Week 7 Starts or Sits
October 20, 2016 | Jackson Safon
Injuries have plagued this season, as they seem to do every season, and in Week 6 it was Ben Roethlisberger who went down. Before you ask, yes, you should still start Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell. Glad that’s settled.
The rest of your start/sit decisions however might not be so easy.
This week has a wide variety of over/unders with the Vikings/Eagles game as low as 40 and the Chargers/Falcons game as high as 53.5
Normally this would be the point in the show where I go back and see how I did with my calls from the week prior, but I unfortunately had to take last week off. Scott Cedar did exceptionally in my place, but I’m back so let’s get to it.
Start: Marcus Mariota vs. Ind
After four touchdowns in the first four weeks combined, Mariota has three in each of the last two games. Furthermore, after 72 rushing yards over the first four weeks, he has over 60 in each of the last two. Mariota is finally turning into the fantasy performer that many expected of him this season and this week he gets Colts defense that closely resembles swiss cheese.
The Colts have allowed the ninth most points to quarterbacks this season, including two touchdowns to the…disappointing Brock Osweiler. This game has the fourth highest expected points total of the week, and Mariota has a great chance to continue his hot streak.
Other starts: Blake Bortles vs. Oak, Philip Rivers @ Atl
Sit: Eli Manning @ LA
Manning’s week 6 was salvaged by two impressive runs after the catch by Odell Beckham Jr. From weeks 2-5, Manning had more interceptions than touchdowns despite going up against some soft pass defenses such as New Orleans and Washington. The Rams defense has been largely mediocre this season, but the team consistently mucks up games and makes them ugly. It’s the Jeff Fisher way.
This game has the third lowest over/under of the week, and I just don’t trust Manning this week in London.
Other sits: Tyrod Taylor @ Mia, Carson Wentz vs. Min
Start: Jamaal Charles vs. NO
UPDATE: Charles experienced swelling in his knee on Friday. He should now be considered a very risky start if he goes, while Spencer Ware becomes an absolute must start in all leagues.
The Prophet is slowly working his way back, and this is the week he has a chance to return to greatness. His usage should continue to increase, and the Saints are allowing the most fantasy points to running backs by far this season. I don’t expect Spencer Ware to just go away, but there should be plenty of points to go around this week as the Saints are allowing two rushing touchdowns per game to opposing running backs.
This game has the second highest expected point total this week, and Charles has a chance to be one of the main beneficiaries. The Chiefs are 6.5 point favorites against the Saints, and if the game gets out of hand it could be a perfect situation to get Charles worked back into the offense. Plus, even at his age, he’s still the type of player who only needs a handful of touches to put up big numbers.
Other starts: Matt Jones @ Det, Jacquizz Rogers @ SF
Sit: Matt Forte vs. Bal
Last week, Forte had his fewest touches of the season with only 10. In fact, it’s been trending that way for weeks now. Here are the touches between Forte and Bilal Powell this season.
Week 1: Forte 27, Powell 6
Week 2: Forte 32, Powell 2
Week 3: Forte 17, Powell 10
Week 4: Forte 16, Powell 10
Week 5: Forte 14, Powell 10
Week 6: Forte 10, Powell 6
This backfield is becoming more and more of a timeshare, and the Ravens are allowing the second fewest fantasy points to running backs this season. Not ideal.
Other sits: Jerick McKinnon, Ryan Matthews
Start: Cameron Meredith @ GB
Yes, Cameron Meredith. For some reason, Alshon Jeffery is not the target hog in this offense, it’s Cameron Meredith. Yes, Cameron Meredith. He has 27 targets in his last two games combined, and over 100 yards in each game. Yes, Cameron Meredith. While he doesn’t succeed downfield very much and he isn’t a great red zone threat, he’s becoming a must start.
Yes, Cameron Meredith.
Other starts: Jeremy Maclin vs. NO, Michael Crabtree @ Jax
Sit: Jordan Matthews vs. Min
I’m terrified of the Vikings defense. They should be treated like the Broncos of last year and the Seahawks of the two before that: avoid at all costs. They’re allowing only 14 points per game to opposing wide receivers and this game looks to be extremely low scoring. Both defenses are elite and the Eagles offense really sputtered last week after getting off to a crazy start.
Matthews is only averaging three catches per game for 53 yards over the past three weeks, so he’s really slowed down as Carson Wentz has. This game has the lowest over/under of the week at 40, so the chances of at touchdown are diminished. I’d stay away from Matthews at all costs this week.
Other sits: John Brown vs. Sea, Will Fuller @ Den
Start: Jack Doyle @ Ten
The Accountant is the 11th best fantasy tight end this year, and now he’s freed from Dwayne Allen. I fully admit that I was an Allen truther coming into the year, but he hasn’t quite lived up to expectations. Doyle has been a favorite of Andrew Luck, and now that Allen is out he should succeed with a full set of snaps.
He received almost a complete game of snaps last week and finished with the most fantasy points he’s had since week one. While he might be the least exciting name outside of Cameron Meredith, be confident in Doyle this week.
Other starts: Delanie Walker vs. Ind, Travis Kelce vs. NO
Sit: Zach Ertz vs. Min
See Matthews, Jordan. The Minnesota defense is stuff of nightmares and I’m staying away from this game.
Other sits: C.J. Fiedorowicz @ Den, Charles Clay @ Mia
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