4 for 4K: Week 5 Cheap DFS Players To Own October 2, 2017  |  Stefan Arnold


Several inexpensive Week 4 players we looked at worked out well as the final pieces to roster puzzles.

Tight ends Tyler Kroft (two touchdowns) and Cameron Brate (one touchdown) hit pay dirt, while Rams wide receiver Robert Woods only had 17 yards receiving but was robbed of a touchdown on an inexplicable call by the referees. Kroft (24.80 DraftKings points) was on the $1,000,000 winning lineup.

Running back Andre Ellington was the most effective rusher, notching 104 total yards and just missing a touchdown catch before finishing with 19.4 DraftKings points.

In Week 5, as always, touchdowns will be needed by these less expensive players to drive lineups toward the money, but several rushers this week have opportunity-based value against flawed opponents. This week, running backs and tight ends look to have more value, so lineups leaning toward higher-priced wide receivers will still work if the other positions hit proper value (3x-4x salary is realistic).

Take a look at the following players and decide which ones look appealing to you. Study their matchups and keep them in mind for your rosters. If you build your lineups and decide players above $5,000 can fill all the spots, then go ahead and roll with that. But if you need to save salary at the flex spot or at tight end, take a chance on these guys.

These players are in DraftKings’ main Sunday slate, which includes the $4.25M Fantasy Football Millionaire, otherwise known as the Milly Maker.

 

 

RUNNING BACKS

Alex Collins, Ravens: Collins has show flashes with both the Seahawks and now the Ravens and posted 82 rushing yards Sunday against the Steelers with a lost fumble. The turnover is concerning, as Collins has struggled with fumbles his entire career. Keep an eye on news coming out of Baltimore this week to see if Collins ($4,000) can stay out of the doghouse. If he can hang on to the ball, Collins should have value against the 24th-ranked rushing defense of the Oakland Raiders as the Ravens head west.

Wayne Gallman, Giants: An injury to Orleans Darkwa and ineffectiveness by Paul Perkins opened the door for Gallman to have 50 total yards and a touchdown against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday. The rookie Gallman ($3,900) faces off against the Chargers at home in his second game. You’ll need to see which running backs are active for the Giants this week to make sure Gallman is on the active roster, but he looked decisive and quick enough Sunday to likely lead to more playing time.

Thomas Rawls, Seahawks: Rawls should be the major benefactor from Chris Carson’s leg injury that Carson suffered Sunday night. Although Rawls was a healthy scratch Sunday, he’ll likely start against the Rams in Los Angeles. Rawls ($3,700) has an opportunity to capture the majority of the snaps against the Rams, who allow more than 150 yards per game on the ground. The backup picture is a bit muddied. J.D. McKissic, who exploded for two touchdowns Sunday against the Colts, may take most of the other backfield targets. C.J. Prosise and Eddie Lacy each face the possibility of being the odd man out as the third active rusher for the Seahawks. 

Jonathan Stewart, Panthers: Stewart ($3,900) continues to give the Panthers decent production with limited opportunity. He’s averaged almost 5 yards a carry the past two weeks, but Christian McCaffrey steals some carries and dominates the passing targets. Quarterback Cam Newton had a rushing touchdown against the leaky Patriots’ defense on Sunday and will always be a threat to vulture rushing touchdowns from Stewart. The Panthers head to Detroit to face a defense that is better than you think. Stewart must hit the end zone to provide proper value but if the Panthers move more rushes from CMC to Stewart, he’ll have a better shot at scoring.

Others below 5K: Duke Johnson, Jr. ($4,900, vs. New York Jets); Frank Gore ($4,400, vs. 49ers); Elijah McGuire ($4,300, at Browns)

 

 

WIDE RECEIVERS

Robby Anderson, Jets: Robby Anderson against the Browns is less exciting than say, Jermaine Kearse against the Browns, but it’s a play. Hey Anderson’s $4000, what do you want? The Browns give up 26.8 points per game to opponents, ranking 29th in the league. That leaves some meat on the bone for everyone… maybe even the Jets. If quarterback Josh McCown can keep the Jets on the field and Bilal Powell and Elijah McGuire don’t break free for huge runs, then maybe the wide receivers will be able to score some points.

Donte Moncrief, Colts: Moncrief has done little to warrant a selection in Week 4. But Jacoby Brissett is looking like at least a capable quarterback and the Colts face gets a leaky San Francisco defense this week. The 49ers give up more than 240 yards through the air each week, ranking 22nd in the league. If Moncrief ($3,900) can hone in on at least a little bit of that action and grab a touchdown like he did last week against the Seahawks, then he’ll be worth his salary. Otherwise he won’t.

