Buy Low/Sell High: Week 3
September 22, 2016 | Matt Terelle
Welcome to our weekly edition of Buy Low/Sell High. The skilled fantasy owner should be using trades to his or her advantage on a weekly basis, treating the trade market like stocks on Wall Street. One way to do this is to acquire players coming off of slow performances who you think have a good chance at bouncing back. At the same time, you should be looking to deal away players coming off of big performances that you think were a fluke and unlikely to continue throughout the season. Generally, making trades after Week 1 is a bit of an overreaction as it would be better to wait for a three or four-week sample, but that doesn’t mean it isn’t worth listening to offers. Let’s get going with whom we should be looking to buy and sell for Week 3!
Doug Baldwin (WR) – Seattle Seahawks
Last week I recommended going after Russell Wilson. Slow performance against the Rams aside, I’m still bullish on the Seahawks passing offense going forward. Baldwin struggled in Week 2, twisting his knee and playing through back spasms. That being said, there’s reason for optimism for the veteran wideout. By now you should be aware that Seattle’s offensive line has been struggling. Well, guess what? Their offensive line wasn’t all that great last season either and Baldwin was able to go on to post fantastic numbers as Russell Wilson’s favorite target. The entire Seahawks offense is coming off a disappointing Week 2 performance against the Rams, but keep in mind that the Rams always give the Seahawks a tough game. Be sure to point to the offensive line woes and slow Week 2 when attempting to strike a deal for Baldwin. A prime matchup against San Francisco’s burnable secondary awaits him in Week 3.
Allen Robinson (WR) – Jacksonville Jaguars
Robinson has been one of the more disappointing early-round receivers this season. The third-year wideout has just nine catches for 126 yards through his first two games. His struggles are understandable as Robinson has drawn two tough matchups as he tangled with underrated Sam Shields in Week 1 and then took on Jason Verrett of the Chargers in Week 2. The Jaguars have two prime matchups coming up as they take on the Ravens in Week 3 and the Colts in Week 4. All this is to say that you better act fast if you think you have a shot at Robinson because the buy low window could slam shut after Week 3 if he goes off against Baltimore like I am expecting.
Devonta Freeman (RB) – Atlanta Falcons
There’s a good chance the Freeman owner in your league is already ready to cut bait with the running back. Freeman has disappointed through the first two weeks of the season, posting just 20 yards in Week 1 and then an empty 93 yards in Week 2. Tevin Coleman eating into his workload surely has the Freeman owner in your league feeling a bit nervous. While the fact Coleman isn’t going anywhere precludes Freeman from being an RB1 like he was last year, he still has RB2 upside and, as such, should be on your buy low radar. From what we know, Freeman is still Atlanta’s goal line running back, giving him the leg up on Coleman, especially in standard formats. A cake matchup with the Saints awaits Freeman this weekend, so it would be a good idea to make your move now as he could be untouchable after Week 3.
Jerick McKinnon (RB) – Minnesota Vikings
Congratulations if you won the McKinnon waiver wire lottery on Wednesday morning (or if you were smart enough to pick him up earlier than that because Adrian Peterson is old). Now that you have him, it’s probably not a bad idea to see what you can get for him on the open market. I’m not saying give him away, but it would be a good idea to hit up the owners of Peterson, Doug Martin, Danny Woodhead, Ameer Abdullah and so on to see how desperate they are. I’d aim high and go after someone in the WR10-20 range and see what happens. Questions about how much of his workload he will share with Matt Asiata and the ineffectiveness of Minnesota’s offensive line somewhat limits McKinnon’s outlook going forward.
LeGarrette Blount (RB) – New England Patriots
Blount is coming off a huge game in which he rolled up 123 yards and one touchdown against the Dolphins. Now is a good time to see what you can get for the veteran running back. It is clear that the Patriots have been leaning on Blount a bit more than usual with Tom Brady out, but I fully expect the Patriots offense to go back to their pass-happy ways once Brady returns in Week 5. When that happens, Blount’s production is going to be far more inconsistent going forward. For what it’s worth, Blount still has two dates against the run-stuffing Jets, one with the Broncos, one with Seattle, and one with Pittsburgh remaining on the schedule. To expect much out of Blount in those weeks is asking for a lot.
Isaiah Crowell (RB) – Cleveland Browns
Crowell had a great game in Week 2, going for 133 yards and one touchdown. No matter how you look at it, that’s a fantastic game. Just keep in mind that Crowell broke off an 85-yard touchdown run in the game, which is where most of that yardage came from. Add in the fact that most of his 62 yards in Week 1 came on the team’s final drive where the game was effectively over and you have a running back who is due for some regression. The Browns aren’t expected to be in very many close games, which will force the team to abandon the run in most games this season.