2014 Week 2 NFL Picks
September 13, 2014 | Neil Parker
It has been quite a week for the NFL.
Last week’s picks stumbled in, too. The Jets left plenty of points on the field, including their decision to go for two late. Those half-point lines can be a savior and a killer. The Lions took care of business, as expected. The Redskins’ rinky-dinky offense was a polar opposite, unfortunately.
On to the 2014 Week 2 NFL Picks.
My biggest backing was the New England Patriots (-3) over the Minnesota Vikings, and thankfully I got it in earlier this week. The line has doubled since the news involving Adrian Peterson. I still like New England to cover that spread, however there is no reason to wager for me personally.
2014 Week 2 NFL Picks
Seattle Seahawks at San Diego Chargers (+5)
Seattle will head south with plenty of rest after beginning their season in the Thursday night battle last week. It is difficult not to back Russell Wilson, especially with Marshawn Lynch and Percy Harvin creating matchup nightmares for the opposition. This offense has weekly-blowout potential. Then there is the Seahawks defense. Here is a quick look at the quarterbacks the Seahawks have shutdown the past four games, playoffs included: Aaron Rodgers, Peyton Manning, Colin Kapernick and Drew Brees.
The Chargers will be motivated after blowing a fourth-quarter lead Monday night, but will be hosting the Seahawks on a short week. San Diego will be without center Nick Hardwick (for the season) and right tackle D.J. Fluker will likely play at less than 100 percent. Both are important to the running game, and protecting Philip Rivers. The Chargers have vertical weapons, but expecting a lot of offense is unadvised against the imposing defense Seattle boasts.
Backing a road team based on previous performance can be a foolish approach, but as the spread drops, the value increases. Expect the Seahawks to dominant the possession clock, win the turnover battle and make the Chargers uncomfortable on both sides of the ball. San Diego is a solid team. They’re just not in the class of the defending champions.
Philadelphia Eagles at Indianapolis Colts (O 54)
Entering his third season, Andrew Luck has a full compliment of weapons at his disposal. The running game leaves a lot to be desired, but Ahmed Bradshaw adds a nice pass-catching option. The offensive pace of the Eagles will keep Indianapolis pushing the ball down field, and Luck is capable of exploiting a susceptible Philadelphia secondary. The Colts have too many weapons. The Eagles won’t be able to stop this communist offense.
While the Colts get the edge in their receiving corps, LeSean McCoy and Darren Sproles will have big days, helping Nick Foles and the aerial attack. Zach Ertz isn’t likely to score three touchdowns, as Julius Thomas did in Week 1, but presents an obvious matchup issue for Indianapolis. Add savvy veterans Jeremy Maclin and Brett Celek and upside-rookie Jordan Matthews and the Eagles are equally dangerous.
Expect the over/under total to increase. You should be able to cash as long as the total stays below 60, though. These two teams have high-octane offenses, push the tempo and boast high-end quarterbacks. On the other side of the ball, the defenses will have their hands full. This is the highest over/under total of the week, and the game should be an absolute gem, unless you like 14-10 contests. You’re going to need a calculator to keep up with this game, at least I will.
New York Jets at Green Bay Packers (-7.5)
This is an overreaction line. Last week, the Packers looked dull. But ask yourself, when was the last time a team didn’t in CentruyLink Field? The Green Bay defense will rebound against a more predictable and limited Jets’ offense. On offense, expect Aaron Rodgers to pick apart the vulnerable secondary of the Jets. The offensive line needs to improve, though. Eddie Lacy faces another solid front seven, so expect the passing attack to be the difference maker against the Jets.
The Jets lost the turnover battle last week and committed 11 penalties to the tune of 105 yards. Both are serious concerns, especially given their matchup against a rookie quarterback. The Packers will score, so expect Geno Smith to have issues leading the offense in the effort to keep pace. The Jets don’t boast a competent No. 2 receiver, either. The Packers looked susceptible against the run, but will the Jets be able to stay competitive with a run-dominant offense?
Give the Packers a few points for home-field advantage and this line looks even smaller. With an extra-long week, expect a motivated Packers team, who cannot afford to lose, either. The undisciplined Jets have a weak group of defensive backs and a turnover-prone quarterback. If the Packers can get up early and make the Jets rely on Geno Smith’s arm, this will get ugly.
2014 Week 2 NFL Picks: Reader’s Picks
@naparker77 I would think the Packers are a near lock. 10 days to prepare and Jets struggles at home vs Oakland last week
— Adam Cook Fantasy (@Fantasy_Schnerd) September 13, 2014
— Charles Cooper (@cmcooper2011) September 13, 2014
— Nick Viccione (@nviccione) September 13, 2014
@naparker77 Pats over the AP-less Vikings.
— Wayne Dutch (@patsrule23) September 13, 2014
@naparker77 Tampa and Jacksonville to be honest
— LedgerSko (@LedgerSko) September 13, 2014
@naparker77 I have browns +7
— Patrick Mayo (@ThePME) September 13, 2014
— Dale Steele (@dalersteele) September 13, 2014
@naparker77 I’ll go Detroit
— ProjectRoto (@ProjectRoto) September 13, 2014
— Real Super Dave (@SuperStatsDave) September 13, 2014
— Chad Weizer (@CDubs125) September 13, 2014
What are your top 2014 Week 2 NFL Picks?