Dynasty Draft Profile: De’Runnya Wilson
March 9, 2016 | Chet
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Well, the combine called and they want their invitation back, De’Runnya. I mean, he literally has ‘run’ in his name, but ‘ran’ a 4.9-forty yard dash. More like De’Runn, nah, am I rite? It’s shameful how bad I am at this these days, but…
I’m old enough to remember when De’Runnya Wilson and Dhaquille Williams were hot commodities in the devy world. The fact I invested a lions’ share of my allotment in either one… IN MULTIPLE leagues should give you readers pause when taking what I say as moderately intelligent. On a side note, the readers (and listeners) know better…
I’ll give the cease fire order on Wilson, for now… but, Duke? I’m still adjusting my sights – need to account for the wind, after all.
Wilson’s raw stats – coupled with age, weight and height – made him a household name in the devy world prior to 2015. Even when you look at Wilson’s production versus other SEC wide receivers, you can make an argument for, at the very least, a solid NFL contributor.
While none of the numbers will paint a picture of elite talent, for what he was/is, in a somewhat down year for the conference’s best receivers, it didn’t kill his potential dynasty value. He finished the year #8 (SEC) in receptions, #7 in receiving yardage and #7 in receiving touchdowns. The problem is, Wilson wasn’t even the best receiver on his own team (Fred Ross).
Mississippi State has never been known for churning out NFL wide receiving talent and it’s evident looking at the school’s historical statistical data. Wilson closed out his Bulldog career having the fifth-most receptions; sixth-most receiving yards; and second-most touchdowns (although, the only names I recognize within the top-50 are Eric Moulds and Chad Bumphis). Yet, his dynasty value was still intact…
But then the combine happened…
Wilson ran the slowest 40-yard (4.85) and worst vertical jump (28’’) of all participants at his position. His combine was so bad, his agent said, “That’s it. We’re done here,” before he attempted a single agility drill. (H/O Rich Hribar)
To put it in perspective, Wilson would have been middle of the field in the vertical against offensive linemen and would have edged out three 300-pounders by just 0.1 second in the 40.
While it’s fun and juvenile to make GIFs poking fun of Wilson, it’s only because I’m sobbing on the inside of what could have been, but probably will never be…
Alas, I made some Graphics Interchange Formats for y(our) viewing pleasures to (hopefully) help us with our decisions come draft day.
Wilson is really good at being tall. Perhaps, one of the best…
He has the size and enough physicality to catch the ball while taking a hit and can be a load to bring down. There were several occasions Wilson was able to garner that YAC stat we all love so much when defenders hit him high. He’s not evasive in any way, shape or form, but if defenders didn’t go mid-low and wrap up, Wilson can bounce off and grind out a few extras:
And again, against a hard-hitting Auburn defense, a little more of the same:
Length is Wilson’s best attribute, but rarely does he play to his size. Matched up against a 5-foot-10, red-shirt freshman, you’d expect him to win the jump ball, easily. It wasn’t easy, but it counts as six all the same…
It amazes me how many opposing defenses gave Wilson enough space to work with off the line of scrimmage. His best route – and most converted route – a square-in, is far too easy with him and Prescott’s rapport. While I’m putting this GIF in the “PROS” category, a defender just getting in the way of his path would derail the play altogether. Kudos to the offensive coordinator for slotting him on the inside:
I don’t mind Wilson not being able to separate against smaller corners, but I do expect him to become a bigger focal point of an offense when inside the 10-yard line. Too often, Wilson lets the defender dictate where he’ll go making it nearly impossible for his quarterback to throw to the spot he expects the receiver to be. Get physical, son – or the NFL will chew you up and spit you out:
He’s not a terrible blocker when he locks into his target and engages, but when he attempts to cut an opponents’ legs, he tends to look like he’s diving on a grenade for his fellow wingman:
Reminds me of:
He’s a very weak route runner for many reasons a real NFL scout can elaborate on and surely communicate better than myself. But my worry is, he’s not physical enough to win on his share of contested targets and he certainly doesn’t possess the physical skills to create separation on his athleticism alone, so where does that leave him in this whole process?
We were wrong on him. We were wrong in the way we viewed him as some elite talent with a game translatable to today’s NFL. If you’re going to be a niche skill player, be great at what you bring to the table.
Looking at past Rookie ADP, compiled by DLF’s, Ryan McDowell, Wilson’s inevitable plunge into dynasty obscurity has finally happened, post-combine. Wilson’s draft history since the start of the 2015 season – present:
That’s quite the hit for a perennial top-10 rookie pick leading up to the combine, but the dynasty community has spoken and I’m with them. If you’ve exposed yourself to Wilson on a few squads already, he’s obviously a hold for now. You won’t get anything of value to ship him off, but you shouldn’t be proposing any blockbuster trades for his services either.
There are many Pro Days left, more (and better) thorough analysis of his game and of course, the NFL draft just around the corner so it’s hard to think his value will plummet much more, but if it does and we’re looking at Wilson as a dart in the third round of rookie drafts? Sure, get you some exposure… I’ll just be over here with my Wilson and Williams shares lighting my money on fire in the meantime.