Week 8 DraftKings Value Picks
October 23, 2014 | Ian Goldsmith
Teddy Bridgewater: $5100 – Minnesota at Tampa Bay
Oh Teddy….You were so enticing against Atlanta and then disappeared into fantasy oblivion! When will you return? This week, you say? Tampa Bay has been horrific against the pass. After a decent first two weeks in which they faced Derek Anderson and a fresh Austin Davis, they have been annihilated by QBs. You know, I take that back. They weren’t even good those first two weeks. Anderson and Davis combined to go 46/63 (73% completion) for 465 yards, 2TDs and 0 TOs. Teddy has a chance to put up huge numbers this week. Is he risky? You bet your ass he is. He could also win you a tournament.
Nick Foles: $6300 – Philadelphia at Arizona
Sign. Me. Up. Arizona is giving up the 2nd most yards per game to opposing QBs and is 6th in the number of 20+ yard completions conceded (the five teams ahead of them in this stat have all played one more game than the Cardinals). Philly is coming off the bye and will be rested and prepared. I think we’re going to be hearing “Foles to Maclin” quite a few times this weekend. And who knows, Maclin’s high number of targets might actually mean something this week! Tournament play as I have not yet seen enough consistency from him.
Lamar Miller: $6000 – Miami at Jacksonville
Miller is my safe play of the week. He will succeed against Jacksonville where every other team has succeeded, except the Browns (seriously…what was up with that game?!). Tannehill’s improved play as of late has only served to open up more lanes for the 23 year old back who has at least 2 catches in each game this season. Besides a week 2 dud, Miller’s lowest score on the season was last week’s 16.3. I love his consistency. Jacksonville will not be able to stop him, especially with Jaguars’ starting MLB Paul Posluszny (check my spelling!) out for the season. Miller is my top cash play of the entire weekend (although I won’t throw you out of bed for going with DeMarco).
Travaris Cadet: 3000 – New Orleans vs. Green Bay
Cadet quietly has had two 6-catch performances in the past three Saints’ games. On a full PPR site like DraftKings, those kind of numbers can be huge, regardless of the amount of yards rushing or receiving. Pierre Thomas is out for 2-3 weeks, which will open the door for Cadet to have another opportunity for success. This game easily has the chance to be the highest scoring of the weekend. I want to get a lot of exposure and Cadet is my favorite cheap play. The New Orleans RB committee is always a crap-shoot, but Cadet should get his chances this week. This is obviously only a tournament play as he could put up a big fat 0. Ingram at $4300 is also worth a look.
Jarius Wright: $3500 – Minnesota at Tampa Bay
You’d better not be risk-averse if you want to take Wright. Minnesota has been all over the place this season, but they are doing the right thing by letting Teddy Bridgewater run the show. After only catching 3 passes combined in the first three weeks of the season, Wright has become a more consistent threat with Teddy B at the helm. In the past four weeks, he has caught 19 balls for 236 yards. He gets a choice matchup this week against Tampa Bay. He’s a tournament play that could pay off big time.
Doug Baldwin: $4700 – Seattle at Carolina
I hate to jump on bandwagons, but I’m not embarrassed about doing so. Baldwin’s targets shot up in the absence of Percy Harvin. Moving mostly out of the slot, Baldwin was clearly Wilson’s favorite target throughout last week’s game. He gets a Carolina secondary that has not had any type of success this year. Seattle needs to win as they sit a surprising 3rd place in the NFC West. Baldwin will, once again, be a big part of the game plan this week. Tournament play. If he receives another 10+ targets, I’ll be more inclined to use him in cash games in the coming weeks.
Dwayne Allen: $3900 – Indianapolis at Pittsburgh
Mr. Consistency. He won’t win you your week, but he won’t lose it either. He’s had at least 12.8 DK FP in 5 of 7 games this season (one of those two games he didn’t was that odd Eagles game in Week 2 in which the Colts ran all day long and ended up losing). Pittsburgh’s defense is surviving on name recognition only at this point. They have no answer for Luck’s arsenal. Cash play.
Zach Ertz: $3200 – Philadelphia at Arizona
Ertz’ numbers have suffered so far this season, but it has more to do with injuries to his teammates than lack of skill. Philly is missing a couple of key pieces to its O-Line, especially Jason Kelce, PFF’s #1 rated center in 2013. Because of this deficiency, Ertz has lost snaps to Brent Celek, who is the superior blocker. That should be less of a problem this week as Arizona’s pass rush has simply been torn apart with injuries. They are effective at stopping the run, but that leaves room for QBs to work. Ertz’ ability shines when stretching the field. With ‘Zona focusing on stopping McCoy and Maclin, he should have room to operate. Tournament play.
Jacksonville. Cash play. Tournament play. Don’t be surprised if they are 50% owned, however.
NY Jets: $2800
They are in a good position at home against a Bills’ team whose RB corps has been depleted. Tournament play.
Week 7 Recap
Ugh….well, let’s just say I want to forget last week. Barring a couple of decent plays, my value picks did horribly. Check it out….if you must.
Dwayne Bowe: 3.83 PPT ($DK) – A nice game for my main man Bowe. Did well against SD as usual.
Jamaal Charles: 2.79 – Wishing he had 5 more rushing yards for the bonus, but a decent game nonetheless.
Cleveland: 2.67 – I blame their offense. That being said, 8 points isn’t terrible.
Alex Smith: 2.62 – Mr. Game Manager himself showed up and was steady. Should have another good game this week
Jared Cook: 1.53 – St. Louis was too busy running trick plays to find him consistently.
Dallas: 1.33 – Disappointed with this one. They should have been able to pressure Eli more.
Andre Holmes: 1.33 – Where did he go? Carr lost his mojo.
Brian Hoyer: 1.16 – Really, Hoyer? Really?
Fred Jackson: 1.05 – The old man was on his way to a nice fantasy performance. Then he got hurt. Ugh.
Jordan Cameron: 0.33 – The Jaguars shut him down. I don’t even know what to say to that.