4 for 4K: Cheap DFS targets for Week 14
December 4, 2017 | Stefan Arnold
Week 14 is here and I hope you are doing well as your seasons near the end of your redraft leagues. Good luck in the playoffs.
It was an average Sunday in Week 13 for DFS. Some players we thought would do well didn’t and some players we thought wouldn’t do well did. Nothing too shocking, right?
Except maybe Alvin Kamara … woah.
For the players under 4K in Week 13, we did well with running back Peyton Barber of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who totaled 143 yards, as well as tight end Ben Watson of the Ravens, who scored a touchdown.
For Week 14, it looks like running back should be a decent value play. At wide receiver, a very good player has a tough matchup but there are also other choices. The tight end position seems a little bit limited but there is some upside for almost minimum salary.
Here they are … the Week 14 players that are $4,000 or under on DraftKings’ main slate. If you haven’t played it yet, take a shot at the Millymaker. It takes just a dollar — well $20 — and a dream. Soon, you could be living the good life surrounded by lots of gold-plated knickknacks.
Frank Gore, Colts: Frank Gore keeps chugging along … like a train … for you kids out there. I think he can, I think he can. He’s definitely not an exciting play and his upside is more limited than my jump shot. But he should continue to see enough touches to at least warrant consideration in this category after posting 13 carries for 61 yards Sunday against Jacksonville. Gore ($3,900) faces Buffalo this week, so he should see more room to run against a defense that allows 120 yards rushing a game.
C.J. Anderson, Broncos: Anderson finally regained the edge in the timeshare with Devontae Booker. Anderson had 67 yards rushing and added 43 receiving yards on 22 targets (19 touches) against the Dolphins on Sunday. If he has that many targets this week at home against the New York Jets, he should be a good choice for $3,900.
Mike Davis, Seahawks: Another week, another Seahawks’ running back in this category. Davis had a big game against Philadelphia on Sunday night with 101 total yards on 20 touches. Because his production came in the night game, his $3,700 salary for this week was locked in. Davis is taking over as the main back from J.D. McKissic, who is still a nice value play but saw only a fifth of the running backs snaps as Davis, per PFF’s Nathan Jahnke. While Davis faces a tough matchup against the Jaguars in Jacksonville this Sunday, the Seahawks will try to establish the run, as always. Davis is the best value at the running back position this week.
Tion Green, Lions: In his first game, Green had 51 yards rushing and a touchdown as Ameer Abdullah was out with a neck injury. For $3,600, he’s worth a dart throw if Abdullah is out again this week against a Tampa Bay team that should be more forgiving to the Lions’ offense, which was shut down in Baltimore on Sunday.
Others under 5K: Derrick Henry, Titans ($4,900 at Cardinals)
Paul Richardson, Seahawks: Seattle has a difficult matchup this week in the passing game against the Jacksonville Jaguars but Richardson is one of the best wide receivers that you’ll see in this category. Hopefully, Russell Wilson will be scrambling, Richardson will get open and a touchdown will be the result. Richardson ($3,900) is not going to give you volume but he has upside. Sometimes that’s all you can ask for.
Kenny Golladay, Lions: Golliday always reminds me of the Green Day song. HOOOOLIDAY! Maybe this week I’ll think of an entire lineup of players who remind me of songs. For instance, for AC/DC’s “It’s a long way to the top (if you wanna rock ‘n’ roll)”, maybe I’ll use Josh McCown. Anyway, Golladay ($3,900) and the Lions face the Buccaneers, who give up 267 passing yards a game, 31st in the league. Make sure QB Matthew Stafford is a go with his hand injury, otherwise, take a holiday from Golladay.
Trent Taylor, 49ers: Taylor seems to be a favorite target of new starting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo. Taylor caught six passes on six targets for 92 yards in Week 13 against the Chicago Bears. He has a good matchup this Sunday against 24th-ranked Houston Texans. At $3,300, Taylor is probably your best value and highest upside player (via possible volume), in this category … not a bad combination.
Adam Humphries, Buccaneers: Humphries is $3,100. That’s cheap. You could expect a lot for that price but you would be wrong. Have I mentioned he’s $3,100? If you build plenty of lineups, he should probably be in one. If you build only a few lineups, you probably don’t need him. A return from Jameis Winston helped on Sunday, as Humphries had his fourth-most receptions in 2017, with four. Those stats aren’t exciting … but can I interest you in a home game against the Lions?
Others under 5K: Jermaine Kearse, Jets ($4,800 at Broncos); DeSean Jackson, Bucs ($4,400 vs. Lions)
Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Jets: ASJ would seemingly have been a nice target for the Jets the several times they were in the red zone against the Chiefs on Sunday but Josh McCown decided he wanted to Bogart all the touchdowns via quarterback sneaks. Serferian-Jenkins ($3,600) has a nice matchup against the suddenly awful Denver Broncos this week, so hopefully, we’ll see some redzone targets for the tight end.
Stephen Anderson, Texans: Anderson is on this list because of all the injuries to Texans receivers on Sunday, including Braxton Miller, Bruce Ellington, and C.J. Fiedorowicz. If Anderson ($3,200) is one of the few receivers left to target, then he could receive maybe, quite possibly, theoretically, just a few extra targets when DeAndre Hopkins decides he doesn’t want to be open. Take a shot on Anderson, who had 79 yards receiving Sunday. You’ll certainly get Anderson at a low ownership when the Texans host the 49ers.
David Njoku, Browns: When you try to say the name “Njoku” in your dictation software, the computer says “say what?”. In a small sample size of Sunday’s game against the Los Angeles Chargers, the return of Josh Gordon made the remaining Browns’ wide receivers even more worthless than they have been, which is tough to do. At $3,000, Njoku has a tough matchup against the Green Bay Packers, who are rated No. 1 against tight ends. But people who can afford only 3K can’t be choosers.
George Kittle, 49ers: Kittle is in a timeshare with Garrett Celek but hopefully as Jimmy Garoppolo gets a little bit more time under his belt, the 49ers will turn to Kittle, who has more upside and athletic ability than Celek. For the near minimum price of $2,700, Kittle is worth a shot. If Kittle does anything, your lineups will rocket to the top of your GPPs. Guaranteed. Well, not really. But maybe.
Others under 5K: Hunter Henry, Chargers ($4,600 vs. Washington); Cameron Brate, Bucs ($4,100 vs. Lions)
Tip of the week: Take a look at the lowest-salaried player in your lineups and ask yourself why he is there. Does he have a good matchup and does he have a quarterback to make him a worthwhile player? Is he at home and most of the trends pointing to value? For instance, in Week 12, I used Emmanuel Sanders in several of my lineups. Even though his results were skewed because he was injured in the game, if I had asked myself these questions, I wouldn’t have used him.
By eliminating the worst mistake in each of your lineups, you will make a huge difference in your score. You’re likely not to cash every week but if you can stop making egregious mistakes, bad errors and sloppy plays, your ROI will go up. That I do guarantee.
Remember to take breaks this holiday season. Make sure your “plate” is filled with ham or other delicious entrees and not too much other crap. Rest, relax and have a great Week 14.
Stefan Arnold is the editor of the FantasyFootballObserver.com. He is also on Twitter at @FFObserver. For those of you who like to play music when you set your lineups, listen to the always-rocking FFObserver 24/7 radio station via the iOS Stationhead app. Use the invite code GETON or mine, FFOBSERVER, to get started.