4 for 4K: Cheap DFS Plays for Week 3
September 20, 2017 | Stefan Arnold
As you go about building your DFS lineups, sometimes your come to the final spot (usually at the flex position for me) where your remaining salary, is, shall we say, less than ideal.
But that’s OK … you can still win big tournaments with players who won’t cost you a lot. In fact, the DraftKings’ $5 Million Millionaire contest was won in Week 2 with two players that had salaries under $4,000 … Jets’ receiver Jermaine Kearse at $3,900 and the Cardinals’ J.J. Nelson at $3,800.
Cheaper players, of course, are riskier propositions for all the reasons that make them cheap … opportunity, skill level, surrounding talent. But finding those one or two inexpensive players that have a shot to bank 3x value, 4x value or more is important to fielding a competitive tournament lineup in most cases.
So here are some Week 3 players that are $4000 or below that may be able to contribute in your last lineup spot. Don’t go crazy with you ownership percentage on these players because many of them will just not work out. But see which ones catch your eye and do your research on their upside for Week 3.
These players are available in DraftKings‘ main Sunday slate, which includes the millionaire contest.
Thomas Rawls/Eddie Lacy ($4,000 and $3,400, respectively): The Seahawks’ running game has gotten off to a poor start and rookie Chris Carson is gaining an edge as the RB1. But Rawls and Lacy lurk in the background. Lacy, who was inactive in Week 2, and Rawls, who ran for 5 yards in Week 2, will be very low owned and one of them is likely to be inactive in Week 3 as well. But I suspect the one who does play has a chance to split time with Carson against Tennessee’s 18th-ranked rush defense. If you decide on trying this duo, have $4,000 in your budget and be ready to upgrade another player with the extra $600 if Lacy is active.
D’onta Foreman ($4,000): The Patriots are the best at allowing an opposing team’s best players to do just enough to not hurt them. With New England focused on wideout DeAndre Hopkins and secondarily, running back Lamar Miller, Foreman may have the opportunity to capture a bit more opportunity for the Texans, who should try to slow the game down to keep Tom Brady and Co. off the field. After posting 40 yards rushing last week, Foreman will face the 32nd-ranked Patriots rush defense, though the Pats’ are getting some defenders back from injury. Like most players, touchdowns will make or break his value, but Foreman is the type of player who scores for teams as they get handily beaten by New England.
Shane Vereen ($4,000): The Giants have scored 13 points on three drives … and the rest of two games. While the Giants may be worse than we thought, their offense can’t be as bad as it looks. Even if it is, Vereen should see more chances anyway as Paul Perkins fails to impress. Vereen had nine receptions and 51 yards in Week 1 for 14.1 DraftKings points and he added six rushes in Week 2. If he sees 12-15 touches this weekend against Philadelphia and notches a touchdown, he may hit 20 DraftKings points.
Robert Turbin ($3,700): Turbin played 28 snaps last week in backing up Frank Gore. With the Browns coming in to Indianapolis this weekend, Turbin may have the opportunity to see double-digit touches against Cleveland’s 23rd-ranked rush defense. If the Colts can post two rushing touchdowns on Sunday (they are projected to score about 21 points), Turbin has a decent shot at scoring one of them.
Rashard Higgins ($4,000): The Browns’ wide receiver has been on the outside looking in for quite some time in Cleveland. With Kenny Britt’s ineffectiveness and Corey Coleman going down with a broken hand, Higgins looks to be in a prime spot to pick up where he left off in Week 2 against a poor Indianapolis Colts team that is ranked 24th against the pass. Coming within 5 yards of the 100-yards bonus on DraftKings against the Ravens, Higgins has a good chance at being the Browns’ leading receiver Sunday … well worth $4,000.
Jeremy Kerley ($3,600): The bad news on Kerley is that he hasn’t done much this year, as Jermaine Kearse is dominating the Jets’ passing production early, including scoring two touchdowns last week. As teams work harder to minimize Kearse, slot receiver Kerley could see an uptick in targets. Behind Jay Ajayi, the Dolphins should take an early lead on the Jets this weekend, leading to more opportunity for Kerley and the Jets’ passing offense.
Russell Shepard ($3,500): After scoring a touchdown in the Panthers’ opener, Shepard was near silent in Week 2, although he played 50 percent of the snaps as noted by Rotowire. Shepard is facing the Saints’ defense at home this week ***DING DING DING *** and with Kelvin Benjamin (knee) hurting and Greg Olsen out for several weeks, Shepard is in a good spot for a bump in target share at least.
Chris Conley ($3,200): Playing in almost 90 percent of snaps last week, Conley caught four passes for 55 yards in Week 2. Quite simply a boom-or-bust candidate, Conley has the speed to turn any catch into a touchdown. The Chiefs face the Chargers on Sunday in what could be a surprising shootout. The Las Vegas line implies that the Chiefs may score 25 points. I think they go a bit above that, leading to more possibility that Conley scores a touchdown at an almost-minimum DraftKings price.
Austin Hooper ($3,800): After 128 yards and a touchdown in Week 1, Hooper had a measly seven yards in Week 2. Those DFS players who went in for Hooper in Week 2 will be off the bandwagon for Week 3. Hooper is not a game-breaker but his red zone opportunities will continue to be there in a very good Falcons’ offense. Facing the Lions on Sunday, Hooper will have several chances at one or even two touchdowns.
Jack Doyle ($3,600): Doyle and the Colts host the Browns this week with Jacoby Brissett locked in as starting quarterback for Indianapolis. Get excited, Indy. Although he led the team in receptions and yards in Week 2, in most weeks he’ll likely be the No. 2 option behind T.Y. Hilton. A fine play for the price, Doyle will see more targets than most tight ends anywhere near this price range, and that in itself is worth a flyer.
Evan Engram ($3,2o0): Engram should receive more opportunity if the Giants’ offense can progress from abysmal to just plain awful. He scored a touchdown in Week 2 and totaled 14.9 DraftKings points. Engram, however, was placed in concussion protocol on Wednesday, according to SportsNet New York. Engram is a longshot play but if he can’t go try ….
Austin Seferian-Jenkins ($3,000): Returning after a two-game suspension to start the season, ASJ may immediately become the Jets’ second-best receiving option. Or their best. Reportedly overcoming his drinking issues, Seferian-Jenkins impressed during the preseason. ASJ has all the physical tools to be a factor at tight end, so we’ll see beginning this week if he can make that promise come true.
For more DFS plays this week (including players who cost real salary!), check out Doug Shain’s Week 3 Hail Mary.