2012 Fantasy Football

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Week 9 Start/Sit

posted by Mike Braude

START

 

QB: Michael Vick at NO – Despite not attaining the lofty goals we set for him, Michael Vick hasn’t been that bad this season. Over his last four games, he has averaged 229.5 passing yards and 41.5 rushing yards with a 6:2 TD-to-INT ratio. This week the Eagles face a historically bad Saints defense that has given up more yards than any team in NFL history through its first seven games. The Saints have given up at average of 25.3 points to opposing quarterbacks. If that’s not enough for you, they also allow the highest opposing quarterback rating and yards per attempt. Don’t worry about Vick, he’ll start this week and couldn’t ask for a better matchup.

RB: Alfred Morris vs. CAR – After his 59-yard effort against the Steelers, I’ve heard owners express concern over Alfred Morris. The Redskins fell behind early and were forced to rely on the pass-game; it isn’t a reflection on Morris or too concerning for the future. He will continue to be dominant on the ground despite his lack of pass-catching involvement. With a plus-matchup against the Panthers on the horizon, Morris must be started.

Jonathan Stewart at WAS – Jonathan Stewart doesn’t have the best matchup but what’s most important for him is the Panthers’ ability to move the ball – something I don’t think they will struggle with against the Redskins. With all the rumors of DeAngelo Williams being traded, there’s never been more clarity in the Panthers’ backfield. Loaded with talent and finally given the opportunity, Stewart shall perform this weekend.

Ryan Mathews vs. KC – Owners who are losing confidence in Ryan Mathews must stay the course. His talent will equate to fantasy numbers sooner, rather than later. He has a plus matchup this week against the Chiefs and I expect the Chargers to be more creative in how they involve their most talented weapon. Still averaging 4.3 yards per carry, Mathews hasn’t wowed owners with big plays like he has in previous years – don’t give up just yet, it’s coming.

Rashad Jennings vs. DET – Despite his low yards per carry as the Jaguars starting back, Rashad Jennings will continue to thrive based on the volume he’ll be given each week. In two games since attaining the starting gig, Jennings has racked up 38 carries and 13 catches. He’s extremely involved in the offense and that’s not changing. Continue to start him over part-time players.

WR: Randall Cobb vs. AZ – Although he had just 28 yards and a touchdown last week, Randall Cobb must continue to be treated as a WR1 until Greg Jennings returns. Averaging 6.2 catches for 77.2 yards with four touchdowns in his last five games, Cobb is quickly becoming one of the league’s most exciting playmakers. This week he faces the same Cardinals defense that made Michael Crabtree and Randy Moss look like open-field playmakers.

Jeremy Maclin at NO – Despite totaling just 33 receiving yards against the Falcons, Jeremy Maclin must be inserted into fantasy lineups for this week’s dream matchup. In terms of fantasy points, no defense has allowed opposing wide receivers to score more points than the Saints defense. Start Maclin with confidence.

DeSean Jackson at NO – DeSean Jackson is facing off against the same historically bad defense as Vick and Maclin. The Saints secondary has given up as many big plays as any defense in the league – expect DeSean’s electrifying playmaking ability to get in on the action.

Titus Young at JAC – I hyped Titus Young a lot this offseason and was as excited about Nate Burleson’s injury as a kid in a candy shop. Young brings elite deep speed to the Lions’ offense and has already provided Stafford with another difference-maker on offense. Young will continue to draw favorable coverage because he’s playing with some guy named Calvin Johnson on his team.

TE: Greg Olsen at WAS – No tight end draws a better Week 9 matchup than Greg Olsen. I do not believe that he’s an every-week starter but with Gronkowski, Vernon Davis, and Dustin Keller on bye, you could do a lot worse than Olsen. Giving up an average of 12.3 fantasy points to opposing tight ends, few pass-defenses have been leakier than the Redskins.

 

SIT

 

QB: Eli Manning vs. PIT – Coming off three straight sub-par performances, Eli Manning draws a matchup with the Steelers’ strong secondary. Giving up just 182.6 pass yards per game, good for tops in the NFL, this isn’t an ideal matchup for Manning to get back on track. Still immensely talented, you could do worse than Manning as your quarterback.

