Week 7 Fantasy Football Last Second Decisions
October 20, 2012 | Kevin Roberts
There are a couple of things you should do in life. Watch Dexter and Breaking Bad. Go to a game at Lambeau Field. Participate in a drunken night of karaoke. Oh, and before you make any final decisions in fantasy football, you should read this c0lumn.
I’m bordering on suggesting trying the other things first, but hammering out the details of your fantasy lineup ranks pretty high in my opinion. Injuries, roles and matchups, baby – that’s what Kevin does.
But I could talk about the importance of these tiny details all day. It’s probably time to actually start getting into the advice/analysis portion. Oh, and if this doesn’t suit your fantasy fancy, you can always hit me up on Twitter @NFLSoupKevin or comment below for some extra specific help.
And here we go…
Trent Richardson, RB, Cleveland Browns (Ribs)
Richardson got spelled a bit last week and missed some practice time with a rib injury, but is expected to be fine for this week’s matchup with the Colts. After Indy got gashed by an inferior talent in Shonn Greene, even a limited T-Rich is in for a huge day.
Ahmad Bradshaw, RB, New York Giants (Foot)
Bradshaw has been steam-rolling the past two weeks, with over 300 yards rushing, but there’s a chance a foot injury keeps him out of week seven. He has a solid matchup with the Redskins, but he missed practice quite a bit this week and with suitable backups, is a major question mark. It looks like it could be a bit of a RBBC even if he does play, so I’m leaning away from him this week if it makes sense on your roster.
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers (Achilles)
Mendy is out with a sore Achilles, which the Steelers are worried could be related to his surgically repaired acl. Either way, he’s out this week, so get him out of your lineups.
Isaac Redman, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers (Ankle)
Redman is also out. He actually looked fairly spry on a couple of plays last Thursday, but he won’t play this week. Hit up our matchup section to see if any Steelers backs are worth thinking over this week.
Hakeem Nicks, WR, New York Giants (Knee)
Nicks didn’t blow up in his first game back last week, but he did grab three catches and he looks to be on the mend. Any guy under 100% is always a risk, but he’s facing a vulnerable Redskins pass D and the Giants’ top RB could be out this week. He should at least field solid WR2 numbers this week.
Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys (Groin)
Bryant is dealing with some groin soreness, but doesn’t look like a real threat to sit out this week. Barring something crazy, you have to keep playing the guy, as Tony Romo is targeting him like crazy.
Greg Jennings, WR, Green Bay Packers (Groin)
Jennings has been ruled out for week seven, as the Packers want to get him all the way to 100% before testing him out again. That means major upside for Jordy Nelson, James Jones and Randall Cobb again this week.
Vincent Jackson, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Calf)
V-Jax being on the injury report just appears to be a formality, as he’s fully expected to suit up against an awful Saints defense this week. He’s been killing it the past few weeks, so you have to keep him in your lineup.
Pierre Garcon, WR, Washington Redskins (Foot)
Garcon is looking to miss week seven and possibly longer. He has struggled mightily to get healthy ever since the season opener, and as we’ve seen in recent weeks, really can’t be trusted right now even when he does hit the field.
Jerome Simpson, WR, Minnesota Vikings (Back)
Simpson will play this week despite a sore back, and could be an interesting sleeper against the Cardinals. With Patrick Peterson almost certainly shadowing Percy Harvin, Simpson has a shot at taking the top off Arizona’s pass defense.
Laurent Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars (Head)
A bit of a sleeper entering Jacksonville’s matchup with the Raiders, Robinson loses all value as he’s been ruled out for week seven. That could give struggling rookie Justin Blackmon a considerable stock boost, however.
Jimmy Graham, TE, New Orleans Saints (Ankle)
Originally a major game-time call for week seven, Graham has officially been ruled out. It’s a blow to a lot of lineups, but at least you don’t have to play the guessing game. Hit us up for comments if you need a suitable replacement and want to know who to play.
Troy Polamalu, S, Pittsburgh Steelers (Calf)
Hair Flow will miss another week, which is fantastic news for anyone who is using Bengals’ offense weapons. A.J. Green is always a must-start, but this is also great news for owners of Andrew Hawkins, Jermaine Gresham, BenJarvus Green-Ellis and obviously Andy Dalton, as well. The Pittsburgh defense just got a little less attractive to use for week seven.
Chris Gamble, CB, Carolina Panthers (Shoulder)
Carolina’s top cornerback is out for week seven, which could really take the pressure off the Dallas passing game. Dez Bryant and Miles Austin both could roam free all day on Sunday.
Haloti Ngata, DT, Baltimore Ravens (Knee)
Ngata is tough as nails, trying to play through knee ligament damage, but he’s no lock for week seven. If he’s out, Arian Foster’s prospects, which already looked good, get even better.
Terrell Suggs, DE, Baltimore Ravens (Achilles)
Suggs has been activated from the Ravens’ PUP list and is expected to play this week. He can’t be counted on for the entire game and shouldn’t crush it in his first game back, but this gives Baltimore’s lethargic pass-rush a major morale boost.
I have a feeling Tebow gets way more involved this week against the Patriots. I can’t really vouch for it, but there’s something about those Jets/Pats battles that make me think Rex Ryan has been waiting to use him specifically to burn Belichick and the Pats. In addition, that talk of him playing some running back might not be horse poop. Shonn Greene is the only active RB in New York who has carried the ball, so the Jets just might do it. Unless you’re in an 8-QB league, he still is too big of a risk to use, however.
Andre Brown vs. David Wilson
With Ahmad Bradshaw out or fairly limited this week, Brown and Wilson both potentially have solid value against a weak Redskins defense. I like both of these guys, but the Giants continue to trust Brown more, so he’d get the start and more overall touches.
Jonathan Dwyer and Co.
With both Rashard Mendenhall and Isaac Redman out, this could be a huge day for Dwyer. He’s more talented than Redman and could get something going against an inconsistent Bengals defense. Look for him to get about 15 total touches, with Baron Batch and Chris Rainey fighting over the scraps.
- Jay Cutler faces the Lions on MNF this week, and I have a good feeling about him. He’s hit or miss on prime time games, but Detroit has shown they can be carved up in their secondary and Cutler has been looking better of late.
- Josh Freeman’s three touchdowns and 300+ yards last week weren’t a fluke. He and his receivers are clicking and now they get the Saints this week. Expect the hype train to keep chuggin’.
- I know it’s unbelievably hard to trust Chris Johnson these days, but I don’t see how he doesn’t make something happen against a pathetic Bills defense.
- The Arizona Cardinals have been brutal against the run for most of 2012, but after seeing Buffalo steam-roll them last week, I am loving Adrian Peterson enough to make him my #3 back. Besides, this guy is DUE a double-score game.
- Andre Johnson is underrated right now. I know he hasn’t been doing much and the Texans don’t pass enough, but Baltimore just lost their top corner. I think he’s in for a big week.
- And for a negative spin: I can’t see Joe Haden getting burned two weeks in a row, which is bad news for Reggie Wayne.
Like always, hit me up on Twitter or comment below. I’ll do my best to answer questions leading into games on Sunday. Good luck to everyone this week!