Dynasty Draft Profile: Ty Montgomery
February 26, 2015 | Chad Scott
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Ty Montgomery was all set to become one of my favourite first round rookie picks prior to the start of the 2014 season. At just 20.8 years old, Montgomery finished his 2013 campaign with 35% of his team’s receiving yards, two touchdowns and 159 yards on the ground while adding over 1000 yards and two touchdowns as a kick returner. He went on to become the 2013 Johnny Rodgers Award winner (Most Outstanding Kick Returner) and, more importantly, named to the Consensus All-America team.
Then, 2014 happened…
Montgomery suffered a shoulder injury during his magical 2013 season and never looked the same during his final season at Stanford – he was unable to play the final regular season game against UCLA and missed the Foster Farms Bowl game as well due to re-injuring the shoulder (sprain).
When watching his 2013 tape, Montgomery looked like a man amongst boys. He was a weapon of mass destruction on offense and special teams. In space, no one was more explosive and mesmerizing to watch. Whether it was Montgomery blowing pass would-be tacklers on a screen, housing a kickoff or initiating contact en route to steam rolling his defenders, the man crush I had was real.
He was a usual suspect I’d nominate for $1 in my devy auction leagues and often win. I was thieving my league mates – or so I thought.
Then, 2014 happened… he wrote for a second time.
Plagued by the shoulder injury and more drops than a DJ Magic Mike, Montgomery went from Day One hopeful, to projected fourth round ‘meh-ness.’
Was 2013 a fluke? Is Montgomery nothing more than a Josh Cribbs clone (comp by CBS NFL draft analyst, Dane Brugler)? Let’s examine his strengths and weaknesses.
A physical beast despite his diminutive height. Last season, Montgomery impressed Head Coach, David Shaw, by arriving to camp in top condition following off-season shoulder surgery. Shaw told reporters:
“He’s over 220 pounds — with four percent body fat. That makes no sense to me.”
Montgomery’s legs make giant sequoia trees jealous with elite acceleration. Once he gets going, in the words of Hawk Harrelson, “He gone.” His fade routes can be impressive:
Long arms, enormous mits and a vertical jump DeMar DeRozan would be proud of.
Stanford ‘smahts’ and “is a likable person with high character and an ability to leave a positive impression in draft interviews” (Rotoworld.com)
Aside from the receiving of balls, Montgomery is an elite return man (holds the career Pac-12 record for return yardage) and is fluent in the Wildcat formation (sup, Tony Sparano and Niners):
The curious case of the dropsies (two recorded at combine). While Montgomery can beat you senseless with the ball in his hands, ensuring said ball gets and stays there can be his kryptonite. At times, Montgomery looks vicious plucking the ball out of the air, but far too often, this occurs…
Lateral agility lacks (timed out in middle of the pack at combine) most likely due to his aforementioned physique. Not uncommon for prospects of his chiseled ilk, but where there is granite, there can be flexibility issues. Flexibility issues make you susceptible to injuries. Montgomery has an injury history… Nothing a little hot yoga can’t cure.
#TeamSmallWR height-wise, but the poundage we want is there (215+ lbs.)
Most of his damage derived from screens and deep routes. Montgomery can look sluggish coming out of breaks on intermediate routes. His footwork can (and needs to) be improved on to showcase the explosiveness I believe he has.
In dynasty, I pegged Montgomery as a late, first-round rookie pick last summer. Given his injury history, disappointing encore season and lackluster combine, Montgomery is sure to fall out of the first and most likely second rounds. In DLF’s latest rookie mock drafts (thanks to my friend, Scott Fish), Montgomery’s ADP was pick 31.5 – or between picks 3.07 and 3.08. At that price, I’ll pounce every time and hope he doesn’t turn into another Ted Ginn or Jacoby Jones.
Packer’s GM, Ted Thompson, has an eye for talent at the skilled positions and Montgomery’s physical profile fits the bill. Like Brett Hundley, Montgomery may be a better football selection than fantasy. With the Packers signing both Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb to multi-year deals this past off-season, coupled with the picks of Jeff Janis, Devante Adams and Jared Abbrederis just a year ago, Montgomery finds himself on the wrong side of the depth chart this summer. Many believe Montgomery has the skill set and body to become a running back, but he’ll fill their returner role first and foremost. As of now, Montgomery’s ADP (3.11) makes him a commodity i’m not willing to commit draft capital when DeAndre Smelter, Darren Waller and Tre McBride can be had. Usually, when dealing with wide receivers, I don’t put much stock into landing spots – just talent – but, there’s a lot of cheese standing between him and any real playing time with their current roster.
In return yardage leagues, he’s definitely worth the price of admission, but in most dynasty formats, let someone else take the chance for 2015.