Buy Low/Sell High: Week 6 October 13, 2016  |  Matt Terelle


Welcome to our weekly edition of Buy Low/Sell High. The skilled fantasy owner should be using trades to his or her advantage on a weekly basis. One way to do this is to acquire players coming off of slow performances who you think have a good chance at bouncing back. At the same time, you should be looking to deal away players coming off of big performances that you think were a fluke and unlikely to continue throughout the season. At this point of the season, I usually like to try to consolidate some bench depth and go after a big time star who has been underperforming. Let’s get going with whom we should be looking to buy and sell for Week 6!

Don’t forget to check out our DFS Cheat Sheets!

Buy Low

Lamar Miller (RB) – Houston Texans

Miller’s slow performance in Week 5 keeps him as a buy-low recommendation for yet another week. The talented running back did next to nothing against the Vikings last week, turning eight carries into just 20 yards while catching one pass for four yards. Don’t be too discouraged by that stat line as the Vikings may very well be the top defense in the league this season. Houston’s schedule opens up quite a bit this week, starting with a cake matchup against a Colts run defense that is one of the worst in the league. Miller continues to operate as one of the few lead backs in the league and is a few touchdowns away from being a sure-fire RB1. If you need help at the running back position, now is the time to strike as Miller’s value may never be lower.

DeSean Jackson (WR) – Washington Redskins

The speedy wideout is up to his normal DeSean Jackson tricks, alternating slow weeks with big outings. He’s coming off two straight slow outings which saw him catch one pass for five yards against the Browns in Week 4 and followed that up with three catches for 35 yards against the Ravens last week. The Redskins leaned heavily on Jordan Reed in Week 4 against a Browns team that has been decimated in the middle of the field, while Jackson’s Week 5 struggles can at least partially be blamed on an extremely windy afternoon in Baltimore. Jackson could have had a much bigger Week 5, but he was missed by Kirk Cousins on at least two deep throws, including one that would have been a touchdown. While he will never be a consistent fantasy producer, Jackson has value, especially as the bye week crunch starts to hit. He could come cheap at this point and would be worth pursuing as what should be a valuable stand-alone addition to your team or even as a throw-in piece in a larger deal.

Brandin Cooks (WR) – New Orleans Saints

Cooks has been a fantasy disappointment after a huge Week 1. He was decent in Week 2 and then struggled mightily in Weeks 3 and 4. Brutal matchups with Jason Verrett and Desmond Trufant certainly played a part in Cooks’ struggles those weeks. While he isn’t likely to finish as a WR1 this season, if you acquire him understanding that he can contribute as a solid WR2, you should be fine. Cooks does have a couple more tough matchups in the near future, including Seattle and Denver, but his late season schedule is very favorable. Starting in Week 13, Cooks will see Detroit, Tampa Bay, Arizona, and Tampa Bay again, setting you up pretty nicely for the fantasy playoffs. The matchup with Arizona and Patrick Peterson isn’t great, but Cooks’ other opponents make up for that.

 

 

Sell High

LeGarrette Blount (RB) – New England Patriots

Hopefully you were able to ship Blount off after the last time he appeared in this spot, as his value has dipped since then. This is likely the last chance you will have to capitalize on his remaining value as he has seen his snap count decrease in three straight weeks. Even last week in a blowout against Cleveland, Blount didn’t get the chance to kill the clock like many expected him to do. All along, Blount’s value when Tom Brady returned was tied to him racking up carries when the Patriots go into clock-killing mode. If that’s not going to be the case this season, then the James White/Dion Lewis role in New England’s backfield is going to be the role to own. It may already be too late, but it’s worth seeing if you can get RB2 value from a running back-hungry owner now.

Sammie Coates (WR) – Pittsburgh Steelers

Coates had a fantastic Week 5, producing six catches for 139 yards and two touchdowns. Coates is a nice piece to have as a WR3, but he’s likely reached his peak value after he and Ben Roethlisberger teamed up to dismantle a bad Jets secondary. He is sure to have some more productive weeks, but he will also be very inconsistent as the tertiary option in Pittsburgh’s passing attack. If you can capitalize on recency bias and upgrade him to a more consistent, proven option, now is the time to do so. To be clear, I’m not recommending that you ship Coates off for anything as he should remain a useful piece going forward, but if you can upgrade a position with Coates it would be worth looking into.

Randall Cobb (WR) – Green Bay Packers

Cobb is coming off his first good game in seemingly forever, going for nine catches and 108 yards against the Giants. The Giants have struggled against slot receivers this season and Week 5 was no exception. Cobb’s big game aside, I’m not quite ready to trust Cobb as anything more than a WR3 in my lineups going forward, at least unless we start to see him string together a few more solid games. The continued involvement from Davante Adams worries me, and we all know that Jordy Nelson is the top option in Green Bay. If someone wants to pay up for Cobb based on name value and his recent production, it would be wise to think about cashing out your Cobb stocks.

5 Responses

  1. Ben says:

    Thanks for the advice. The only other RB he offered is J. Stewart.

  2. Ben says:

    QB’s – Bortles, wentz. RB’s – zeke, latavious, sproles, Smallwood, DeAngelo, D. Washington. WR – Robinson, Marvin Jones, woods, locket, Tajea. TE- kelce.

    • Matt Terelle says:

      In a vacuum, I like the Odell/Brady/Gore side of the trade better just because of the sheer value you’d be getting back, but for your roster, trading Zeke leaves you really thin at RB. Keep in mind Gore tends to wear down at the end of the year. I’d probably stand pat on that one, tempting as it may be. Zeke is a top-3 RB already and just keeps getting better.

  3. Ben says:

    I am in a 12 man league half ppr. I have Z. Elliot and someone wants to do whatever it takes to trade for him. He offered Brady and CJ. I countered with Brady, Odell, & Gore if he wants Zeke. Would you give up zeke for all three of those guys? The only other descent guy he has is Brandon Marshall. My team is falling to 2-4. What ya think?
    Thanks.

    • Matt Terelle says:

      Can you post the rest of your roster? All players involved are great assets, I think it would be best to see your team’s construction first. Thanks!

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