Buy Low, Sell High: Week 9
November 1, 2014 | Asher Molk
Be sure to check out the Week 9 DFS CHEAT SHEET before locking in your lineups!
Alshon Jeffery and Brandon Marshall: Both of these players have had up and down seasons, but usually at different times. The past two weeks, however, they’ve reached a new low. In the past two games, they’ve combined for 1 touchdown, 16 catches, and 0 games with 60+ yards- not exactly what owners had in mind when they spent top 20 picks on these “elite” receivers. In fact, many of their owners may already be sick enough of them to give them up for a solid WR3 or an inconsistent WR2. With 5 home games in their next 7 and a bye-week to fix things up, this offense simply has too much talent on it to not go on a white-hot streak. I imagine the owners who currently have these players are not in 1st or 2nd place, and they would be fantastic gets for your playoff run. Don’t overthink this one.
Marshawn Lynch: Shockingly, Lynch hasn’t scored a touchdown in three straight games. The last time that happened? October 2012. The time before that? September 2011. Basically, it’s like Haley’s Comet passing when Marshawn has this long of a scoring drought. Rest assured that the Skittles will fly in the 2nd half of the season. The tape suggests that Lynch is the same player. The carries and usage explain the scoring drought. Expect the latter to catch up with the former in the next coming weeks. Most promisingly, Lynch has been being used in the passing game more than almost ever before. You could make a strong argument his ceiling for the stretch run is highest it has ever been. With no Percy Harvin, touches at the line of scrimmage are going to go back to being monopolized by Lynch. Teams are going to have to pick their “read option” poison, and it’s been Russell Wilson running wild while defenses choose to watch Lynch. These things have a way of coming full circle, and Lynch will exact his revenge starting this week against the winless Raiders.
Jerick McKinnon: Trust me- the explosion is coming. McKinnon has once again proved that it is usually smart to bet on talent in fantasy football, not simply immediate opportunity. How are those Asiata owners feeling right now? Showing that his prowess in pads has matched his prowess in shorts, McKinnon has been steadily producing as he’s taken over Minnesota’s backfield. It’s only a matter of time before the spark hits the gasoline, and McKinnon has a 30 fantasy-point outing. The scary part? He’s only going to get better as he learns the running back position. Under the tutelage of Norv Turner, I have full confidence that McKinnon is going to end the year on a top-20 clip. Don’t miss out on the party.
Brandon LaFell: I will admit, I never thought I’d actually have to put LaFell in this column- that would mean he would actually have to do something worth writing about. But here we are with LaFell coming off of an 11/124/1 game and the Patriots offense rolling on all cylinders. However, I see plenty of reason for skepticism. First of all, the Patriots aren’t going to be playing the Bears every week. Tom Brady won’t throw for 5 scores every week, and the ones he will throw are going to be in the mitts of Gronk. When was the last time New England had a consistent downfield fantasy threat at wide receiver? To clear this up, Brandon LaFell is NOT Randy Moss. He’s proving to be a solid role player capable of beating bad cornerbacks 1 on 1- not exactly a predictor of consistency. He could be a solid WR3 the rest of the way, but sell him to someone who thinks he’s the 1B of the Patriot’s offense.
DeSean Jackson: This one could come back to bite me, but I’m here to take some risks. The last time DeSean Jackson was this consistent? Last year with Chip Kelly. Before that? Well..never. And that is what’s scaring me. This offense is NOT the 2013 Eagles- beyond Jackson, it’s pretty much a mess. So when is the other shoe going to drop? Probably sooner rather than later. RGIII’s imminent return can only hurt Jackson- after all, how could he possibly be doing better? In an albeit small sample size, Griffin has flashed complete incompetence as a pocket passer, a checkdown machine in the action he’s seen this year. Jackson’s game lends itself to inconsistency, and his booms are followed by busts. He’s booming right now…guess what comes next?
Mohamed Sanu: Although he has filled in admirably for AJ Green, that’s all Sanu really is- a handcuff. Without Green, Sanu has averaged about 6 catches for 100 yards per game. With Green? Try a WR4-esque 4 catches for under 60 yards. The Bengals’ all-world wide receiver is due back this week, sending Sanu back to number 2 duties. While he could still return some inconsistent value as the number 2 wideout on the Bengals, some owners in your league may think he’s better than a bye-week WR3. With Tyler Eifert’s return also imminent, there will be even fewer targets to go around the Queen City. Sanu could find himself fighting for thirds in targets when Gio Bernard returns, and he’ll be directly affected by Andy Dalton’s inevitable winter regression. Sanu has been a stud for the past three weeks, but the status quo has changed. It’s time to sell.