RB: Fred Jackson at HOU – In good matchups I see nothing wrong with starting C.J. Spiller or Fred Jackson but when they face a team like the Texans – I feel quite repulsive. No team playing this week has given up fewer points to running backs. With the porous Bills defense there’s a very good chance they fall behind and neither running back receives the touches owners were hoping for. Spiller, on one hand, can survive with fewer touches because of his big-play ability. I wouldn’t say the same for Fred Jackson.

BenJarvus Green-Ellis vs. DEN – Already not a big fan of Green-Ellis, the fact that he’s facing the stout Broncos’ run-defense doesn’t help. Only the Texans have given up fewer points to opposing running backs and it’s not like Green-Ellis is an imposing back. Sit him if you have other options.

Alex Green vs. AZ – Although he’s still the Packers lead-back, Alex Green has been ineffective while holding the starting gig. During his three-game tenure as the starter, Green has carried the ball 64 times for just 154 yards, good for a disappointing YPC of just 2.41. Don’t expect things to change against a Cardinals defense that has been effective against opposing backs.

WR: Sidney Rice vs. MIN – Despite catching six passes for 55 yards and a touchdown against the Seahawks, I wouldn’t feel comfortable starting Sidney Rice. His potential is capped by the Seahawks’ run-heavy philosophy and Russell Wilson’s limitations as a passer. Facing a solid Vikings pass-defense, this isn’t the week to bet on Rice.

Kenny Britt vs. CHI – Although he practiced in full today, Kenny Britt has yet to produce effectively enough to justify starting him against the Bears. Still recovering from his knee injury, Britt was two penalties away from a big game last week. Still playing with limited snaps, just 23 of the Titans’ 36 pass plays last week, I wouldn’t feel good about starting Britt.

Andre Roberts at GB – Despite catching seven passes for 65 yards last week, Andre Roberts and the Cardinals’ offense shouldn’t be trusted. The Cardinals scored just three points against the 49ers and more ugliness should be expected against the Packers’ defensive unit. Larry Fitzgerald is the only Cardinals’ skill player I would trust.

TE: Jermichael Finley vs. AZ – As disappointing as any player in the league, Jermichael Finley can’t capitalize on his enormous potential. Even with Jennings out most of the season, Finley has topped 50 receiving yards just twice all year and hasn’t topped 60 yards once. Don’t worry Finley isn’t making up for that with touchdown catches, because he only has one of those this season. Playing on just 25 of the Packers’ 40 passing plays last week, I’ve given up on Jermichael Finley.

 

Thanks for reading! Hit me up on Twitter @BraudeM or post below for any lineup questions you guys have!

 

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Mike Braude

Co-Founder of Apex Fantasy Football Money Leagues, University of Arizona Business Graduate, Writer for The Fake Football, and FSWA Member.
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71 Comments

  • I need two out of Hillman, Ballard, and Greg Olsen for my Flex. And I need to choose between Ponder, Russell Wilson, Weeden, and Tannehill at QB. Any chance Dwyer plays? If so I can start him at Flex as well… Thanks.

    • Olsen and Ballard. Wilson at QB

  • Hi Mike.

    Do I risk Donald Brown or pick up Philip Tanner for the late game? Deep league, short bench, so I’d have to drop Pitta or Dwayne Allen. (I was going to start Dwayne today).

    Thanks.

    • Have to imagine that Brown will have a bigger role than Tanner. So stick with him.

  • PPR, Pick 2

    ingram, dreessen, jacquizz,. hixon, a roberts, andre brown

  • I need 2 WR and 1 Flex in PPR:

    A. Johnson, Cobb, Maclin, T. Young…C. Spiller, M. Leshoure

    • Cobb and Maclin

      • How about the Flex spot??? Spiller, Leshoure, Andre or Young?? Help! Thanks!

      • oops, go with Andre

  • PPR: DH Bey, Josh Gordon, Vic Ballard, Andre Brown(giants), Joique Bell. Need a WR3 and FLex. Thanks, love the site.

  • andre browm or LSH?

