Week 9 Starts and Sits November 6, 2015  |  Chet


We’re at the halfway point of the 2015 NFL season and thoroughly entrenched in the dog days of the fantasy football schedule, made brutally apparent by last week’s rash of injuries to key players.  Do not despair, fake footballers.  The Week 9 Starts and Sits are once again here to identify exploitable match-ups and help you hurdle your squad’s health-related hardships.  Let’s dive into the links, video, and picks for the upcoming slate of games:

2015 Game Flowbotics (Week 9)

TFF’s Week 9 Staff Rankings

Starts

QB

  •  Tyrod Taylor vs. MIA:  Healthy out of his bye and back into the top 10 QBs.  We missed you Tygod.
  • Jay Cutler @ SD:  San Diego’s defense stinks and Chicago should be without Matt Forte.  Fire up a Marlboro and let the essence of Cutler fill your lungs.  Oh yes, we’re in flavor country.
  • Derek Carr @ PIT:  I’m done second guessing Carr.
  • Jameis Winston vs. NYG:  He’s not Drew Brees, but Winston should similarly have no trouble producing against the woeful Giants defense.
  • Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. JAC:  Re-injury is a slight concern, but this is a nice match-up if Fitzmagic can stay on the field.

RB

  • DeAngelo Williams vs. OAK:  He’s an every week starter.  This is your one reminder.
  • Jeremy Langford @ SD:  Not quite the weekly play that DeAngelo is, but Langford has the benefit of facing DVOA’s worst rush defense in Week 9.
  • C.J. Anderson @ IND:  He seems to have turned the corner since his early-season battle with turf toe.  Meanwhile, Denver has become the AFC’s version of Carolina (only better), winning with the running game and superb defense.
  • Duke Johnson @ CIN:  An early week call under the assumption that Cleveland would be playing from behind, which should be the default stance on Cleveland’s offense all season.
  • C.J. Spiller vs. TEN:  No Khiry Robinson means more work for Spiller and the Titans have DVOA’s worst rush defense.
  • Dexter McCluster @ NO:  Parallels the Duke Johnson call.  Tennessee will need to pass to keep up in this game.  McCluster is a nice PPR value.

WR

  • Amari Cooper @ PIT:  An every week starter, yes, but this match-up has him inside my top 10 wideouts.
  • Stevie Johnson vs. CHI:  The chalk replacement for Keenan Allen.  All other San Diego pass-catchers could be viable in this match-up, as well.
  • Willie Snead vs. TEN:  The Titans rank 9th in DVOA against #1 wide receivers, but last in DVOA against #2 wide receivers.
  • Allen Hurns @ NYJ:  He’s questionable, but assuming he starts, Hurns should be in line for a solid workload with the Jets keying on the other Allen.
  • Robert Woods vs. MIA:  See Tyrod Taylor above.
  • Harry Douglas @ NO:  No Kendall Wright this week and the Titans should be pass-happy in an effort to keep up with the Saints.
  • Dontrelle Inman vs. CHI:  Primarily for deeper leagues, Inman will have more universal appeal in future weeks if he garners enough targets in this promising match-up.

TE

  • Delanie Walker @ NO:  See Harry Douglas above.
  • Charles Clay vs. MIA:  See Tyrod Taylor and Robert Woods above.
  • Heath Miller vs. OAK:  Relevant again thanks to Roethlisberger’s return and the Raiders allow the most fantasy points to opposing tight ends.
  • Austin Seferian-Jenkins vs. NYG:  Not a sure bet to play, but this is a nice match-up if he does.  The Giants allow the second-most fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends.

Sits

QB

  • Kirk Cousins @ NE:  Could rake in some garbage time points, but I fear the Washington running game isn’t good enough (27th in DVOA) to keep New England remotely honest.  If the Pats can drop extra players into coverage, it’s curtains for Cousins.
  • Sam Bradford @ DAL:  The Dallas defense is sneaky decent, but they’re more vulnerable to the run than the pass.  This should be more of a Murray and Mathews game than a Bradford game, especially without the threat of high-powered offense on the other side of the ball from Matt Cassel.
  • Blake Bortles @ NYJ:  I’m running back the same logic I used against Derek Carr last week.  It didn’t work out then, but the Jets are at home this week and Bortles is a lesser QB than Carr.
  • Andrew Luck vs. DEN:  The year from hell continues for Luck owners.
  • Johnny Manziel @ CIN:  Poor game script didn’t lead to any turnovers, but Manziel’s output still wasn’t very good.

