Dreaming of Streaming: Week 9
October 28, 2014 | C.D. Carter
A better defensive streaming week we could not possibly have asked for. Check out how our top Week 8 dreamy streamers fared against some of the most predictably generous opponents the NFL has to offer.
|Defense||Streaming Score||Week 8 fantasy points||Week 8 rank|
I think the above Streaming Score glory is a result of a couple factors: There were no game flow nightmares that wreaked havoc on our top options and finding the easiest streaming targets gets much easier once we have a half season of data with which to work.
I mentioned in early September that the first four or five weeks of any season is the most difficult for streaming purposes, whether we’re streaming defenses, tight ends, or quarterbacks. It’s when we have a nice pile of information of this season — not last year — that we can better evaluate matchups that might not seem as juicy in the season’s early going.
The top-5 Streaming Scores from each of the first eight weeks are now averaging D/ST6 numbers after Week 8’s monster output from four of the five best streamers.
Onward to Week 9, where we have a glut of streamers that should make you froth and/or drool.
* If Michael Vick appeared to care about what he’s doing on the field, I’d be more than a little hesitant to recommend the Chiefs as a top-end streaming option. The aged signal caller last week looked disinterested once again in relief of the disaster we call Geno Smith, committing three turnovers to go along with Smith’s three turnovers. Kansas City is at home — where they’ve averaged 13.2 fantasy points this season — against a lifeless Gang Green offense. It’s pretty clear to me that the Chiefs are this week’s No. 1 option. They’re available in 37 percent of leagues.
* Welcome your Bengals, the Week 9 Don’t Overthink It Special, facing off a Jacksonville offense that could be more generous to opposing defenses than any in recent history. That somehow includes last year’s Jaguars. Defenses facing Jacksonville have been held to single-digit fantasy points just once through the season’s first eight weeks. The team’s prowess for turnovers is unmatched. You can almost set your watch to the next Blake Bortles interception. Cincy’s defense has been abominable through most of the past month, but no matter. They’re at home, they’re heavy favorites and they get to sit back and take full advantage of Bortles and company.
* The Browns, available in 73 percent of leagues, are an entirely different defense at home, in the friendly confines of the Dawg Pound. While Cleveland’s defense is posting paltry numbers on the road, they’re notching a respectable 8.8 fantasy points at home. They take on a disastrous Tampa offense that constantly faces negative game scripts while they’re defense is shredded to tiny pieces by anyone and everyone. The Bucs have been particularly turnover prone on the road, giving up seven turnovers in three games. I’d say the Browns’ fantasy floor is much lower than the Bengals and Chiefs, but they’re a top-7 play this week.
* You might be just as surprised by Indy’s Streaming Score as I was, but there’s a reason the Colts sit atop the second tier of scores in Week 9. Big Blue has coughed up the pigskin 13 times through seven games and their offensive line showed just how vulnerable they can be to a legit pass rush when Philadelphia collected eight sacks a couple weeks ago. I don’t think the Colts are a bad desperation play if you can’t nab one of the week’s elite streamers. Just pray Eli is going to Eli.
* Seattle, fantasy football’s 27th highest scoring defense at mid-season, is still owned in 90 percent of leagues. I’m not sure what that’s about, besides reputation. Their matchup against Derek Carr and the Raiders might seem like a gift from the streaming deities, but consider this: Last week was the first week that saw the Seahawks record more than one sack, and Oakland has allowed more than one sack just twice this year. I still see Seattle as a top-10 option, though I’d much rather deploy the Chiefs or Bengals this week.
* Nick Foles continues to make throws that boggle the mind. He’s throwing off his back foot for no apparent reason, tossing Hail Marys into triple coverage and generally making terrible decisions. Even so, the Eagles continue to put up points. Opposing defenses have combined for six fantasy points against Chip Kelly’s offense over the past month — a remarkable number, with or without context. I’d fade the Texans’ defense if I could, even in a home matchup.