Dreaming of Streaming: Week 2 Update
September 12, 2014 | C.D. Carter
Watching practice and injury reports on Friday and Saturday is sometimes all we need to determine the week’s dreamiest streamer. As someone who dumps untold hours into evaluating weekly defensive plays, this makes me want to set the world record for the longest shower cry.
But so it is, with personnel changing in the 48 hours before kickoff — changes that make a middling play turn into a spectacular one overnight.
We thought we had one such play last weekend when Cam Newton was declared out against the Bucs, only to have Derek Anderson pick apart the Tampa secondary with no pressure applied by the Bucs’ front seven. In theory, deploying Tampa’s defense makes a lot of sense.
Below are some last-minute notes for Week 2 streaming defenses. Good luck this week.
* Washington’s defense had one of the week’s highest Streaming Scores, and it makes a lot of sense: they’re at home, they’re favored, and they’re playing against a Chad Henne-led attack. Henne may have looked good early on in Jacksonville’s season opener, but he ended with a 55.7 completion percentage. His sub-60 percent career completion percentage says a lot about who Henne is as a passer. He’s inaccurate. And with the Jags likely playing from behind in this one, I like Washington’s chances of creating a turnover or three this week. Why would I be so certain that RGIII and company could build a lead on anyone? For one: The Jags’ starting safety is expected to miss this one, and Washington beat reporters say the team’s receivers — particularly DeSean Jackson — are headed for a big outing. I have Washington pegged as a top-8 defensive play. The Jags allowed 8.6 fantasy points to opposing defenses on the road last season. They coughed up 14 fantasy points to the Eagles in Week 1. Stream Washington with confidence.
* If the 49ers’ defense is available on your local waiver wire, pick them up and play them. Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery are gimpy headed into a decidedly hostile environment, with Alshon unsure to suit up against the Niners. Marc Trestman is a fantasy godsend, but even he can’t stop Jay Cutler from smoking cigarettes and throwing picks. This doesn’t seem like a favorable matchup — the 49ers’ Week 2 Streaming Score is a meager 3.5 — but I could see San Francisco (a 7.5-point favorite) building a nice lead and forcing Smokin’ Jay to fling it around the 49ers’ new ballpark.
* I think the Browns make a nice contrarian play this week in daily fantasy tournaments. The Saints’ offense is a shadow of its home-field self on the road. New Orleans gave up an average of 7.7 fantasy points to opposing defenses when playing on the road in 2013, and Drew Brees has 17 touchdown passes and 17 interceptions over his past 17 road games, per The Fake Football scribe Rich Hribar. Cleveland could also make a nice streamer in 14 and 16-team leagues.
* I want to reiterate that the Rams are not going to be a must-target offense for streaming defenses, as they’re widely expected to run an ultra-conservative offense no matter the circumstance. Tampa’s defense certainly has a nice floor this week, but the Bucs’ ceiling isn’t as high as Washington’s, for instance.