One reception for 16 yards, really? It may not be all on him though, as the 49ers were dominating the run, and they stayed with it. Colin Kaepernick had his second lowest attempts this season, as he only threw 26 times, and completed 14. St. Louis has one of the better pass defenses in football, and the 49ers will use their running game again, but it would just be too hard to shut-down Crabtree two weeks in a row. Also, the Rams struggle against wide receivers as they 25th in points allowed.
Julius Thomas (IM)
Valued at 8,200
Peyton Manning is going to have to get Julius Thomas involved again, as he did last week. Thomas had six receptions on seven targets for 66 yards and two touchdowns. This is his second multi-touchdown game this season, and has seven touchdowns over four games. He is definitely worth the money, and should continue his success against the Jets. New York is poor in stopping the tight end thus far, as they are ranked 25th in points allowed.
Rob Gronkowski (OV)
Valued at 7,600
Rob Gronkowski had a great game last week against the Bengals, but so did all the other Patriots. “Gronk” had six receptions for 100 yards on 10 targets, and he added a touchdown. This week he is facing the Bills. Buffalo has a terrific passing defense, and know how to rattle the quarterback. Everything was great last Sunday Night, but things will fall back into place, and Gronkowski is just not worth this hefty paycheck. The Bills are also middle of the pack in stopping the tight end, as they give up only 5.9 points and are 13th in points allowed.
Owen Daniels (VP)
Valued at 5,300
The Ravens offense is built around the tight end, and Owen Daniels is a solid pass receiver, so this combination works. Daniels caught five of seven targets for 70 yards. He was the bright spot in Baltimore’s offense that got broken down by the Colts defense. He maybe the second or even the third option most of the times, but he also has legitimate value as a red zone receiver. Joe Flacco should find Owen Daniels quite a bit against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense who are 24th in points allowed against tight ends.
IM-In the Money
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