RB

  • T.J. Yeldon @ NYJ:  See Blake Bortles above, relative to Latavius Murray last week.
  • Matt Jones @NE:  See Kirk Cousins above.  Chris Thompson, assuming he plays, is the Washington RB to consider in this match-up.
  • Rashad Jennings @ TB:  The Bucs are fairly stingy against the run.
  • Kendall Gaskins vs. ATL:  Blaine Gabbert isn’t likely to do the 49ers’ running game any favors and we still have no clue what the touch distribution will look like between Gaskins and the other SF backs.
  • Alfred Morris @ NE:  See Kirk Cousins and Matt Jones above.
  • Isaiah Crowell/Robert Turbin @ CIN:  See Duke Johnson above.  It is worth noting, however, that Crowell appears to have reclaimed his full ground-pounder role from Turbin.

WR

  • T.Y. Hilton @ DEN:  See Andrew Luck above.
  • Anquan Boldin vs. ATL:  Blame it on the Blaine.
  • Brandon LaFell vs. WAS:  Could he produce?  It’s possible, but I don’t like playing Patriots tertiary receiver B.I.N.G.O., so I’m avoiding LaFell.
  • Mike Wallace vs. STL:  Simply a tough match-up against an elite defense.  There are easier opponents coming for the Vikes, so Wallace could be a buy-low.
  • Marques Colston vs. TEN:  I enjoyed the vintage Colston performance in Week 8, but his match-up was perfect.  Don’t expect the same this week against a relatively stingy Titans pass defense.
  • Terrance Williams vs. PHI:  The Dez show is back in town and all the Dallas receivers are inherently limited by Matt Cassel.

TE

  • Jason Witten vs. PHI:  See Terrance Williams above.
  • Jacob Tamme @ SF:  Week 8 seems like an outlier and the Falcons should have no problem moving the ball with their primary weapons in this game.
  • Richard Rodgers @ CAR:  Another tough match-up for Green Bay’s offense, but especially for their tight ends.  The Carolina linebackers are legit.
  • Kyle Rudolph vs. STL:  See Mike Wallace above.

Thanks for reading/watching and good luck this week.

3 Responses

  1. B.J. says:

    Over the last few days I have received many offers for Gronk in my 12 team nonPPR, and most of them have been junk, but I received one last night that has me intrigued.

    I get: Dez, Ingram, and M. Bennett
    I give: Gronk, Chris Johnson, Andre Ellington, and Malcom Floyd

    My thinking in this situation is that I could use a top WR, and Dez has the potential to be an every week monster. Ingram gives me a clear #1 RB after losing Bell and Foster for the year. Bennett isn’t the sexiest of options at TE but my mindset is that I’ve got to sacrifice a bit to get such major upgrades at RB and WR.

    The only player I’d really miss is Gronk. But I just traded for him earlier this week and I haven’t even had him in my lineup, so how much will I really miss him? The remaining three players that I’d be giving up are bench players and it’s unlikely that I would ever play them barring injury or bye week.

    So what do you guys think?

    My team
    QB- Matty Ice WR- DT, Evans, S. Watkins
    RB- L. Murray, Ivory TE- Gronk
    Flex- Yeldon K- Walsh DEF- New England

    Bench- Chris Johnson, Hausckha, D. Carr, Carolina D, Ma. Floyd, C. Michael, A. Ellington
    IR- Ajayi

    • B.J. says:

      Mike Evans should also be in my starting lineup

    • gregsauce says:

      @B.J.: The deal is fair enough. You get Dez as a clear upgrade to Watkins (assuming health) and Ingram as a slight upgrade to Murray/Ivory, but losing Gronk is a big deal. He represents probably the single greatest individual advantage you can have at any position.

      My preference would be to keep Gronkowski and look for other deals or waiver adds to improve your WR corps. For starters, you should drop one of your kickers for and upside play at a relevant position. You could also try to deal Matt Ryan for a mid-tier RB/WR and use Carr and streaming QBs off the waiver wire.

      I wouldn’t fault you for making the deal, but your team seems pretty good as constructed and there are ways to improve it without dealing Gronk.

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