Experts Mock Draft: Third Round
July 8, 2013 | Chet
Draftmaster’s are played out without the draftees involvement. Mr. Jim Day organizes them and he’s up to about 1.2 billion at this point. If you want to get in on one you should tweet him –> @FantasyTaz.
The league settings are 4 points per TD pass, .5 PPR — 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 RB/WR/TE Flex, 1 D, 1 K, 6 bench players.
25. @FantasyTaz — Reggie Bush — There seems to be some apprehension toward drafting Bush this season by some in the fantasy world, well, this early at least. His overall ADP is 34 and I currently have him at 32, but his upside in the Lions offense is better than that for sure. I have no problem at all with him here.
Eric_Edholm — Demaryius Thomas — Thomas fell a little past his ADP of 24 here. And I have him even higher than that, so I think this pick has a lot of value. Some may be worried about Wes Welker chipping away at his targets, but even if he does, those targets are going to be more productive. Thomas is the number one receiver on a team with Peyton Manning at the helm.
27. @LateRoundQB — Vincent Jackson — VJax is good at what he does which is catching long passes. I thought his crazy yards per reception would go down after he left Norv Turner’s offense, but it actually went up slightly. The only downside to Jackson’s big play ability is that big plays came fewer and farther between than not-so-big plays. In the end his numbers look great, but from week to week he can be frustrating. And I’m saying this as a VJax believer. I have him as my 8th ranked receiver based on his total projected numbers. And he’s why I’ll be starting a roto league this season!
28. @davidgonos — Roddy White — The question for Mr. White isn’t if Mr. Orange is a cop or not, but if he’ll finally fade while Julio Jones shines. Jones showed last season that he was more productive per target than White, but White also showed that he was more consistent. If Jones can stay healthy he should see a bigger share of the targets than last season and widen the gap between him and Roddy.
29. @LordReebs — Frank Gore — Frank Gore is now the dreaded 30 years of age for a running back, but last season he surpassed many expectations when he finished as the 10th best fantasy running back. He only had 259 rushing attempts so as to keep him healthy and fresh and it worked well. We will most likely see a similar work load this year, with a possibility of even less attempts. I believe he will be effective once again, but his ceiling is capped.
30. @AlexMiglio – Percy Harvin — I have been a big Harvin supporter for a while now and will continue to be now that he is in Seattle. The Seattle offense was run first and second and sometimes third last season, but they also didn’t have Percy Harvin and Russell Wilson was still learning the proverbial ropes. The potential for Harvin in this offense is great. His ability to make people miss in the open field coupled with the threat of Wilson and Marshawn Lynch running the ball will give Pete Carrol more options than he’ll be able to handle. How high Harvin can rise in the fantasy ranks will most likely be tethered to his touchdown numbers, which are the one reason I don’t have him higher than my 10th wide receiver.
31. @FantasyDouche – Andre Johnson — Mr. Johnson did some nifty work last season, especially in the second half. In weeks 9 through 17 he ranked as the 3rd best fantasy wide receiver. His problem has always been a lack of touchdowns, which is what happened last year once again, with only 4. That does limit his upside, but it doesn’t look like he is going anywhere soon and I’d be more than fine getting him this late.
32. @SchaufDS — Darren McFadden — I haven’t totally given up on McFadden, but I never give up players; I just rank them to where I most likely won’t draft them and that’s where I have McFadden so far this season. Yes, they are changing the run blocking scheme and that’s good, but how in the name of Lombardi can a player of McFadden’s ability average 3.3 yards per carry? It’s absolutely mind blowing. Ok, so let’s blame that on his offensive line (eye roll). How do we explain his yards per reception? Before last season he had caught 116 passes for 1,191 yards, which is an awesome 10.3 yards per reception. Last season he caught 42 balls for 248 yards, which was a pitiful 6.1 yards per reception. Yes, I know that yards per reception is variable, but this discrepancy is quite large. Will he turn it around this season? He very well could. But then I put last season together with his inability to stay on the field and I’m going to avoid him unless he falls into the precipice of my fantasy drafts.
33. @KyleWachtel — Jordy Nelson — Nelson is in line for a big bounce back this season if he can stay healthy. James Jones went on a touchdown binge last season, with 5 of those coming with Nelson out of the lineup due to injury. Jones isn’t going to disappear, but Nelson is still ahead of him in the pecking order when they are both healthy. Nelson is one of the few receivers with a good probability of ten touchdowns, which gives him a big step up in standard leagues.
34. @RotoPat — Randall Cobb — Cobb should pick up where he left off last season and be a PPR maven. His standard league value relies heavily on his touchdown numbers, which are tough to predict. I have been contemplating moving him down my standard league rankings a bit. Not because I dislike his outlook, but because I think Nelson and the two rookie running backs may take away some touchdown opportunities. This isn’t an exact science people!
35. @Chet_G – Lamar Miller — I’ve been pretty wishy washy on my support of Miller this season. I love his talent, but he of course has yet to prove himself for a season, but that also makes him cheaper than other running backs with similar upside. So he’s risky, we got it. When it comes down to it in a draft I find it tough to go with the Demarco Murray’s and Darren McFaddens of the world when I can throw my chips on the table for an unproven back like Miller. It’s not always the best choice, but it’s the choice I made here and probably will continue to make. I can give you reasons why I think the Dolphins will improve, but it really comes down to Miller doing work day in and day out and proving himself. We’ll see.
36. @CDCarter13 — Hakeem Nicks — Nicks was hobbled much of last season and it showed in his numbers. That scares me for some reason, even though plenty of players go through injury plagued seasons and return just fine. So I’m going against my gut, which has been wrong plenty, and getting on the Nicks train. There’s no reason the Giants offense can’t get back on track with Cruz, Randle, Myers, and Wilson this season.