Dreaming of Streaming Week 9: Advice from Vegas
November 1, 2013 | C.D. Carter
Sometimes Vegas’ over-unders fly directly in the face of my preconceived streaming notions. This is not one of those weeks.
Last week’s best defensive plays came from games with the highest over-unders, as we discussed in this week’s column. That’s all fine and dandy, but one week does not prove a trend. Let’s wait a couple more weeks until we give ourselves the green light to roll with defenses from potentially high-scoring affairs.
This week is spectacular in that there are a multitude of defensive streamers despite the bye week — a rarity, as you likely know. Those in deep leagues will always struggle to secure the week’s best streamers, but fantasy footballers in normal-sized leagues have their pick in Week 9.
I don’t think it’s too much to say streamers will have a tough time going wrong.
Here are my Week 9 rankings.
|Falcons at Panthers||44|
|Vikings at Cowboys||47.5|
|Saints at Jets||45.5|
|Chargers at Washington||51|
|Chiefs at Bills||40.5|
|Titans at Rams||39.5|
|Buccaneers at Seahawks||40|
|Steelers at Patriots||44|
|Eagles at Raiders||45|
|Colts at Texans||44.5|
|Bears at Packers||50|
- You see a backup quarterback and your instinct to stream a defense kicks in full throttle. Try your damndest to resist said urge this week in the Packers-Bears tilt. Josh McCown, by all accounts, won’t be a slouch in Marc Trestman’s offense while Smokin’ Jay recovers from a groin injury. Green Bay has been brutalized through the air against viable passing attacks, and Trestman’s system of high-percentage throws won’t leave a whole lot of room for turnover-fueled upside. The Bears have given up six or fewer points to enemy defenses five times in 2013. I’ve ranked the Packers as my No. 16 defense this week.
- The Titans, my ninth best defensive play this week, are next up in the Kellen Clemens Experiment. Clemens, despite being a backup in the same offensive system for so many years, showed nothing Monday night that would suggest defensive streamers should be wary of the post-Bradford Rams. Take a gander at the over-under. It’s not very often we’re going to see a point total less than 40. Even 39.5 seems high to me in a game that could easily be 21-6.
- Don’t be fooled by the Seahawks-Bucs over-under. I wouldn’t deploy the imploding Tampa defense on a dare. Just say no.
- The Saints-Jets over-under makes me squirm in my seat. I’m all in, once again, on the Saints’ vastly improved defense, ranking them fourth against a New York offense that has allowed 16 fantasy points per game to opposing defenses over their past three contests. Still, 45.5 seems a bit high, though it could be reflective of Vegas’ expectation for Drew Brees and company to decimate Gang Green. Or maybe not: New Orleans is only a six point favorite.