  • Should I trust Jordy Nelson or should I play it safe and go with Torrey Smith?

    • Close, I’d trust Jordy because I don’t think they’d be playing him if he wasn’t healthy since they have a bye coming up. Go with your gut.

  • Start Jordy or Cobb in 10 tm standard? Vikings or Dolphins D? Thanks!

  • jordy or dhb?

  • Which is better rest of season play: B.Tate or D.Richardson? 14-team PPR league

    • Their values can change significantly with an injury to SJax or Arian. If there’s no injury then it depends on their matchups.

  • with brown out, would you start ballard or a. green? thanks.

    • Brown is active, I’d start Green

  • Flex Randy Cobb, Rashad Jennings, or Felix Jones in non-PPR?

    • Cobb

      • Ingram, Alex green or hilman?

        Also:

        Plug in DHB for deZ or wait around then pick up avant/Ingram/Morgan ??

      • Green, then I’d wait for Dez and play Ingram if he doesn’t play.

  • Hey Mike…in light of the Megatron news (and I hate myself for asking this), IF he plays, would you sit him in favor of any of the following: Felix Jones, Daniel Thomas, Andre Brown, Kenny Britt?

  • I need to drop a RB for a TE fill-in for Gronk this week. 14 team, PPR league. I’m pretty deep at RB. Wondering who is the best to drop of this bench bunch:

    - Felix Jones
    - Ben Tate

    My other RB’s are: McFadden, Spiller, Bradshaw, Dwyer, D.Richardson, LS-H

    I’m leaning towards dropping Felix, since his value will decline as soon as Murray is healthy. Plus, Tate becomes super valuable should Foster ever get hurt.

    Thoughts?

    • Yeah I’d go ahead and drop Jones. Tate has a lot of upside still.

      • Sadly I’d still play Calvin.

  • leshoure or pierre thomas,

    mike wallace, stevie johnson or titus young

    i have foster so hes in. but the 2 WR spots the 2nd Rb and the flex is in the air

    • Pierre Thomas as RB2. Wallace as WR. In standard, put LeShoure as flex. In PPR, put Johnson in as flex.

    • Yeah, you’d start Rice, Trent, Julio, Marshall and have J-Stew/Denarius based on matchup. I’d definitely do that.

  • Yo Mike. I was offered 2 trades for my Murray

    1) Decker and Dez for Murray.

    2) Julio Jones for Murray and Antonio Brown

    Which one should I accept, if either?

    My current RBs are: Rice, Trent, Murray, J-Stew
    My current WRs are: Marshall, Denarius, Antonio Brown, Britt

    Please let me know ASAP!! Thanks.

    • How many receivers and RBs do you start? If you only need 1 player, to fill Brown’s spot, I’d do #2. If you need two more players then do #1. Getting the best player is the best way to judge most trades and Julio’s the man. Wouldn’t hurt to have some depth with two young stud WR either. Definitely try and get at least one of them done – I’m worried about Murray.

    • We start 2RBs, 2 WRs, and a flex. I usually would start 3 rbs.

      if I do the julio trade, my starting RBs would be Rice and Trent, and my 2 starting WRs would be Marshall and Julio, and i would have the choice at flex to start Denarius or J-Stew. I probably wont start Brown anyway even if I still had him.

      So, you think I should do #2 for sure?

    • Im so confused – everyone is telling me to do trade #1 now. If I did #1, my WRs would look like this: Marshall, Decker, Dez, Moore, and Brown

      my RBs would be: Rice, Trent, and JStew.

      Then I would take 2 of my WRs and trade for another very solid RB.

      Given than, do you still think Murray and Brown for Julio is good for my team? then i would be pretty light at RB. Ill go with whichever you recommend here. thanks man!!

      • Either one would benefit your team. If you think you can trade those two WRs for another RB then go for it but in terms of one WR that can be in your lineup, it doesn’t get much better than Julio.

