2014 Week 4 NFL Picks September 27, 2014  |  Neil Parker



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Beyond the Miami Dolphins, it was a solid Week 3.

Dallas catapulted themselves ahead after an atrocious start. Rumor is, Janoris Jenkins is still wondering where Dez Bryant went. The New Orleans Saints did just enough to cover their spread and the Cincinnati Bengals stymied the Tennessee Titans to keep the under winner.

Frankly, shedding the half-point dagger streak felt good. It was rewarding, too, which really is the point.


Onto the 2014 Week 4 NFL Picks.

The over — and New York Giants, although without backing — screamed at me Thursday night. However, there are only two picks this week.

The San Diego Chargers should cleanup the Jacksonville Jaguars nicely, although that spread is outrageously high. I expect the New Orleans Saints to handle the Dallas Cowboys, but the Saints haven’t been world beaters, and a last drive field goal could decide the game.

Go less with more.


2014 Week 4 NFL Picks


Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (-7.5)

Tennessee is in a tough spot. They’ll play their second consecutive road game, against an explosive Colts’ offense, and the Titans will start a backup quarterback or an injured Jake Locker. It is also a divisional game. Tennessee will likely gain a few more points in the spread if Locker is deemed out, so there is incentive to grab this early. Tennessee has been run over on the ground, too, allowing an average of 168 rushing yards over their past two games. Additionally, they have only scored 17 points in the last two weeks.

The Colts beat up the Jacksonville Jaguars last week on the road, in a game a lot of people expected to be closer. With Andrew Luck at the helm, the Colts are averaging 426 yards of offense and 31.7 points per game. They’re explosive. Luck has multiple weapons, and the Titans are not going to be able to contain them all. To date, the Titans have limited teams through the air, though. Facing the Kansas City Chiefs and Dallas Cowboys has helped, and Luck and the ponies are different beasts, entirely.

The Colts need another win, have the better quarterback and home-field advantage. Tennessee’s defense isn’t good enough to slow down Luck, and the Titan offense won’t be able to keep pace with him, either. This could enter blowout territory.


Detroit Lions at New York Jets (+1.5)

The Jets draw another high-octane offense, and on a short week. They have proven to be a capable run defense, pacing the league in yards allowed. However, opposing quarterbacks have a 100.4 passer rating against them. Geno Smith has four interceptions and a lost fumble, already, and the offense will also go without their best receiver Sunday. Eric Decker hasn’t practiced this week. Unfortunately, the ground game – the heart of the Jets’ offense – draws the No. 2 rushing defense. The Jets offense looked lost at times last week, too.

The Lions didn’t do a lot on offense last week, but perhaps the real story was shutting down Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Matthew Stafford will need a bounce-back game, but lighting up the Jets’ secondary is all but a given. Rodgers and Jay Cutler picked them apart to the tune of five touchdowns and 571 yards the past two weeks. Calvin Johnson, Golden Tate, Reggie Bush and Joique Bell should have plenty of success in the vertical game. The Lions’ defense should give the limited Jets’ offense fits, too.

This might end up being a fairly close game. Although the Lions’ offense has sputtered in back-to-back weeks, they’ll score enough to cover this spread. Likely, they’ll cover easily, too.

2014 Week 4 NFL Picks: Reader’s Picks


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