Kenny Stills, Dolphins: Stills ($3,700) is a Hail Mary. Specifically, a Hail Mary into Tennessee’s 29th-ranked pass defense. Tennessee’s defense was shredded by the Seahawks and Texans in the last two weeks, so now it’s up to Jay Culter to do the same for the Dolphins. Yeeee—-ikes. OK, it’s not a sure thing. But if Titans’ quarterback Marcus Mariota can’t go with a hamstring injury, the Dolphins may force Matt Cassel off the field quickly …. leading to more opportunity for Stills and Co. In theory. Maybe. Stills, who averaged 10.4 DK points before the Dolphins’ collective stinker against the Saints, has a chance to have his first breakout game of the season.

Trent Taylor, 49ers:  Taylor is beginning to be used more and more by the 49ers and he is paying off. After two consecutive weeks of only four targets, he got 10 targets Sunday against the Cardinals. While that may be more of a matchup issue on Sunday, the 49ers certainly can score points and face the unimposing 29th-ranked Indianapolis Colts defense this week. Taylor scored 12.2 DraftKings points two weeks ago thanks to a touchdown and 9.7 points Sunday. If he can close in on those numbers this week, he’ll be worth his salary of $3,400.

Others below 5K: None. Take a look at the receivers from 4K-5K. Matchup and opportunity seem to be misaligned in this group. I’d rather take a shot at Stills or Taylor for up to $1,600 less. It’s likely one will, but I don’t think the 4K-5K receivers will hit 3x value. The next WR I’d consider is Rishard Matthews (Titans) at $5,400 … and his quarterback is injured.

 

 

TIGHT ENDS

Evan Engram, Giants: Engram is a good start each week because of his salary. This likely will be the last week his salary is at $4,000 or below, so let’s use him. His targets have gone up in the last four weeks from 5 to 11 on Sunday. The Giants are playing faster on offense to try to keep Eli Manning upright. The speed is helping the offensive pace, which helps Engram as well. Although the matchup against the sixth-ranked Los Angeles Chargers isn’t wonderful, hopefully the Giants will put it all together for the first time this season and score some points in a victory. Because of the matchup against the Chargers, I expect Engram’s ownership to be pretty low. Act now while his price is right and you might be rewarded.

Hunter Henry, Chargers: You start tight ends against the Giants. Period. The Giants rank 32, that’s last in the league for those of you at home, against tight ends. Henry didn’t do much in the game against the Eagles on Sunday besides a short touchdown but he probably will be seeing more targets because of sheer talent alone. Of course, part of the problem with Henry’s numbers is his counterpart at the position, future Hall of Famer Antonio Gates. Gates, who is $3,300, is another option for you. I prefer Henry ($3,800), even though he may be a dud on a weekly basis, for his ceiling. His talent is there and the matchup couldn’t be better. Hopefully this will be a good spot for him.

Austin Serferian-Jenkins, Jets: You start tight ends against the Browns. Period. Wait, can I use that line more than once? ASJ ($3,500) hasn’t wowed yet through his first two weeks, but he is in a great spot to finally make a impact in, not just contribute to, your lineup. Rotowire reports he is second on the team in the last two weeks in targets (10) and receptions (nine). Serferian-Jenkins has a good shot at hitting 3x value, the minimum you should target for tournament lineups that cash. With a little luck and a Cleveland team that allows almost four touchdowns a game, ASJ could be a serious value.

Tyler Kroft, Bengals: Ok, so Kroft may have had the best game of his season (career?) in Week 3 with 68 yards receiving and two touchdowns. But if the other Tyler, Eifert, is out again, Kroft will at least have a shot at 5-10 targets. Although he and the Bengals face a decent defense in the Buffalo Bills, Kroft’s salary ($3,200) is low enough for you to have him in a few of your lineups.

Others under 5K: Delanie Walker ($4,700 at Miami); Jimmy Graham ($4,900 at Los Angeles Rams).

You must do what you feel is right, of course. Take a look at all the players under $4,000. Check out the matchups and see who belongs in your lineup. The biggest tournaments are almost always won with inexpensive players in a starring role, so take a chance on one or two and see what happens.

Good luck in Week 5.

Stefan Arnold is the Editor of the Fantasy Football Observer. See more DFS plays there later this week. He is also on Twitter at @FFObserver.

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