  • PPR W/Sproles out need Flex: Titus or Mike Williams..Also I own Dwyer & Felix .Would u drop Felix for Redman? Thanx

    • It’s very close – I like both this week, but I prefer Titus. If you only need Redman for this week it’s worth doing. I’m just worried about you being stuck in a timeshare with Dwyer and Redman. Redman playing passing downs when Dwyer returns. Felix hasn’t been too productive and always teases owners but still holds the Cowboys RB job for now. Remains to be seen for how long if he continues to be this ineffective.

  • Rudolph or Olsen till AHern gets back?

  • Non-PPR: who would you start at FLEX this week, R.White, J.Stewart, or Eric Decker?
    thanks again

    • I’d hate to bench any of them but Roddy White can’t be benched.

  • PPR: who would you start at FLEX this week, De.Jackson, J.Stewart, or Josh Gordon?

    thanks

  • Also, 14 Team PPR: I have Alex Green as my RB2 right now, do I pick up Redman for this week? If so is it worth it to drop Andre Brown, Kendall Hunter, or Alex Green for Redman?

    • Another tough one – I would grab Redman and hopefully not drop any of those. If it’s possible to drop someone else (a second D or K or a mediocre wide receiver) I definitely would. If you must drop one of them, I’d make it Brown. I just wouldn’t love to drop him with how frail Bradshaw looks.

  • 12 Team PPR: I’ve got Martin & Jstew as my starting RBs this week, Brees is my QB & Graham is my starting TE. Do I flex James Jones or Pierre Thomas? Thanks.

    • Tough one, honestly you could go either way. I really think it’ll be close between Martin, Stewart, James Jones and Pierre Thomas. I’d start Thomas but go with your guy.

  • Would you give up Murray for James Jones? at RB I already have Rice, TRich, and JStew, but at WR I have only Marshall, Denarius, and Antoio Brown

    • Try Brown and Murray for someone that needs two players. Try to get a Julio Jones or Brandon Marshall in return.

  • would you give up Murray for James Jones?

    • Murray’s still more valuable.

  • Hey Mike, T.Young, J.Gordon, BJGE. Pick one WR & one Flex. Standard Scoring. Thanks!

  • I got DMC, Decker and Marshall and Graham locked on my roster and need to fill 1 RB and 1 Flex Spot with

    CJ2K (CHI)
    CJ Spiller (@HOU)
    Alex Green (ARI)
    Josh Gordon (BAL)

    what’s your call? i’m indecisive

    • I’d go with CJ2K and Spiller.

  • Freeman over Eli this week?

  • +1 PPR (different league)…pick 2, please.

    LaRod Stephens-Howling @ GB, Felix Jones @ ATL, James Jones vs ARI, Lance Moore vs PHI, Cecil Shorts vs DET.

    If it matters any… Brees is my QB (possible combo with Moore), Felix plays Sunday night, and Moore plays Monday night.

    • I’d go with James Jones and Lance Moore.

  • 10 team league, mostly standard scoring (except +4 bonus on 40+ yd TDs, and +1 on completions and -.5 on pass attempts).

    I have both Brees and Vick on my roster, facing head to head in NO’s dome. Brees is still the start here right, despite PHI having the much better defense in this matchup?

    • Yeah, you can’t sit Brees – especially in your league, he’s just a much better passer than Vick.

  • Hey Mike…I know this may sound a little crazy, but hear me out…with my top 3 RBs all on byes, I’ll be starting Leshoure for sure as my RB1 this week. I’m left with starting either Daniel Thomas or Joique Bell. Assuming Leshoure starts, would I be a total fool to start Bell as well against a generous JAX run D? I know Thomas doesn’t exactly have a bad matchup himself, but playing both Lions seems oddly appealing. Thoughts on this ridiculous idea?

    • With news out of Pitt, I just picked up Redman as well. Thoughts on how that would affect my question above?

    • Yes, I’d go with Redman. He should receive the most touches.

  • It sounds like the Steelers will have to travel on Sunday for their game against the Giants, do you think it will affect how well they play? I’m having a hard time figuring out who to sit between Antonio Brown, Maclin, Cobb and Lance Moore, thinking that might be a tie breaker.

    • I wouldn’t sit Brown, the Steelers will be forced to pass with Dwyer out against the Giants. I’d sit Lance Moore.

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