4 For 4K: Cheap DFS players to target in Week 13
November 27, 2017 | Stefan Arnold
It’s coming down to crunch time in redraft leagues but each week is a new chance to win money in DFSland. Before we take a look at the best cheap DFS players to use in Week 13, let’s review last week’s calls.
Week 12 had a few decent plays from the inexpensive pool but none that made headlines. J.D. McKissic proved again he is the best back in Seattle but he isn’t getting enough touches to trust. He’ll have another big game or two before the season is out but he will be a hit-or-miss dart throw every week. Most often miss.
At wide receiver, Jags rookie Dede Westbrook had 10 targets and Zay Jones scored a touchdown, as did tight end Tyler Kroft. Kroft was the likely target for another end zone pass before teammate Joe Mixon stepped in front of him (the ball fell incomplete). Mixon had a good day as one of our Under 5K running back picks.
Here are Week 13’s inexpensive plays. As with every week, these players are on DraftKings’ main Sunday slate and are priced at $4,000 or below. Strangely, Julio Jones is priced higher than 4K this week.
Matt Forte, Jets: Forte had only 26 yards rushing Sunday against the Carolina Panthers in his return from a knee injury but his prospects this week are much better. Forte ($4,000) should see at least 10 rushes and a handful of targets against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, so his opportunity value alone is fantastic. Take the floor and hope for more ™.
Peyton Barber, Buccaneers: Barber scored a pair of touchdowns after starter Doug Martin left the game against Atlanta with a concussion. If Martin remains sidelined, Barber should be a very low-owned play with competition from only Jacquizz Rodgers and Charles Sims. Sims has been underutilized in Tampa Bay for his entire career, so if Barber ($3,900) can steal some carries from Rodgers and most of the goal line work, he may hit pay dirt for Tampa Bay — and for you — this week against Green Bay.
Tarik Cohen, Bears: Cohen had -3 yards on four touches Sunday against the brutal Eagles’ defense. Cohen has done well when given chances however, and the game should open up dramatically for the Chicago offense at home against San Francisco in Week 13. The 49ers are ranked 30th against the rush and 28th overall, so Cohen should at least have more touches backing up Jordan Howard this Sunday. In five games with 13 or more touches this season, Cohen has scored 13.8 DK points or more four times. Cohen should be a decent floor play with a chance for more.
Andre Ellington, Texans; Wayne Gallman, Giants: OK, so we are cheating a bit with this hedge. But Ellington and Gallman are here for two different reasons … past production and current opportunity.
Ellington ($3,500) was picked up by Houston after being released by the Cardinals. If Texans’ running back Alfred Blue misses more time due to a hamstring injury, Ellington should see many of the passing-game snaps behind starter Lamar Miller. Ellington has four games with 12 DK points or more this season in a limited role. If he can steal some targets on Sunday against the Titans, he could surprise.
Gallman is pulling into an almost-even timeshare with Orleans Darkwa for the Giants. Because he is the same price as Ellington, follow the news and see which player may be more valuable this week. If Blue is OK to go, play Gallman, otherwise Ellington would be a lower floor play who has a higher ceiling.
Others under 5K: Jamaal Williams, Packers ($4,700 vs. Buccaneers); Alex Collins, Ravens ($4,500 vs. Lions)
Bruce Ellington, Texans: Ellington remains at 4K or under but he is a viable option if Will Fuller stays out of action with a rib injury. Ellington has seen seven or more targets in the last three weeks, posting 12.8 DK points in Week 11 after a 14.1-point Week 10. Fuller is the key. For more insight, watch Monday Night Football and see how Ellington’s role is evolving. I’d avoid him if Fuller returns in Week 13, otherwise a fine matchup against Tennessee awaits.
Randall Cobb, Packers: The go-to receiver for Packers quarterback Brett Hundley is … Davante Adams. But Cobb is suddenly on the cheap radar even after scoring a touchdown Sunday against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Cobb looms over other receivers in the inexpensive pool with talent and, in Week 13, in opportunity as the woeful Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ defense sails into Green Bay. With Hundley looking more comfortable, a few shares of Cobb at $3,900 is a good way to post a contrarian pivot play off Adams, saving $2,600 in the process.
Tyrell Williams, Chargers: Williams is not going to offer much in the way of a floor with all the mouths to fee in Los Angeles but he does offer speed to score on a long pass. Sometimes that’s all we can ask for. For $3,900, Williams is only an option if rookie Mike Williams remains out with a knee injury. If Mike Williams returns, Tyrell just won’t see enough targets to be used. If Mike Williams is out, Tyrell would make a nice gamestack pick at home against Cleveland. Package QB Philip Rivers with Tyrell and another pass catcher and hope for a Chargers’ blowout.
Seth Roberts, Raiders: Roberts ($3,700) is on the radar for two reasons this week, opportunity and the New York Giants. After an injury to Amari Cooper (concussion) and a with the brawling Michael Crabtree, Roberts may be one of the few remaining WRs on the Raiders available to face the 29th-ranked Giants’ pass defense. If Cooper can’t return and Crabtree is suspended (although NFL.com’s Ian Rapoport thinks that is unlikely), then Roberts is an unexciting but viable option.
Others under 5K: Kenny Stills, Dolphins ($4,700 vs. Broncos); Josh Gordon (maybe), Browns ($4,100 at Chargers)
Ricky Seals-Jones, Cardinals: Three touchdowns in the last two weeks. He’s a thing. $3,200.
Ben Watson, Ravens: Watson saw only one target in Week 11 after 10 in Week 9. See how he does in Monday Night Football against Houston for more information. If he does OK, for $3,100, he’ll be a fine option in Week 13 at home against the 24th-ranked Detroit Lions. As an added bonus, Watson’s price will not rise even if he does well in MNF.
O.J. Howard, Buccaneers: Howard’s usage has seen an uptick with Ryan Fitzpatrick under center, with 52 yards receiving in each of the past two weeks. The matchup is bad, as the Green Bay Packers rank No. 1 against tight ends, but if Packers QB Brett Hundley continues to move the ball like he did Sunday night against Pittsburgh, then both offenses might have some scoring potential against two below-average defenses.
George Kittle, 49ers: The 49ers’ tight end ($2,700) has plenty of room left on the bandwagon after briefly making a name for himself earlier this year. San Francisco may turn to highly-touted Jimmy Garoppolo after QB C.J. Beathard suffered a knee injury against Seattle on Sunday. Even if Beathard is ready to go, the 49ers may want to see what Garoppolo can do as they prepare an offer for the free-agent-to-be. If Garoppolo is starting in Week 13, Kittle should have some value against a decent Chicago Bears defense.
Others under 5K: Hunter Henry, Chargers ($4,700 vs. Browns)
As a reminder to new readers, the players above are suggestions to fill out your lineups. They are cheap for a reason, so don’t be overweight on them (don’t use them in too many lineups). See which ones make sense for your lineups in terms of price, correlation to your QB or opposing QBs and for having a different lineup than your tournament foes.
As always, enjoy the week and may the touchdowns go your way.